(Remember: At the moment Alpaca uses different symbols for executing orders such as “BTC/USD” and checking portfolio positions such as “BTCUSD”.)
KEY_ID = "your API KEY" #replace it with your own KEY_ID from Alpaca: https://alpaca.markets/
SECRET_KEY = "your SECRET KEY" #replace it with your own SECRET_KEY from Alpaca
import warnings
warnings.filterwarnings('ignore')
Step 1: Alpaca Setup & Python Environment
Sign up for an Alpaca account: https://alpaca.markets/
Get your API Key ID and Secret Key from your paper trading account dashboard.
Install necessary Python libraries:
pip install alpaca-trade-api pandas scikit-learn xgboost numpy pandas-ta
Set up API credentials (environment variables are best):
import os
import alpaca_trade_api as tradeapi
import pandas as pd
from datetime import datetime, timedelta
import time
# For Paper Trading
os.environ['APCA_API_BASE_URL'] = 'https://paper-api.alpaca.markets'
# Replace with your actual keys or set them as environment variables
os.environ['APCA_API_KEY_ID'] = 'your API KEY'
os.environ['APCA_API_SECRET_KEY'] = 'your SECRET KEY'
API_KEY = os.getenv('APCA_API_KEY_ID')
API_SECRET = os.getenv('APCA_API_SECRET_KEY')
BASE_URL = os.getenv('APCA_API_BASE_URL')
api = tradeapi.REST(API_KEY, API_SECRET, BASE_URL, api_version='v2')
print("Connected to Alpaca Paper Trading.")
# Check account
# account = api.get_account()
# print(f"Account status: {account.status}")
Connected to Alpaca Paper Trading.
Step 2: Data Acquisition
def fetch_data(symbol, timeframe, start_date_str, end_date_str=None):
"""Fetches historical crypto data from Alpaca."""
if end_date_str is None:
end_date_str = datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d')
# Alpaca API expects ISO 8601 format for start/end times
# And it has a limit on how many bars can be fetched per request (e.g., 10000 for crypto)
# So we may need to fetch in chunks if requesting a long period.
all_bars = []
start_dt = pd.to_datetime(start_date_str, utc=True)
end_dt = pd.to_datetime(end_date_str, utc=True)
# Fetch data in chunks to avoid hitting API limits for very long periods
# For 1-minute data, 10000 bars is about 7 days.
# Let's fetch data in smaller chunks, e.g., 5 days at a time.
current_start = start_dt
while current_start < end_dt:
chunk_end = min(current_start + timedelta(days=5), end_dt) # Adjust chunk size as needed
print(f"Fetching data from {current_start.isoformat()} to {chunk_end.isoformat()}")
# Alpaca's get_crypto_bars expects start and end in ISO format
bars = api.get_crypto_bars(
symbol,
timeframe,
start=current_start.isoformat(),
end=chunk_end.isoformat(),
limit=10000 # Max limit per request
).df
if bars.empty:
print(f"No data found for chunk starting {current_start.isoformat()}")
if current_start + timedelta(days=5) > end_dt and not all_bars: # if first chunk and no data
break
current_start += timedelta(days=5) # Move to next chunk period
time.sleep(1) # Be nice to the API
continue
all_bars.append(bars)
# Update current_start to the timestamp of the last bar fetched + 1 minute
# to avoid overlap and to ensure we move forward.
if not bars.index.empty:
current_start = bars.index[-1] + pd.Timedelta(minutes=1)
else: # Should not happen if bars is not empty, but as a safeguard
current_start += timedelta(days=5)
time.sleep(1) # Respect API rate limits
if not all_bars:
print("No data fetched. Check your date range or symbol.")
return pd.DataFrame()
df = pd.concat(all_bars)
df = df[~df.index.duplicated(keep='first')] # Remove potential duplicates from chunking
df = df.sort_index() # Ensure chronological order
df = df[df.index <= end_dt] # Ensure we don't go past the requested end_dt
return df
# Example usage:
symbol = "BTC/USD" # Alpaca uses "BTC/USD" for crypto pairs
timeframe = tradeapi. টাইমফ্রেম.মিনিট # or "1Min" for older SDK versions
# Fetch last 30 days of data for example
start_date = (datetime.now() - timedelta(days=30)).strftime('%Y-%m-%d')
# end_date = datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d') # Fetches up to now
btc_data = fetch_data(symbol, timeframe, start_date)
if not btc_data.empty:
print(f"Fetched {len(btc_data)} rows of {symbol} data.")
print(btc_data.head())
print(btc_data.tail())
else:
print("Failed to fetch data.")
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- AttributeError Traceback (most recent call last) Cell In[5], line 61 59 # Example usage: 60 symbol = "BTC/USD" # Alpaca uses "BTC/USD" for crypto pairs ---> 61 timeframe = tradeapi. টাইমফ্রেম.মিনিট # or "1Min" for older SDK versions 62 # Fetch last 30 days of data for example 63 start_date = (datetime.now() - timedelta(days=30)).strftime('%Y-%m-%d') AttributeError: module 'alpaca_trade_api' has no attribute 'টাইমফ্রেম'
Step 3: Feature Engineering
This is where you create signals for your model. pandas-ta is a great library for this.
import pandas_ta as ta
def create_features(df):
if df.empty or 'close' not in df.columns:
print("DataFrame is empty or 'close' column is missing.")
return df
df.ta.sma(length=10, append=True, col_names=('SMA_10'))
df.ta.sma(length=30, append=True, col_names=('SMA_30'))
df.ta.ema(length=10, append=True, col_names=('EMA_10'))
df.ta.rsi(length=14, append=True, col_names=('RSI_14'))
df.ta.macd(append=True, col_names=('MACD_12_26_9', 'MACDh_12_26_9', 'MACDs_12_26_9'))
df.ta.bbands(length=20, append=True, col_names=('BBL_20_2.0', 'BBM_20_2.0', 'BBU_20_2.0', 'BBB_20_2.0', 'BBP_20_2.0'))
df.ta.atr(length=14, append=True, col_names=('ATR_14'))
# Lagged returns
for lag in [1, 3, 5, 10]:
df[f'return_{lag}m'] = df['close'].pct_change(periods=lag)
# Add more features: volatility, momentum, volume-based if available, etc.
# e.g., log returns, price relative to moving average, etc.
df.dropna(inplace=True) # Remove rows with NaNs created by indicators
return df
if not btc_data.empty:
featured_data = create_features(btc_data.copy()) # Use .copy() to avoid modifying original
print("\nData with features:")
print(featured_data.head())
else:
print("Cannot create features, btc_data is empty.")
featured_data = pd.DataFrame() # ensure it's a DataFrame
Step 4: Model Training - Defining Target & Training
Let's define a simple target: will the price be higher or lower in N minutes?
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split, TimeSeriesSplit
from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestClassifier # Example model
from sklearn.metrics import accuracy_score, classification_report
import xgboost as xgb
def prepare_data_for_model(df, target_horizon=5, test_size=0.2):
"""
Prepares X (features) and y (target) for the ML model.
Target: 1 if price increases by more than a small threshold after target_horizon periods, 0 otherwise.
-1 if price decreases by more than a small threshold. (Optional: make it 3 classes)
"""
if df.empty or 'close' not in df.columns:
print("DataFrame is empty or 'close' column is missing.")
return pd.DataFrame(), pd.Series(dtype='float64'), pd.DataFrame(), pd.Series(dtype='float64')
# Define target: 1 if price goes up in `target_horizon` minutes, 0 otherwise
# A small threshold can help avoid noise around 0% change
# price_threshold = 0.0005 # e.g., 0.05% change
# df['future_price'] = df['close'].shift(-target_horizon)
# df['price_change'] = (df['future_price'] - df['close']) / df['close']
# df['target'] = 0 # Hold
# df.loc[df['price_change'] > price_threshold, 'target'] = 1 # Buy
# df.loc[df['price_change'] < -price_threshold, 'target'] = -1 # Sell (for 3-class)
# For 2-class (Up/Not Up):
df['target'] = (df['close'].shift(-target_horizon) > df['close']).astype(int)
df.dropna(inplace=True) # Remove rows with NaN target (due to shift)
feature_columns = [col for col in df.columns if col not in ['open', 'high', 'low', 'close', 'volume', 'trade_count', 'vwap', 'target', 'future_price', 'price_change']]
X = df[feature_columns]
y = df['target']
# Time series split is crucial: DO NOT shuffle time series data for training
# For a simple split:
split_index = int(len(X) * (1 - test_size))
X_train, X_test = X[:split_index], X[split_index:]
y_train, y_test = y[:split_index], y[split_index:]
# For more robust cross-validation, use TimeSeriesSplit
# tscv = TimeSeriesSplit(n_splits=5)
# for train_index, test_index in tscv.split(X):
# X_train, X_test = X.iloc[train_index], X.iloc[test_index]
# y_train, y_test = y.iloc[train_index], y.iloc[test_index]
# Train and evaluate your model here
return X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test, feature_columns
if not featured_data.empty:
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test, feature_cols = prepare_data_for_model(featured_data.copy(), target_horizon=5)
if not X_train.empty:
print(f"\nTraining data shape: X_train: {X_train.shape}, y_train: {y_train.shape}")
print(f"Test data shape: X_test: {X_test.shape}, y_test: {y_test.shape}")
print(f"Features used: {feature_cols}")
# Example Model: Random Forest
# model = RandomForestClassifier(n_estimators=100, random_state=42, class_weight='balanced')
# Example Model: XGBoost (often performs well)
model = xgb.XGBClassifier(
objective='binary:logistic', # or 'multi:softprob' for multi-class
n_estimators=100,
learning_rate=0.1,
max_depth=3,
use_label_encoder=False, # Suppress a warning
eval_metric='logloss' # or 'mlogloss' for multi-class
)
model.fit(X_train, y_train)
# Evaluate on test set
y_pred = model.predict(X_test)
print("\nModel Evaluation on Test Set:")
print(f"Accuracy: {accuracy_score(y_test, y_pred):.4f}")
print(classification_report(y_test, y_pred, zero_division=0))
# Feature importance (for tree-based models)
if hasattr(model, 'feature_importances_'):
importances = pd.Series(model.feature_importances_, index=X_train.columns).sort_values(ascending=False)
print("\nFeature Importances:")
print(importances.head(10))
else:
print("Not enough data to create training/test sets after feature engineering and target creation.")
else:
print("Cannot prepare data for model, featured_data is empty.")
model = None # Ensure model is defined even if training fails
Important Considerations for Modeling:
Target Definition: This is critical. Predicting direction is hard. Predicting magnitude or using a threshold (e.g., price must move > 0.1% to be a "1") can be better.
Class Imbalance: If "up" signals are rare, your model might be biased. Use techniques like class_weight='balanced' (for some models) or over/undersampling (e.g., SMOTE).
Stationarity: Price series are generally non-stationary. Features like returns or indicators often help.
Overfitting: Models can learn noise from historical data. Robust cross-validation (like TimeSeriesSplit) and regularization are key.
Step 5: Backtesting (Simplified Vectorized Example)
A proper backtest is event-driven and considers transaction costs, slippage, etc. This is a very simplified version.
def run_simple_backtest(df_with_predictions, initial_capital=10000, trade_size_usd=1000, transaction_cost_pct=0.003): # Alpaca crypto fee
"""
A very simplified vectorized backtest.
Assumes df_with_predictions has a 'signal' column (1 for buy, 0 for hold/nothing, -1 for sell if implementing).
For this example, we'll assume our model's prediction (0 or 1) is the signal.
1 = Go Long, 0 = Exit Long (or do nothing if not in position)
"""
if df_with_predictions.empty or 'predicted_signal' not in df_with_predictions.columns:
print("DataFrame for backtest is empty or 'predicted_signal' column missing.")
return
capital = initial_capital
position_btc = 0 # Amount of BTC held
portfolio_value = []
# Assume 'predicted_signal' comes from your model (1 for predicted up, 0 for predicted down/neutral)
# Let's assume a simple strategy: if signal is 1, buy. If signal is 0 and we have a position, sell.
for i in range(len(df_with_predictions)):
current_price = df_with_predictions['close'].iloc[i]
signal = df_with_predictions['predicted_signal'].iloc[i]
# Decision logic
if signal == 1 and position_btc == 0: # Buy signal and no current position
# Buy
amount_to_buy_btc = trade_size_usd / current_price
cost = amount_to_buy_btc * current_price * (1 + transaction_cost_pct)
if capital >= cost:
capital -= cost
position_btc += amount_to_buy_btc
# print(f"{df_with_predictions.index[i]}: BUY {amount_to_buy_btc:.6f} BTC @ {current_price:.2f}")
elif signal == 0 and position_btc > 0: # Sell signal (or neutral) and have a position
# Sell
proceeds = position_btc * current_price * (1 - transaction_cost_pct)
capital += proceeds
# print(f"{df_with_predictions.index[i]}: SELL {position_btc:.6f} BTC @ {current_price:.2f}")
position_btc = 0
current_portfolio_value = capital + (position_btc * current_price)
portfolio_value.append(current_portfolio_value)
df_with_predictions['portfolio_value'] = portfolio_value
print("\nBacktest Results:")
print(f"Initial Capital: ${initial_capital:.2f}")
print(f"Final Portfolio Value: ${df_with_predictions['portfolio_value'].iloc[-1]:.2f}")
returns = (df_with_predictions['portfolio_value'].iloc[-1] / initial_capital - 1) * 100
print(f"Total Return: {returns:.2f}%")
# Plotting (optional)
# import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
# plt.figure(figsize=(12,6))
# plt.plot(df_with_predictions.index, df_with_predictions['portfolio_value'])
# plt.title('Portfolio Value Over Time')
# plt.xlabel('Date')
# plt.ylabel('Portfolio Value ($)')
# plt.show()
if model and not X_test.empty:
# Use the model to predict on the entire test set for backtesting
# For a more realistic backtest, you'd re-train periodically or use a walk-forward approach.
# Here, we're just using the single model trained on X_train.
all_featured_data_for_backtest = featured_data.loc[X_test.index].copy() # Get original data rows for X_test
all_featured_data_for_backtest['predicted_signal'] = model.predict(X_test) # Use the trained model
run_simple_backtest(all_featured_data_for_backtest)
else:
print("Skipping backtest as model or test data is not available.")
Backtesting Libraries: For more serious backtesting, consider backtrader or zipline-reloaded. They handle many complexities.
Step 6: Signal Generation & Order Execution (Live/Paper Trading)
This is where you'd run the bot periodically (e.g., every minute).
SYMBOL = "BTC/USD"
TRADE_QTY_USD = 100 # Amount in USD to trade per signal. Adjust based on risk tolerance.
TARGET_HORIZON_MINUTES = 5 # Same as used in training
# Global model and feature_cols (assuming they are trained and available)
# model = ... (your trained model)
# feature_cols = ... (list of feature column names used for training)
def get_latest_bar_features():
"""Fetches latest bars, calculates features for the most recent one."""
# Fetch enough data to calculate all features (e.g., max lookback of your indicators)
# If SMA_30 is longest, need at least 30 + target_horizon previous bars
# Let's fetch more to be safe, e.g., 100 bars
now = datetime.now()
start_fetch_dt = (now - timedelta(minutes=150)).strftime('%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S') # fetch last 150 mins
latest_bars_df = api.get_crypto_bars(
SYMBOL,
tradeapi. টাইমফ্রেম.মিনিট,
start=start_fetch_dt, # Alpaca needs ISO format with T
# end defaults to now
limit=150 # fetch a bit more than needed for features
).df
if latest_bars_df.empty or len(latest_bars_df) < 35: # Min needed for SMA_30 + some buffer
print("Not enough recent bars to calculate features.")
return None
featured_bars = create_features(latest_bars_df.copy())
if featured_bars.empty:
print("Failed to create features for latest bars.")
return None
# Return only the features for the most recent complete bar
return featured_bars[feature_cols].iloc[-1:] # Return as DataFrame
def check_and_place_trade():
global model, feature_cols # Ensure these are accessible
if model is None or feature_cols is None:
print("Model not trained or feature columns not defined. Skipping trade check.")
return
print(f"\n{datetime.now()}: Checking for trading signal...")
current_features_df = get_latest_bar_features()
if current_features_df is None or current_features_df.empty:
print("Could not get features for the latest bar.")
return
# Ensure columns are in the same order as during training
current_features_df = current_features_df[feature_cols]
prediction = model.predict(current_features_df)
signal = prediction[0] # 0 for down/neutral, 1 for up
print(f"Raw features for prediction: {current_features_df.iloc[0].to_dict()}")
print(f"Model prediction: {signal}")
try:
positions = api.list_positions()
btc_position = next((p for p in positions if p.symbol == SYMBOL), None)
current_price_info = api.get_latest_crypto_quote(SYMBOL) # Use quote for more current price
current_price = (current_price_info.ap + current_price_info.bp) / 2 # Mid price
if not current_price:
print("Could not get current price for BTC/USD.")
return
if signal == 1: # Predicted UP - Potential BUY
if btc_position is None or float(btc_position.qty) == 0:
qty_to_buy = TRADE_QTY_USD / current_price
print(f"BUY signal. Attempting to buy {qty_to_buy:.6f} {SYMBOL} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
api.submit_order(
symbol=SYMBOL,
qty=round(qty_to_buy, 6), # Alpaca crypto needs precision
side='buy',
type='market',
time_in_force='gtc' # Good 'til canceled
)
print("BUY order submitted.")
else:
print(f"BUY signal, but already have a position of {btc_position.qty} {SYMBOL}. Holding.")
elif signal == 0: # Predicted DOWN/NEUTRAL - Potential SELL
if btc_position and float(btc_position.qty) > 0:
qty_to_sell = float(btc_position.qty) # Sell entire position
print(f"SELL signal. Attempting to sell {qty_to_sell:.6f} {SYMBOL} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
api.submit_order(
symbol=SYMBOL,
qty=round(qty_to_sell, 6),
side='sell',
type='market',
time_in_force='gtc'
)
print("SELL order submitted.")
else:
print("SELL signal, but no open position to sell. Doing nothing.")
else:
print("Neutral signal or unrecognized signal. Doing nothing.")
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during trade execution: {e}")
# Main loop (very basic scheduler)
# For a robust bot, use APScheduler or run it in a more managed environment (e.g., cloud server with cron)
if __name__ == "__main__" and model is not None: # Ensure model is trained
# This is a simplified loop. In a real bot, you'd schedule this.
# For example, using APScheduler to run exactly at the start of each minute.
print("Starting dummy trading loop (runs a few times for demo). Press Ctrl+C to stop.")
print("IMPORTANT: This is for PAPER TRADING ONLY.")
print(f"Will use model: {type(model).__name__} and features: {feature_cols}")
try:
# Initial run
check_and_place_trade()
for i in range(5): # Run for a few iterations for demo
# Wait for the next minute (approximately)
# A more precise scheduler (like APScheduler) is better for live trading
time.sleep(60)
check_and_place_trade()
except KeyboardInterrupt:
print("Trading loop stopped by user.")
except Exception as e:
print(f"An error occurred in the trading loop: {e}")
else:
if model is None:
print("Model is not trained. Cannot start trading loop.")
Step 7: Risk Management (Conceptual)
Position Sizing: Don't risk too much on a single trade (e.g., TRADE_QTY_USD should be a small % of your paper capital).
Stop-Loss: Automatically sell if the price moves against you by a certain percentage or dollar amount after entering a trade. Alpaca supports stop-loss orders.
# Example of a market buy order with a trailing stop-loss
# api.submit_order(
# symbol=SYMBOL,
# qty=qty_to_buy,
# side='buy',
# type='market',
# time_in_force='day',
# trail_percent='1.5' # Trail stop loss 1.5% below high water mark
# )
Take-Profit: Automatically sell if the price moves in your favor by a certain amount.
Max Drawdown: If your total capital drops by X%, stop trading and re-evaluate.
Step 8: Deployment & Monitoring
Server: Run your bot on a reliable machine or cloud server (AWS EC2, Google Cloud, etc.) that's always on.
Scheduling: Use cron (Linux) or APScheduler (Python library) to run your check_and_place_trade function every minute precisely.
Logging: Log every decision, trade, error, and API response.
Monitoring: Track P&L, number of trades, win rate, errors, API connectivity, etc. Set up alerts.
Very Important Next Steps & Considerations:
PAPER TRADE EXTENSIVELY. I cannot stress this enough.
Improve Feature Engineering: This is key. Explore more advanced features, time-series properties, etc.
Hyperparameter Tuning: Use GridSearchCV or RandomizedSearchCV (or Optuna/Hyperopt) to find optimal model parameters.
Robust Backtesting: Implement a proper event-driven backtester that accounts for slippage and realistic transaction costs.
Walk-Forward Optimization: Markets change. Periodically re-train your model on newer data and test on out-of-sample data that follows.
Understand Alpaca's Crypto Trading Rules: Fees (currently 0.3% for taker/maker on basic accounts), minimum order sizes, precision for quantities.
Error Handling & Resilience: Your bot needs to handle API errors, network issues, unexpected data, etc.
The 1-Minute Problem:
Noise: Extremely high noise-to-signal ratio.
Latency: Your reaction time vs. market speed.
Transaction Costs: Can quickly kill profitability on small moves. Your average win needs to be significantly larger than costs.
Alternative ML Approaches:
Reinforcement Learning: Can learn trading policies directly. Very complex.
LSTMs/Transformers: For sequence modeling, but require significant data and expertise.
Simplicity First: Start with a very simple model and strategy. Complexity doesn't always mean better results and makes debugging harder.
This is a massive undertaking. Be patient, learn continuously, and manage your risk (even paper money risk, as it builds habits). Good luck!
AttributeError Traceback (most recent call last) Cell In[5], line 61 59 # Example usage: 60 symbol = "BTC/USD" # Alpaca uses "BTC/USD" for crypto pairs ---> 61 timeframe = tradeapi. টাইমফ্রেম.মিনিট # or "1Min" for older SDK versions 62 # Fetch last 30 days of data for example 63 start_date = (datetime.now() - timedelta(days=30)).strftime('%Y-%m-%d')
AttributeError: module 'alpaca_trade_api' has no attribute 'টাইমফ্রেম'. Can you fix it?
import warnings
warnings.filterwarnings('ignore')
import os
import alpaca_trade_api as tradeapi
import pandas as pd
from datetime import datetime, timedelta
import time
# For Paper Trading
os.environ['APCA_API_BASE_URL'] = 'https://paper-api.alpaca.markets'
# Replace with your actual keys or set them as environment variables
# Make sure these are set correctly if you haven't already
os.environ['APCA_API_KEY_ID'] = 'your API KEY'
os.environ['APCA_API_SECRET_KEY'] = 'your SECRET KEY'
# os.environ['APCA_API_KEY_ID'] = 'YOUR_PAPER_API_KEY_ID'
# os.environ['APCA_API_SECRET_KEY'] = 'YOUR_PAPER_API_SECRET_KEY'
API_KEY = os.getenv('APCA_API_KEY_ID')
API_SECRET = os.getenv('APCA_API_SECRET_KEY')
BASE_URL = os.getenv('APCA_API_BASE_URL')
# Ensure API_KEY and API_SECRET are not None
if not API_KEY or not API_SECRET:
raise ValueError("API_KEY or API_SECRET not set. Please set them as environment variables or directly in the script.")
api = tradeapi.REST(API_KEY, API_SECRET, BASE_URL, api_version='v2')
print("Attempting to connect to Alpaca Paper Trading...")
try:
account = api.get_account()
print(f"Successfully connected. Account status: {account.status}")
except Exception as e:
print(f"Failed to connect or get account info: {e}")
# Exit or handle if connection fails
exit()
def fetch_data(symbol, timeframe_enum, start_date_str, end_date_str=None): # Changed timeframe to timeframe_enum
"""Fetches historical crypto data from Alpaca."""
if end_date_str is None:
end_date_str = datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d')
all_bars = []
start_dt = pd.to_datetime(start_date_str, utc=True)
end_dt = pd.to_datetime(end_date_str, utc=True)
current_start = start_dt
while current_start < end_dt:
# Calculate chunk_end, ensuring it doesn't exceed end_dt
# For 1-minute data, 10000 bars is approx 6.94 days. Let's use 6 days to be safe.
chunk_end_candidate = current_start + timedelta(days=6)
chunk_end = min(chunk_end_candidate, end_dt)
print(f"Fetching data from {current_start.isoformat()} to {chunk_end.isoformat()}")
try:
bars = api.get_crypto_bars(
symbol,
timeframe_enum, # Use the passed enum
start=current_start.isoformat(),
end=chunk_end.isoformat(), # Ensure end is also passed
limit=10000
).df
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error fetching data chunk: {e}")
# Decide how to handle: break, retry, or skip chunk
current_start = chunk_end # Move to next potential period
time.sleep(5) # Wait longer if an error occurred
continue
if bars.empty:
print(f"No data found for chunk starting {current_start.isoformat()}")
if current_start >= end_dt and not all_bars: # if first chunk and no data
break
current_start = chunk_end # Move to next chunk period
time.sleep(1) # Be nice to the API
continue
all_bars.append(bars)
if not bars.index.empty:
# Move current_start to the timestamp of the last bar fetched + 1 unit of timeframe
# For TimeFrame.Minute, this is +1 minute
if timeframe_enum == tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute:
current_start = bars.index[-1].to_pydatetime() + pd.Timedelta(minutes=1)
elif timeframe_enum == tradeapi.TimeFrame.Hour:
current_start = bars.index[-1].to_pydatetime() + pd.Timedelta(hours=1)
# Add other timeframes if needed
else: # Default for Day or others
current_start = bars.index[-1].to_pydatetime() + pd.Timedelta(days=1)
# Ensure current_start does not go beyond end_dt excessively in the loop condition
if current_start > end_dt and chunk_end_candidate >= end_dt :
break
else: # Should not happen if bars is not empty, but as a safeguard
current_start = chunk_end
time.sleep(1) # Respect API rate limits
if not all_bars:
print("No data fetched. Check your date range, symbol, or API connection.")
return pd.DataFrame()
df = pd.concat(all_bars)
df = df[~df.index.duplicated(keep='first')] # Remove potential duplicates
df = df.sort_index() # Ensure chronological order
# Filter to ensure we are within the originally requested start_dt and end_dt precisely
df = df[(df.index >= start_dt) & (df.index <= end_dt)]
return df
# Example usage:
symbol = "BTC/USD" # Alpaca uses "BTC/USD" for crypto pairs
# CORRECTED TIMEFRAME:
timeframe_to_use = tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute # Corrected
# Alternative: timeframe_to_use = "1Min" (as a string, for some SDK versions or if TimeFrame enum is problematic)
# Fetch last 7 days of data for example (a smaller range for quicker testing)
start_date = (datetime.now() - timedelta(days=7)).strftime('%Y-%m-%d')
# end_date = datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d') # Fetches up to now by default if None
btc_data = fetch_data(symbol, timeframe_to_use, start_date)
if not btc_data.empty:
print(f"\nFetched {len(btc_data)} rows of {symbol} data.")
print("Sample data (first 5 rows):")
print(btc_data.head())
print("\nSample data (last 5 rows):")
print(btc_data.tail())
else:
print("Failed to fetch data or no data available for the period.")
Attempting to connect to Alpaca Paper Trading...
Successfully connected. Account status: ACTIVE
Fetching data from 2025-05-02T00:00:00+00:00 to 2025-05-08T00:00:00+00:00
Fetching data from 2025-05-08T00:01:00+00:00 to 2025-05-09T00:00:00+00:00
Fetched 4349 rows of BTC/USD data.
Sample data (first 5 rows):
close high low trade_count \
timestamp
2025-05-02 00:00:00+00:00 96599.4770 96599.4770 96599.4770 0
2025-05-02 00:02:00+00:00 96650.8100 96650.8100 96650.8100 0
2025-05-02 00:03:00+00:00 96588.0115 96588.0115 96588.0115 0
2025-05-02 00:05:00+00:00 96639.6100 96639.6100 96639.6100 0
2025-05-02 00:08:00+00:00 96521.6100 96584.7550 96521.6100 0
open volume vwap symbol
timestamp
2025-05-02 00:00:00+00:00 96599.4770 0.0 96599.4770 BTC/USD
2025-05-02 00:02:00+00:00 96650.8100 0.0 96650.8100 BTC/USD
2025-05-02 00:03:00+00:00 96588.0115 0.0 96588.0115 BTC/USD
2025-05-02 00:05:00+00:00 96639.6100 0.0 96639.6100 BTC/USD
2025-05-02 00:08:00+00:00 96584.7550 0.0 96553.1825 BTC/USD
Sample data (last 5 rows):
close high low trade_count \
timestamp
2025-05-08 23:55:00+00:00 103121.6815 103121.6815 103121.6815 0
2025-05-08 23:56:00+00:00 103170.6190 103170.6190 103170.6190 0
2025-05-08 23:57:00+00:00 103204.4250 103204.4250 103204.4250 0
2025-05-08 23:58:00+00:00 103284.7150 103284.7150 103284.7150 0
2025-05-09 00:00:00+00:00 103206.1315 103267.4635 103196.4550 1
open volume vwap symbol
timestamp
2025-05-08 23:55:00+00:00 103121.6815 0.000000 103121.6815 BTC/USD
2025-05-08 23:56:00+00:00 103170.6190 0.000000 103170.6190 BTC/USD
2025-05-08 23:57:00+00:00 103204.4250 0.000000 103204.4250 BTC/USD
2025-05-08 23:58:00+00:00 103284.7150 0.000000 103284.7150 BTC/USD
2025-05-09 00:00:00+00:00 103230.7000 0.000012 103230.7000 BTC/USD
Key changes:
timeframe = tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute: This is the crucial fix.
I renamed the timeframe parameter in fetch_data to timeframe_enum to avoid confusion if you were to pass the string version.
Added a check for API_KEY and API_SECRET to ensure they are loaded.
Improved the connection check with a try-except block.
Refined the chunking logic in fetch_data slightly, particularly how current_start is advanced and how chunk_end is determined to better respect end_dt.
Made the advancement of current_start adaptive to the timeframe_enum.
Final filtering of the concatenated DataFrame to strictly adhere to start_dt and end_dt.
Reduced the default fetch range in the example to 7 days for faster initial testing.
Important: You will also need to make the same correction in Step 6 (Signal Generation & Order Execution) inside the get_latest_bar_features function:
Step 3: Feature Engineering
This is where you create signals for your model. pandas-ta is a great library for this.
import pandas_ta as ta
def create_features(df):
if df.empty or 'close' not in df.columns:
print("DataFrame is empty or 'close' column is missing.")
return df
df.ta.sma(length=10, append=True, col_names=('SMA_10'))
df.ta.sma(length=30, append=True, col_names=('SMA_30'))
df.ta.ema(length=10, append=True, col_names=('EMA_10'))
df.ta.rsi(length=14, append=True, col_names=('RSI_14'))
df.ta.macd(append=True, col_names=('MACD_12_26_9', 'MACDh_12_26_9', 'MACDs_12_26_9'))
df.ta.bbands(length=20, append=True, col_names=('BBL_20_2.0', 'BBM_20_2.0', 'BBU_20_2.0', 'BBB_20_2.0', 'BBP_20_2.0'))
df.ta.atr(length=14, append=True, col_names=('ATR_14'))
# Lagged returns
for lag in [1, 3, 5, 10]:
df[f'return_{lag}m'] = df['close'].pct_change(periods=lag)
# Add more features: volatility, momentum, volume-based if available, etc.
# e.g., log returns, price relative to moving average, etc.
df.dropna(inplace=True) # Remove rows with NaNs created by indicators
return df
if not btc_data.empty:
featured_data = create_features(btc_data.copy()) # Use .copy() to avoid modifying original
print("\nData with features:")
print(featured_data.head())
else:
print("Cannot create features, btc_data is empty.")
featured_data = pd.DataFrame() # ensure it's a DataFrame
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- ImportError Traceback (most recent call last) Cell In[3], line 1 ----> 1 import pandas_ta as ta 3 def create_features(df): 4 if df.empty or 'close' not in df.columns: File ~\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_AI_env\Lib\site-packages\pandas_ta\__init__.py:116 97 EXCHANGE_TZ = { 98 "NZSX": 12, "ASX": 11, 99 "TSE": 9, "HKE": 8, "SSE": 8, "SGX": 8, (...) 102 "BMF": -2, "NYSE": -4, "TSX": -4 103 } 105 RATE = { 106 "DAYS_PER_MONTH": 21, 107 "MINUTES_PER_HOUR": 60, (...) 113 "YEARLY": 1, 114 } --> 116 from pandas_ta.core import * File ~\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_AI_env\Lib\site-packages\pandas_ta\core.py:18 16 from pandas_ta.candles import * 17 from pandas_ta.cycles import * ---> 18 from pandas_ta.momentum import * 19 from pandas_ta.overlap import * 20 from pandas_ta.performance import * File ~\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_AI_env\Lib\site-packages\pandas_ta\momentum\__init__.py:34 32 from .smi import smi 33 from .squeeze import squeeze ---> 34 from .squeeze_pro import squeeze_pro 35 from .stc import stc 36 from .stoch import stoch File ~\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_AI_env\Lib\site-packages\pandas_ta\momentum\squeeze_pro.py:2 1 # -*- coding: utf-8 -*- ----> 2 from numpy import NaN as npNaN 3 from pandas import DataFrame 4 from pandas_ta.momentum import mom ImportError: cannot import name 'NaN' from 'numpy' (C:\Users\micro\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_AI_env\Lib\site-packages\numpy\__init__.py)
So, we are working on a trading bot. It should be using machine learning to trade BTCUSD in one minute intervals and Alpaca Markets. So far, we got as much as you can find at https://superai.pl/courses/building_an_ai_trading_bot_with_python_gemini_alpaca_p2.html
Step 2 was OK, but in Step 3 I got this an error (check below). Can you fix it by using a different library, because it seams like the latest version of pandas-ta is from 2021 and it might not be compatible with a lot of other libraries.
GOOD CODE: import os import alpaca_trade_api as tradeapi import pandas as pd from datetime import datetime, timedelta import time
# For Paper Trading os.environ['APCA_API_BASE_URL'] = 'https://paper-api.alpaca.markets' # Replace with your actual keys or set them as environment variables # Make sure these are set correctly if you haven't already os.environ['APCA_API_KEY_ID'] = 'your API KEY' os.environ['APCA_API_SECRET_KEY'] = 'your SECRET KEY' # os.environ['APCA_API_KEY_ID'] = 'YOUR_PAPER_API_KEY_ID' # os.environ['APCA_API_SECRET_KEY'] = 'YOUR_PAPER_API_SECRET_KEY'
API_KEY = os.getenv('APCA_API_KEY_ID') API_SECRET = os.getenv('APCA_API_SECRET_KEY') BASE_URL = os.getenv('APCA_API_BASE_URL')
# Ensure API_KEY and API_SECRET are not None if not API_KEY or not API_SECRET: raise ValueError("API_KEY or API_SECRET not set. Please set them as environment variables or directly in the script.")
api = tradeapi.REST(API_KEY, API_SECRET, BASE_URL, api_version='v2')
print("Attempting to connect to Alpaca Paper Trading...") try: account = api.get_account() print(f"Successfully connected. Account status: {account.status}") except Exception as e: print(f"Failed to connect or get account info: {e}") # Exit or handle if connection fails exit()
def fetch_data(symbol, timeframe_enum, start_date_str, end_date_str=None): # Changed timeframe to timeframe_enum """Fetches historical crypto data from Alpaca.""" if end_date_str is None: end_date_str = datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d')
all_bars = []
start_dt = pd.to_datetime(start_date_str, utc=True)
end_dt = pd.to_datetime(end_date_str, utc=True)
current_start = start_dt
while current_start < end_dt:
# Calculate chunk_end, ensuring it doesn't exceed end_dt
# For 1-minute data, 10000 bars is approx 6.94 days. Let's use 6 days to be safe.
chunk_end_candidate = current_start + timedelta(days=6)
chunk_end = min(chunk_end_candidate, end_dt)
print(f"Fetching data from {current_start.isoformat()} to {chunk_end.isoformat()}")
try:
bars = api.get_crypto_bars(
symbol,
timeframe_enum, # Use the passed enum
start=current_start.isoformat(),
end=chunk_end.isoformat(), # Ensure end is also passed
limit=10000
).df
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error fetching data chunk: {e}")
# Decide how to handle: break, retry, or skip chunk
current_start = chunk_end # Move to next potential period
time.sleep(5) # Wait longer if an error occurred
continue
if bars.empty:
print(f"No data found for chunk starting {current_start.isoformat()}")
if current_start >= end_dt and not all_bars: # if first chunk and no data
break
current_start = chunk_end # Move to next chunk period
time.sleep(1) # Be nice to the API
continue
all_bars.append(bars)
if not bars.index.empty:
# Move current_start to the timestamp of the last bar fetched + 1 unit of timeframe
# For TimeFrame.Minute, this is +1 minute
if timeframe_enum == tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute:
current_start = bars.index[-1].to_pydatetime() + pd.Timedelta(minutes=1)
elif timeframe_enum == tradeapi.TimeFrame.Hour:
current_start = bars.index[-1].to_pydatetime() + pd.Timedelta(hours=1)
# Add other timeframes if needed
else: # Default for Day or others
current_start = bars.index[-1].to_pydatetime() + pd.Timedelta(days=1)
# Ensure current_start does not go beyond end_dt excessively in the loop condition
if current_start > end_dt and chunk_end_candidate >= end_dt :
break
else: # Should not happen if bars is not empty, but as a safeguard
current_start = chunk_end
time.sleep(1) # Respect API rate limits
if not all_bars:
print("No data fetched. Check your date range, symbol, or API connection.")
return pd.DataFrame()
df = pd.concat(all_bars)
df = df[~df.index.duplicated(keep='first')] # Remove potential duplicates
df = df.sort_index() # Ensure chronological order
# Filter to ensure we are within the originally requested start_dt and end_dt precisely
df = df[(df.index >= start_dt) & (df.index <= end_dt)]
return df
# Example usage: symbol = "BTC/USD" # Alpaca uses "BTC/USD" for crypto pairs # CORRECTED TIMEFRAME: timeframe_to_use = tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute # Corrected # Alternative: timeframe_to_use = "1Min" (as a string, for some SDK versions or if TimeFrame enum is problematic)
# Fetch last 7 days of data for example (a smaller range for quicker testing) start_date = (datetime.now() - timedelta(days=7)).strftime('%Y-%m-%d') # end_date = datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d') # Fetches up to now by default if None
btc_data = fetch_data(symbol, timeframe_to_use, start_date)
if not btc_data.empty: print(f"\nFetched {len(btc_data)} rows of {symbol} data.") print("Sample data (first 5 rows):") print(btc_data.head()) print("\nSample data (last 5 rows):") print(btc_data.tail()) else: print("Failed to fetch data or no data available for the period.")
BAD CODE: import pandas_ta as ta
def create_features(df): if df.empty or 'close' not in df.columns: print("DataFrame is empty or 'close' column is missing.") return df
df.ta.sma(length=10, append=True, col_names=('SMA_10'))
df.ta.sma(length=30, append=True, col_names=('SMA_30'))
df.ta.ema(length=10, append=True, col_names=('EMA_10'))
df.ta.rsi(length=14, append=True, col_names=('RSI_14'))
df.ta.macd(append=True, col_names=('MACD_12_26_9', 'MACDh_12_26_9', 'MACDs_12_26_9'))
df.ta.bbands(length=20, append=True, col_names=('BBL_20_2.0', 'BBM_20_2.0', 'BBU_20_2.0', 'BBB_20_2.0', 'BBP_20_2.0'))
df.ta.atr(length=14, append=True, col_names=('ATR_14'))
# Lagged returns
for lag in [1, 3, 5, 10]:
df[f'return_{lag}m'] = df['close'].pct_change(periods=lag)
# Add more features: volatility, momentum, volume-based if available, etc.
# e.g., log returns, price relative to moving average, etc.
df.dropna(inplace=True) # Remove rows with NaNs created by indicators
return df
if not btc_data.empty: featured_data = create_features(btc_data.copy()) # Use .copy() to avoid modifying original print("\nData with features:") print(featured_data.head()) else: print("Cannot create features, btc_data is empty.") featured_data = pd.DataFrame() # ensure it's a DataFrame
ERROR: ImportError Traceback (most recent call last) Cell In[3], line 1 ----> 1 import pandas_ta as ta 3 def create_features(df): 4 if df.empty or 'close' not in df.columns:
File ~\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_AI_env\Lib\site-packages\pandas_ta_init_.py:116 97 EXCHANGE_TZ = { 98 "NZSX": 12, "ASX": 11, 99 "TSE": 9, "HKE": 8, "SSE": 8, "SGX": 8, (...) 102 "BMF": -2, "NYSE": -4, "TSX": -4 103 } 105 RATE = { 106 "DAYS_PER_MONTH": 21, 107 "MINUTES_PER_HOUR": 60, (...) 113 "YEARLY": 1, 114 } --> 116 from pandas_ta.core import *
File ~\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_AI_env\Lib\site-packages\pandas_ta\core.py:18 16 from pandas_ta.candles import * 17 from pandas_ta.cycles import * ---> 18 from pandas_ta.momentum import * 19 from pandas_ta.overlap import * 20 from pandas_ta.performance import *
File ~\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_AI_env\Lib\site-packages\pandas_ta\momentum_init_.py:34 32 from .smi import smi 33 from .squeeze import squeeze ---> 34 from .squeeze_pro import squeeze_pro 35 from .stc import stc 36 from .stoch import stoch
File ~\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_AI_env\Lib\site-packages\pandas_ta\momentum\squeeze_pro.py:2 1 # -- coding: utf-8 -- ----> 2 from numpy import NaN as npNaN 3 from pandas import DataFrame 4 from pandas_ta.momentum import mom
ImportError: cannot import name 'NaN' from 'numpy' (C:\Users\micro\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_AI_env\Lib\site-packages\numpy_init_.py)
import warnings
warnings.filterwarnings('ignore')
import os
import alpaca_trade_api as tradeapi
import pandas as pd
from datetime import datetime, timedelta
import time
# For Paper Trading
os.environ['APCA_API_BASE_URL'] = 'https://paper-api.alpaca.markets'
# Replace with your actual keys or set them as environment variables
# Make sure these are set correctly if you haven't already
os.environ['APCA_API_KEY_ID'] = 'YOUR_PAPER_API_KEY_ID'
os.environ['APCA_API_SECRET_KEY'] = 'YOUR_PAPER_API_SECRET_KEY'
# os.environ['APCA_API_KEY_ID'] = 'YOUR_PAPER_API_KEY_ID'
# os.environ['APCA_API_SECRET_KEY'] = 'YOUR_PAPER_API_SECRET_KEY'
API_KEY = os.getenv('APCA_API_KEY_ID')
API_SECRET = os.getenv('APCA_API_SECRET_KEY')
BASE_URL = os.getenv('APCA_API_BASE_URL')
# Ensure API_KEY and API_SECRET are not None
if not API_KEY or not API_SECRET:
raise ValueError("API_KEY or API_SECRET not set. Please set them as environment variables or directly in the script.")
api = tradeapi.REST(API_KEY, API_SECRET, BASE_URL, api_version='v2')
print("Attempting to connect to Alpaca Paper Trading...")
try:
account = api.get_account()
print(f"Successfully connected. Account status: {account.status}")
except Exception as e:
print(f"Failed to connect or get account info: {e}")
# Exit or handle if connection fails
exit()
def fetch_data(symbol, timeframe_enum, start_date_str, end_date_str=None): # Changed timeframe to timeframe_enum
"""Fetches historical crypto data from Alpaca."""
if end_date_str is None:
end_date_str = datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d')
all_bars = []
start_dt = pd.to_datetime(start_date_str, utc=True)
end_dt = pd.to_datetime(end_date_str, utc=True)
current_start = start_dt
while current_start < end_dt:
# Calculate chunk_end, ensuring it doesn't exceed end_dt
# For 1-minute data, 10000 bars is approx 6.94 days. Let's use 6 days to be safe.
chunk_end_candidate = current_start + timedelta(days=6)
chunk_end = min(chunk_end_candidate, end_dt)
print(f"Fetching data from {current_start.isoformat()} to {chunk_end.isoformat()}")
try:
bars = api.get_crypto_bars(
symbol,
timeframe_enum, # Use the passed enum
start=current_start.isoformat(),
end=chunk_end.isoformat(), # Ensure end is also passed
limit=10000
).df
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error fetching data chunk: {e}")
# Decide how to handle: break, retry, or skip chunk
current_start = chunk_end # Move to next potential period
time.sleep(5) # Wait longer if an error occurred
continue
if bars.empty:
print(f"No data found for chunk starting {current_start.isoformat()}")
if current_start >= end_dt and not all_bars: # if first chunk and no data
break
current_start = chunk_end # Move to next chunk period
time.sleep(1) # Be nice to the API
continue
all_bars.append(bars)
if not bars.index.empty:
# Move current_start to the timestamp of the last bar fetched + 1 unit of timeframe
# For TimeFrame.Minute, this is +1 minute
if timeframe_enum == tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute:
current_start = bars.index[-1].to_pydatetime() + pd.Timedelta(minutes=1)
elif timeframe_enum == tradeapi.TimeFrame.Hour:
current_start = bars.index[-1].to_pydatetime() + pd.Timedelta(hours=1)
# Add other timeframes if needed
else: # Default for Day or others
current_start = bars.index[-1].to_pydatetime() + pd.Timedelta(days=1)
# Ensure current_start does not go beyond end_dt excessively in the loop condition
if current_start > end_dt and chunk_end_candidate >= end_dt :
break
else: # Should not happen if bars is not empty, but as a safeguard
current_start = chunk_end
time.sleep(1) # Respect API rate limits
if not all_bars:
print("No data fetched. Check your date range, symbol, or API connection.")
return pd.DataFrame()
df = pd.concat(all_bars)
df = df[~df.index.duplicated(keep='first')] # Remove potential duplicates
df = df.sort_index() # Ensure chronological order
# Filter to ensure we are within the originally requested start_dt and end_dt precisely
df = df[(df.index >= start_dt) & (df.index <= end_dt)]
return df
# Example usage:
symbol = "BTC/USD" # Alpaca uses "BTC/USD" for crypto pairs
# CORRECTED TIMEFRAME:
timeframe_to_use = tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute # Corrected
# Alternative: timeframe_to_use = "1Min" (as a string, for some SDK versions or if TimeFrame enum is problematic)
# Fetch last 7 days of data for example (a smaller range for quicker testing)
start_date = (datetime.now() - timedelta(days=7)).strftime('%Y-%m-%d')
# end_date = datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d') # Fetches up to now by default if None
btc_data = fetch_data(symbol, timeframe_to_use, start_date)
if not btc_data.empty:
print(f"\nFetched {len(btc_data)} rows of {symbol} data.")
print("Sample data (first 5 rows):")
print(btc_data.head())
print("\nSample data (last 5 rows):")
print(btc_data.tail())
else:
print("Failed to fetch data or no data available for the period.")
Attempting to connect to Alpaca Paper Trading...
Successfully connected. Account status: ACTIVE
Fetching data from 2025-05-29T00:00:00+00:00 to 2025-06-04T00:00:00+00:00
Fetching data from 2025-06-04T00:01:00+00:00 to 2025-06-05T00:00:00+00:00
Fetched 5587 rows of BTC/USD data.
Sample data (first 5 rows):
close high low trade_count \
timestamp
2025-05-29 00:00:00+00:00 107854.950 107854.9500 107797.350 0
2025-05-29 00:01:00+00:00 107730.050 107786.4545 107730.050 0
2025-05-29 00:02:00+00:00 107784.335 107784.3350 107784.335 0
2025-05-29 00:03:00+00:00 107749.815 107749.8150 107749.815 0
2025-05-29 00:04:00+00:00 107669.645 107680.6050 107524.300 0
open volume vwap symbol
timestamp
2025-05-29 00:00:00+00:00 107853.9450 0.0 107826.15000 BTC/USD
2025-05-29 00:01:00+00:00 107786.4545 0.0 107758.25225 BTC/USD
2025-05-29 00:02:00+00:00 107784.3350 0.0 107784.33500 BTC/USD
2025-05-29 00:03:00+00:00 107749.8150 0.0 107749.81500 BTC/USD
2025-05-29 00:04:00+00:00 107680.6050 0.0 107602.45250 BTC/USD
Sample data (last 5 rows):
close high low trade_count \
timestamp
2025-06-04 23:54:00+00:00 104807.747 104845.250 104807.747 0
2025-06-04 23:55:00+00:00 104816.255 104816.255 104782.185 0
2025-06-04 23:57:00+00:00 104744.600 104744.600 104744.600 0
2025-06-04 23:58:00+00:00 104732.050 104739.899 104732.050 0
2025-06-04 23:59:00+00:00 104748.560 104758.500 104657.600 1
open volume vwap symbol
timestamp
2025-06-04 23:54:00+00:00 104845.250 0.000000 104826.4985 BTC/USD
2025-06-04 23:55:00+00:00 104782.185 0.000000 104799.2200 BTC/USD
2025-06-04 23:57:00+00:00 104744.600 0.000000 104744.6000 BTC/USD
2025-06-04 23:58:00+00:00 104739.899 0.000000 104735.9745 BTC/USD
2025-06-04 23:59:00+00:00 104657.600 0.000072 104657.6000 BTC/USD
Step 3: Feature Engineering
This is where you create signals for your model. pandas-ta is a great library for this.
Okay, that ImportError: cannot import name 'NaN' from 'numpy' is a classic sign of an older library (like pandas-ta from 2021) not being compatible with newer versions of NumPy (where np.NaN was deprecated and then removed in favor of np.nan).
We can definitely replace pandas-ta with other libraries. A very popular and robust library for technical analysis is TA-Lib, but it requires installing the underlying C library which can sometimes be a bit tricky depending on your OS.
A simpler, pure-Python alternative that covers many common indicators is finta (FinancialIndicator). It's generally easier to install (pip install finta). Let's try to implement your create_features function using finta.
Important Notes for finta:
It typically expects column names like 'open', 'high', 'low', 'close' (all lowercase). The Alpaca API client's .df accessor usually provides these in lowercase, so we should be good.
Some functions in finta return a single Series, while others (like MACD or BBANDS) return a DataFrame with multiple columns. We'll need to handle that.
finta's Bollinger Bands function (TA.BBANDS) gives Upper, Middle, and Lower bands. We'll need to calculate Bandwidth (BBB_) and Percent B (BBP_) manually if finta doesn't provide them directly in the same way pandas-ta did.
Here's how you can modify your create_features function using finta:
First, make sure to install finta:
pip install finta
Then, replace your BAD CODE section with the following:
pip install finta
Collecting finta Downloading finta-1.3-py3-none-any.whl.metadata (6.4 kB) Requirement already satisfied: numpy in c:\users\micro\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_ai_env\lib\site-packages (from finta) (2.2.5) Requirement already satisfied: pandas in c:\users\micro\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_ai_env\lib\site-packages (from finta) (2.2.3) Requirement already satisfied: python-dateutil>=2.8.2 in c:\users\micro\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_ai_env\lib\site-packages (from pandas->finta) (2.9.0.post0) Requirement already satisfied: pytz>=2020.1 in c:\users\micro\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_ai_env\lib\site-packages (from pandas->finta) (2024.1) Requirement already satisfied: tzdata>=2022.7 in c:\users\micro\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_ai_env\lib\site-packages (from pandas->finta) (2024.2) Requirement already satisfied: six>=1.5 in c:\users\micro\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_ai_env\lib\site-packages (from python-dateutil>=2.8.2->pandas->finta) (1.16.0) Downloading finta-1.3-py3-none-any.whl (29 kB) Installing collected packages: finta Successfully installed finta-1.3 Note: you may need to restart the kernel to use updated packages.
import pandas as pd
from finta import TA # Import the TA module from finta
import numpy as np # For np.nan if needed for BBP/BBB calculation edge cases
# This is your existing GOOD CODE (data fetching part)
# I'm including it here just for completeness of the script context
# ... (paste your GOOD CODE here, from 'import os' down to the btc_data fetching and printing)
# For brevity, I'll assume btc_data is already fetched as per your GOOD CODE.
# --- MODIFIED create_features FUNCTION USING finta ---
def create_features_finta(df):
if df.empty or 'close' not in df.columns:
print("DataFrame is empty or 'close' column is missing.")
return df.copy() # Return a copy to avoid modifying original if it's returned early
# Ensure required columns for some indicators are present
required_ohlc = ['open', 'high', 'low', 'close']
if not all(col in df.columns for col in required_ohlc):
print(f"DataFrame is missing one or more required columns: {required_ohlc}")
# Attempt to continue if only 'close' is needed for some indicators,
# but ATR and BBands might fail or need to be skipped.
# For now, let's be strict for this example.
# You might want to add more nuanced handling later.
# return df.copy() # Or raise an error
# SMA (Simple Moving Average)
df['SMA_10'] = TA.SMA(df, period=10, column='close')
df['SMA_30'] = TA.SMA(df, period=30, column='close')
# EMA (Exponential Moving Average)
df['EMA_10'] = TA.EMA(df, period=10, column='close') # finta's EMA defaults to 'close' if not specified
# RSI (Relative Strength Index)
df['RSI_14'] = TA.RSI(df, period=14, column='close')
# MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
# TA.MACD returns a DataFrame with 'MACD' and 'SIGNAL' columns
macd_df = TA.MACD(df, period_fast=12, period_slow=26, signal=9, column='close')
df['MACD_12_26_9'] = macd_df['MACD']
df['MACDs_12_26_9'] = macd_df['SIGNAL'] # This is the signal line
df['MACDh_12_26_9'] = df['MACD_12_26_9'] - df['MACDs_12_26_9'] # Histogram is MACD - Signal
# Bollinger Bands (BBANDS)
# TA.BBANDS returns a DataFrame with 'BB_UPPER', 'BB_MIDDLE', 'BB_LOWER'
# It uses 'high', 'low', 'close' columns by default.
if all(col in df.columns for col in ['high', 'low', 'close']):
bb_df = TA.BBANDS(df, period=20, std_multiplier=2.0) # std_multiplier is for standard deviations
df['BBL_20_2.0'] = bb_df['BB_LOWER']
df['BBM_20_2.0'] = bb_df['BB_MIDDLE'] # This is the SMA(20)
df['BBU_20_2.0'] = bb_df['BB_UPPER']
# Calculate BBB (Bollinger Band Width) and BBP (Bollinger Band Percent B) manually
# BBB = (Upper Band - Lower Band) / Middle Band
df['BBB_20_2.0'] = (df['BBU_20_2.0'] - df['BBL_20_2.0']) / df['BBM_20_2.0']
# BBP = (Price - Lower Band) / (Upper Band - Lower Band)
# Handle division by zero if Upper Band == Lower Band (can happen in flat markets or with very short periods)
band_range = df['BBU_20_2.0'] - df['BBL_20_2.0']
df['BBP_20_2.0'] = np.where(band_range == 0, 0.5, (df['close'] - df['BBL_20_2.0']) / band_range) # if range is 0, BBP is undefined, set to 0.5 (middle) or NaN
else:
print("Skipping Bollinger Bands calculation as 'high', 'low', 'close' columns are not all present.")
for col_name in ['BBL_20_2.0', 'BBM_20_2.0', 'BBU_20_2.0', 'BBB_20_2.0', 'BBP_20_2.0']:
df[col_name] = np.nan
# ATR (Average True Range)
# TA.ATR requires 'high', 'low', 'close' columns.
if all(col in df.columns for col in ['high', 'low', 'close']):
df['ATR_14'] = TA.ATR(df, period=14)
else:
print("Skipping ATR calculation as 'high', 'low', 'close' columns are not all present.")
df['ATR_14'] = np.nan
# Lagged returns (this part is standard pandas, no change needed)
for lag in [1, 3, 5, 10]:
df[f'return_{lag}m'] = df['close'].pct_change(periods=lag)
df.dropna(inplace=True) # Remove rows with NaNs created by indicators
return df
# --- End of MODIFIED create_features FUNCTION ---
# Your existing code to call the function (make sure btc_data is defined from GOOD CODE)
if 'btc_data' in locals() and not btc_data.empty:
# It's good practice to lowercase column names if the library expects it,
# though Alpaca's .df usually does this. Let's be explicit.
btc_data.columns = [col.lower() for col in btc_data.columns]
featured_data = create_features_finta(btc_data.copy()) # Use .copy() to avoid modifying original
print("\nData with features (using finta):")
if not featured_data.empty:
print(featured_data.head())
print(f"\nNumber of rows in featured_data: {len(featured_data)}")
else:
print("Featured data is empty after processing.")
elif 'btc_data' in locals() and btc_data.empty:
print("Cannot create features, btc_data is empty.")
featured_data = pd.DataFrame() # ensure it's a DataFrame
else:
print("btc_data not found. Please run the data fetching part first.")
featured_data = pd.DataFrame()
Data with features (using finta):
close high low trade_count \
timestamp
2025-05-29 00:40:00+00:00 107891.3515 107891.3515 107891.3515 0
2025-05-29 00:42:00+00:00 107819.7350 107819.7350 107819.7350 0
2025-05-29 00:45:00+00:00 107887.0150 107887.0150 107887.0150 0
2025-05-29 00:47:00+00:00 107962.3700 107962.3700 107962.3700 0
2025-05-29 00:48:00+00:00 108009.4200 108009.4200 108009.4200 0
open volume vwap symbol \
timestamp
2025-05-29 00:40:00+00:00 107891.3515 0.0 107891.3515 BTC/USD
2025-05-29 00:42:00+00:00 107819.7350 0.0 107819.7350 BTC/USD
2025-05-29 00:45:00+00:00 107887.0150 0.0 107887.0150 BTC/USD
2025-05-29 00:47:00+00:00 107962.3700 0.0 107962.3700 BTC/USD
2025-05-29 00:48:00+00:00 108009.4200 0.0 108009.4200 BTC/USD
SMA_10 SMA_30 ... BBL_20_2.0 \
timestamp ...
2025-05-29 00:40:00+00:00 107940.20850 107797.621567 ... 107628.818315
2025-05-29 00:42:00+00:00 107922.53925 107796.447733 ... 107677.261002
2025-05-29 00:45:00+00:00 107904.22360 107801.679900 ... 107707.198595
2025-05-29 00:47:00+00:00 107901.82610 107807.614400 ... 107744.779959
2025-05-29 00:48:00+00:00 107911.29420 107816.267900 ... 107774.213800
BBM_20_2.0 BBU_20_2.0 BBB_20_2.0 \
timestamp
2025-05-29 00:40:00+00:00 107862.704675 108096.591035 0.004337
2025-05-29 00:42:00+00:00 107874.226550 108071.192098 0.003652
2025-05-29 00:45:00+00:00 107884.072300 108060.946005 0.003279
2025-05-29 00:47:00+00:00 107897.923525 108051.067091 0.002839
2025-05-29 00:48:00+00:00 107912.089525 108049.965250 0.002555
BBP_20_2.0 ATR_14 return_1m return_3m \
timestamp
2025-05-29 00:40:00+00:00 0.561241 76.081607 0.000338 -0.000014
2025-05-29 00:42:00+00:00 0.361672 76.737786 -0.000664 -0.001301
2025-05-29 00:45:00+00:00 0.508319 76.117071 0.000624 0.000297
2025-05-29 00:47:00+00:00 0.710412 78.004607 0.000698 0.000658
2025-05-29 00:48:00+00:00 0.852965 77.682679 0.000436 0.001759
return_5m return_10m
timestamp
2025-05-29 00:40:00+00:00 -0.000097 0.000023
2025-05-29 00:42:00+00:00 -0.001051 -0.001636
2025-05-29 00:45:00+00:00 -0.000054 -0.001695
2025-05-29 00:47:00+00:00 0.000020 -0.000222
2025-05-29 00:48:00+00:00 0.001432 0.000877
[5 rows x 25 columns]
Number of rows in featured_data: 5558
To make this a complete, runnable script, combine your "GOOD CODE" with the modified "BAD CODE" section:
import os
import alpaca_trade_api as tradeapi
import pandas as pd
from datetime import datetime, timedelta
import time
from finta import TA # Import for technical indicators
import numpy as np # For np.nan
# For Paper Trading
os.environ['APCA_API_BASE_URL'] = 'https://paper-api.alpaca.markets'
# Replace with your actual keys or set them as environment variables
# Make sure these are set correctly if you haven't already
# IMPORTANT: Replace with your actual keys for testing
#os.environ['APCA_API_KEY_ID'] = 'YOUR_PAPER_API_KEY_ID' # <--- REPLACE
#os.environ['APCA_API_SECRET_KEY'] = 'YOUR_PAPER_API_SECRET_KEY' # <--- REPLACE
os.environ['APCA_API_KEY_ID'] = 'YOUR_PAPER_API_KEY_ID'
os.environ['APCA_API_SECRET_KEY'] = 'YOUR_PAPER_API_SECRET_KEY'
API_KEY = os.getenv('APCA_API_KEY_ID')
API_SECRET = os.getenv('APCA_API_SECRET_KEY')
BASE_URL = os.getenv('APCA_API_BASE_URL')
# Ensure API_KEY and API_SECRET are not None
if not API_KEY or not API_SECRET or API_KEY == 'YOUR_PAPER_API_KEY_ID':
raise ValueError("API_KEY or API_SECRET not set or still default. Please set them as environment variables or directly in the script.")
api = tradeapi.REST(API_KEY, API_SECRET, BASE_URL, api_version='v2')
print("Attempting to connect to Alpaca Paper Trading...")
try:
account = api.get_account()
print(f"Successfully connected. Account status: {account.status}")
except Exception as e:
print(f"Failed to connect or get account info: {e}")
exit()
def fetch_data(symbol, timeframe_enum, start_date_str, end_date_str=None):
if end_date_str is None:
end_date_str = datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d')
all_bars = []
start_dt = pd.to_datetime(start_date_str, utc=True)
end_dt = pd.to_datetime(end_date_str, utc=True)
current_start = start_dt
while current_start < end_dt:
chunk_end_candidate = current_start + timedelta(days=6)
chunk_end = min(chunk_end_candidate, end_dt)
print(f"Fetching data from {current_start.isoformat()} to {chunk_end.isoformat()}")
try:
bars = api.get_crypto_bars(
symbol,
timeframe_enum,
start=current_start.isoformat(),
end=chunk_end.isoformat(),
limit=10000
).df
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error fetching data chunk: {e}")
current_start = chunk_end
time.sleep(5)
continue
if bars.empty:
print(f"No data found for chunk starting {current_start.isoformat()}")
if current_start >= end_dt and not all_bars:
break
current_start = chunk_end
time.sleep(1)
continue
all_bars.append(bars)
if not bars.index.empty:
if timeframe_enum == tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute:
current_start = bars.index[-1].to_pydatetime() + pd.Timedelta(minutes=1)
elif timeframe_enum == tradeapi.TimeFrame.Hour:
current_start = bars.index[-1].to_pydatetime() + pd.Timedelta(hours=1)
else:
current_start = bars.index[-1].to_pydatetime() + pd.Timedelta(days=1)
if current_start > end_dt and chunk_end_candidate >= end_dt :
break
else:
current_start = chunk_end
time.sleep(1)
if not all_bars:
print("No data fetched. Check your date range, symbol, or API connection.")
return pd.DataFrame()
df = pd.concat(all_bars)
df = df[~df.index.duplicated(keep='first')]
df = df.sort_index()
df = df[(df.index >= start_dt) & (df.index <= end_dt)]
return df
# Example usage:
symbol = "BTC/USD"
timeframe_to_use = tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute
start_date = (datetime.now() - timedelta(days=7)).strftime('%Y-%m-%d')
btc_data = fetch_data(symbol, timeframe_to_use, start_date)
if not btc_data.empty:
print(f"\nFetched {len(btc_data)} rows of {symbol} data.")
print("Sample data (first 5 rows):")
print(btc_data.head())
print("\nSample data (last 5 rows):")
print(btc_data.tail())
# Ensure column names are lowercase for finta
btc_data.columns = [col.lower() for col in btc_data.columns]
else:
print("Failed to fetch data or no data available for the period.")
btc_data = pd.DataFrame() # ensure it's a DataFrame for subsequent steps
# --- REVISED create_features FUNCTION USING finta ---
def create_features(df_input): # Renamed input to df_input to avoid clash with outer scope df
df = df_input.copy() # Work on a copy
if df.empty or 'close' not in df.columns:
print("DataFrame is empty or 'close' column is missing.")
return df # Return the empty or deficient (but copied) DataFrame
# Ensure required columns for some indicators are present
required_ohlc = ['open', 'high', 'low', 'close']
has_ohlc = all(col in df.columns for col in required_ohlc)
# SMA (Simple Moving Average)
df['SMA_10'] = TA.SMA(df, period=10, column='close')
df['SMA_30'] = TA.SMA(df, period=30, column='close')
# EMA (Exponential Moving Average)
df['EMA_10'] = TA.EMA(df, period=10, column='close')
# RSI (Relative Strength Index)
df['RSI_14'] = TA.RSI(df, period=14, column='close')
# MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
macd_df = TA.MACD(df, period_fast=12, period_slow=26, signal=9, column='close')
df['MACD_12_26_9'] = macd_df['MACD']
df['MACDs_12_26_9'] = macd_df['SIGNAL']
df['MACDh_12_26_9'] = df['MACD_12_26_9'] - df['MACDs_12_26_9']
# Bollinger Bands (BBANDS)
if has_ohlc:
bb_df = TA.BBANDS(df, period=20, std_multiplier=2.0)
df['BBL_20_2.0'] = bb_df['BB_LOWER']
df['BBM_20_2.0'] = bb_df['BB_MIDDLE']
df['BBU_20_2.0'] = bb_df['BB_UPPER']
df['BBB_20_2.0'] = (df['BBU_20_2.0'] - df['BBL_20_2.0']) / df['BBM_20_2.0']
band_range = df['BBU_20_2.0'] - df['BBL_20_2.0']
df['BBP_20_2.0'] = np.where(band_range == 0, 0.5, (df['close'] - df['BBL_20_2.0']) / band_range)
else:
print("Skipping Bollinger Bands calculation as 'open', 'high', 'low', 'close' columns are not all present.")
for col_name in ['BBL_20_2.0', 'BBM_20_2.0', 'BBU_20_2.0', 'BBB_20_2.0', 'BBP_20_2.0']:
df[col_name] = np.nan
# ATR (Average True Range)
if has_ohlc:
df['ATR_14'] = TA.ATR(df, period=14)
else:
print("Skipping ATR calculation as 'open', 'high', 'low', 'close' columns are not all present.")
df['ATR_14'] = np.nan
# Lagged returns
for lag in [1, 3, 5, 10]:
df[f'return_{lag}m'] = df['close'].pct_change(periods=lag)
df.dropna(inplace=True)
return df
# --- End of REVISED create_features FUNCTION ---
# Call the feature creation function
if not btc_data.empty:
featured_data = create_features(btc_data) # No need for .copy() here as create_features does it
print("\nData with features (using finta):")
if not featured_data.empty:
print(featured_data.head())
print(f"\nNumber of rows in featured_data: {len(featured_data)}")
print("\nColumns in featured_data:")
print(featured_data.columns.tolist())
else:
print("Featured data is empty after processing and NaN removal.")
else:
print("Cannot create features, btc_data is empty.")
featured_data = pd.DataFrame()
Attempting to connect to Alpaca Paper Trading...
Successfully connected. Account status: ACTIVE
Fetching data from 2025-05-29T00:00:00+00:00 to 2025-06-04T00:00:00+00:00
Fetching data from 2025-06-04T00:01:00+00:00 to 2025-06-05T00:00:00+00:00
Fetched 5587 rows of BTC/USD data.
Sample data (first 5 rows):
close high low trade_count \
timestamp
2025-05-29 00:00:00+00:00 107854.950 107854.9500 107797.350 0
2025-05-29 00:01:00+00:00 107730.050 107786.4545 107730.050 0
2025-05-29 00:02:00+00:00 107784.335 107784.3350 107784.335 0
2025-05-29 00:03:00+00:00 107749.815 107749.8150 107749.815 0
2025-05-29 00:04:00+00:00 107669.645 107680.6050 107524.300 0
open volume vwap symbol
timestamp
2025-05-29 00:00:00+00:00 107853.9450 0.0 107826.15000 BTC/USD
2025-05-29 00:01:00+00:00 107786.4545 0.0 107758.25225 BTC/USD
2025-05-29 00:02:00+00:00 107784.3350 0.0 107784.33500 BTC/USD
2025-05-29 00:03:00+00:00 107749.8150 0.0 107749.81500 BTC/USD
2025-05-29 00:04:00+00:00 107680.6050 0.0 107602.45250 BTC/USD
Sample data (last 5 rows):
close high low trade_count \
timestamp
2025-06-04 23:54:00+00:00 104807.747 104845.250 104807.747 0
2025-06-04 23:55:00+00:00 104816.255 104816.255 104782.185 0
2025-06-04 23:57:00+00:00 104744.600 104744.600 104744.600 0
2025-06-04 23:58:00+00:00 104732.050 104739.899 104732.050 0
2025-06-04 23:59:00+00:00 104748.560 104758.500 104657.600 1
open volume vwap symbol
timestamp
2025-06-04 23:54:00+00:00 104845.250 0.000000 104826.4985 BTC/USD
2025-06-04 23:55:00+00:00 104782.185 0.000000 104799.2200 BTC/USD
2025-06-04 23:57:00+00:00 104744.600 0.000000 104744.6000 BTC/USD
2025-06-04 23:58:00+00:00 104739.899 0.000000 104735.9745 BTC/USD
2025-06-04 23:59:00+00:00 104657.600 0.000072 104657.6000 BTC/USD
Data with features (using finta):
close high low trade_count \
timestamp
2025-05-29 00:40:00+00:00 107891.3515 107891.3515 107891.3515 0
2025-05-29 00:42:00+00:00 107819.7350 107819.7350 107819.7350 0
2025-05-29 00:45:00+00:00 107887.0150 107887.0150 107887.0150 0
2025-05-29 00:47:00+00:00 107962.3700 107962.3700 107962.3700 0
2025-05-29 00:48:00+00:00 108009.4200 108009.4200 108009.4200 0
open volume vwap symbol \
timestamp
2025-05-29 00:40:00+00:00 107891.3515 0.0 107891.3515 BTC/USD
2025-05-29 00:42:00+00:00 107819.7350 0.0 107819.7350 BTC/USD
2025-05-29 00:45:00+00:00 107887.0150 0.0 107887.0150 BTC/USD
2025-05-29 00:47:00+00:00 107962.3700 0.0 107962.3700 BTC/USD
2025-05-29 00:48:00+00:00 108009.4200 0.0 108009.4200 BTC/USD
SMA_10 SMA_30 ... BBL_20_2.0 \
timestamp ...
2025-05-29 00:40:00+00:00 107940.20850 107797.621567 ... 107628.818315
2025-05-29 00:42:00+00:00 107922.53925 107796.447733 ... 107677.261002
2025-05-29 00:45:00+00:00 107904.22360 107801.679900 ... 107707.198595
2025-05-29 00:47:00+00:00 107901.82610 107807.614400 ... 107744.779959
2025-05-29 00:48:00+00:00 107911.29420 107816.267900 ... 107774.213800
BBM_20_2.0 BBU_20_2.0 BBB_20_2.0 \
timestamp
2025-05-29 00:40:00+00:00 107862.704675 108096.591035 0.004337
2025-05-29 00:42:00+00:00 107874.226550 108071.192098 0.003652
2025-05-29 00:45:00+00:00 107884.072300 108060.946005 0.003279
2025-05-29 00:47:00+00:00 107897.923525 108051.067091 0.002839
2025-05-29 00:48:00+00:00 107912.089525 108049.965250 0.002555
BBP_20_2.0 ATR_14 return_1m return_3m \
timestamp
2025-05-29 00:40:00+00:00 0.561241 76.081607 0.000338 -0.000014
2025-05-29 00:42:00+00:00 0.361672 76.737786 -0.000664 -0.001301
2025-05-29 00:45:00+00:00 0.508319 76.117071 0.000624 0.000297
2025-05-29 00:47:00+00:00 0.710412 78.004607 0.000698 0.000658
2025-05-29 00:48:00+00:00 0.852965 77.682679 0.000436 0.001759
return_5m return_10m
timestamp
2025-05-29 00:40:00+00:00 -0.000097 0.000023
2025-05-29 00:42:00+00:00 -0.001051 -0.001636
2025-05-29 00:45:00+00:00 -0.000054 -0.001695
2025-05-29 00:47:00+00:00 0.000020 -0.000222
2025-05-29 00:48:00+00:00 0.001432 0.000877
[5 rows x 25 columns]
Number of rows in featured_data: 5558
Columns in featured_data:
['close', 'high', 'low', 'trade_count', 'open', 'volume', 'vwap', 'symbol', 'SMA_10', 'SMA_30', 'EMA_10', 'RSI_14', 'MACD_12_26_9', 'MACDs_12_26_9', 'MACDh_12_26_9', 'BBL_20_2.0', 'BBM_20_2.0', 'BBU_20_2.0', 'BBB_20_2.0', 'BBP_20_2.0', 'ATR_14', 'return_1m', 'return_3m', 'return_5m', 'return_10m']
Explanation of Changes and finta Usage:
Import finta: from finta import TA
Column Names: finta generally expects lowercase 'open', 'high', 'low', 'close'. I've added btc_data.columns = [col.lower() for col in btc_data.columns] after fetching data to ensure this.
SMA, EMA, RSI: These are straightforward. TA.SMA(df, period=X, column='close').
MACD: TA.MACD() returns a DataFrame. We extract 'MACD' and 'SIGNAL' columns and calculate the histogram (MACDh) as their difference.
Bollinger Bands: TA.BBANDS() also returns a DataFrame with 'BB_UPPER', 'BB_MIDDLE', 'BB_LOWER'.
I've added manual calculation for BBB_20_2.0 (Bandwidth) and BBP_20_2.0 (Percent B) as finta doesn't provide these directly in the same format as pandas-ta.
Added a check for band_range == 0 in BBP calculation to prevent division by zero.
ATR: TA.ATR() is used. This function expects 'high', 'low', and 'close' columns in the input DataFrame.
OHLC Check: Added a has_ohlc check because ATR and BBANDS require 'open', 'high', 'low', 'close' columns. If not present, these indicators are skipped and their columns filled with NaN (which will then be dropped by dropna).
.copy(): The create_features function now explicitly works on a copy of the input DataFrame (df = df_input.copy()) to prevent unintended side effects on the original btc_data.
Error Handling/Column Existence: Added checks to ensure 'close' and other OHLC columns exist before attempting to use them.
This should resolve the ImportError and give you the desired features using the finta library. Remember to replace 'YOUR_PAPER_API_KEY_ID' and 'YOUR_PAPER_API_SECRET_KEY' with your actual Alpaca paper trading credentials.
Ok. Next step you previously proposed was like this (below). Can you adjust it to make it work with this new library and all the other changes if neccessary:...
Step 4: Model Training - Defining Target & Training
Let's define a simple target: will the price be higher or lower in N minutes?
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split, TimeSeriesSplit
from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestClassifier # Example model
from sklearn.metrics import accuracy_score, classification_report
import xgboost as xgb
def prepare_data_for_model(df, target_horizon=5, test_size=0.2):
"""
Prepares X (features) and y (target) for the ML model.
Target: 1 if price increases by more than a small threshold after target_horizon periods, 0 otherwise.
-1 if price decreases by more than a small threshold. (Optional: make it 3 classes)
"""
if df.empty or 'close' not in df.columns:
print("DataFrame is empty or 'close' column is missing.")
return pd.DataFrame(), pd.Series(dtype='float64'), pd.DataFrame(), pd.Series(dtype='float64')
# Define target: 1 if price goes up in `target_horizon` minutes, 0 otherwise
# A small threshold can help avoid noise around 0% change
# price_threshold = 0.0005 # e.g., 0.05% change
# df['future_price'] = df['close'].shift(-target_horizon)
# df['price_change'] = (df['future_price'] - df['close']) / df['close']
# df['target'] = 0 # Hold
# df.loc[df['price_change'] > price_threshold, 'target'] = 1 # Buy
# df.loc[df['price_change'] < -price_threshold, 'target'] = -1 # Sell (for 3-class)
# For 2-class (Up/Not Up):
df['target'] = (df['close'].shift(-target_horizon) > df['close']).astype(int)
df.dropna(inplace=True) # Remove rows with NaN target (due to shift)
feature_columns = [col for col in df.columns if col not in ['open', 'high', 'low', 'close', 'volume', 'trade_count', 'vwap', 'target', 'future_price', 'price_change']]
X = df[feature_columns]
y = df['target']
# Time series split is crucial: DO NOT shuffle time series data for training
# For a simple split:
split_index = int(len(X) * (1 - test_size))
X_train, X_test = X[:split_index], X[split_index:]
y_train, y_test = y[:split_index], y[split_index:]
# For more robust cross-validation, use TimeSeriesSplit
# tscv = TimeSeriesSplit(n_splits=5)
# for train_index, test_index in tscv.split(X):
# X_train, X_test = X.iloc[train_index], X.iloc[test_index]
# y_train, y_test = y.iloc[train_index], y.iloc[test_index]
# Train and evaluate your model here
return X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test, feature_columns
if not featured_data.empty:
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test, feature_cols = prepare_data_for_model(featured_data.copy(), target_horizon=5)
if not X_train.empty:
print(f"\nTraining data shape: X_train: {X_train.shape}, y_train: {y_train.shape}")
print(f"Test data shape: X_test: {X_test.shape}, y_test: {y_test.shape}")
print(f"Features used: {feature_cols}")
# Example Model: Random Forest
# model = RandomForestClassifier(n_estimators=100, random_state=42, class_weight='balanced')
# Example Model: XGBoost (often performs well)
model = xgb.XGBClassifier(
objective='binary:logistic', # or 'multi:softprob' for multi-class
n_estimators=100,
learning_rate=0.1,
max_depth=3,
use_label_encoder=False, # Suppress a warning
eval_metric='logloss' # or 'mlogloss' for multi-class
)
model.fit(X_train, y_train)
# Evaluate on test set
y_pred = model.predict(X_test)
print("\nModel Evaluation on Test Set:")
print(f"Accuracy: {accuracy_score(y_test, y_pred):.4f}")
print(classification_report(y_test, y_pred, zero_division=0))
# Feature importance (for tree-based models)
if hasattr(model, 'feature_importances_'):
importances = pd.Series(model.feature_importances_, index=X_train.columns).sort_values(ascending=False)
print("\nFeature Importances:")
print(importances.head(10))
else:
print("Not enough data to create training/test sets after feature engineering and target creation.")
else:
print("Cannot prepare data for model, featured_data is empty.")
model = None # Ensure model is defined even if training fails
Important Considerations for Modeling:
Target Definition: This is critical. Predicting direction is hard. Predicting magnitude or using a threshold (e.g., price must move > 0.1% to be a "1") can be better.
Class Imbalance: If "up" signals are rare, your model might be biased. Use techniques like class_weight='balanced' (for some models) or over/undersampling (e.g., SMOTE).
Stationarity: Price series are generally non-stationary. Features like returns or indicators often help.
Overfitting: Models can learn noise from historical data. Robust cross-validation (like TimeSeriesSplit) and regularization are key.
Okay, this "Step 4: Model Training" code can be adapted quite smoothly. The key is that featured_data (which is the output from your create_features function using finta) contains the 'close' column for target generation and all the engineered features. The logic for selecting feature_columns by excluding raw data columns and target-related columns should still work correctly.
Here are the adjustments and the complete code for Step 4:
Prerequisites:
Make sure you have the necessary libraries installed:
pip install scikit-learn xgboost pandas numpy
...
This code assumes that featured_data (a pandas DataFrame) has been successfully created in the previous step (using finta for feature engineering) and is available in the global scope.
Adjusted Step 4 Code:
import pandas as pd
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split, TimeSeriesSplit # TimeSeriesSplit for more advanced CV
from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestClassifier # Example alternative model
from sklearn.metrics import accuracy_score, classification_report
import xgboost as xgb
import numpy as np # For np.nan and other numpy operations if needed
def prepare_data_for_model(df_input, target_horizon=5, test_size=0.2):
"""
Prepares X (features) and y (target) for the ML model.
Target: 1 if price increases after target_horizon periods, 0 otherwise.
"""
df = df_input.copy() # Work on a copy to avoid modifying the original DataFrame
if df.empty or 'close' not in df.columns:
print("DataFrame is empty or 'close' column is missing for target creation.")
# Ensure 5 items are returned to match unpacking expectations
return pd.DataFrame(), pd.DataFrame(), pd.Series(dtype='float64'), pd.Series(dtype='float64'), []
# Define target: 1 if price goes up in `target_horizon` minutes, 0 otherwise
# df['future_price'] = df['close'].shift(-target_horizon) # Intermediate step
# df['target'] = (df['future_price'] > df['close']).astype(int)
# Simplified:
df['target'] = (df['close'].shift(-target_horizon) > df['close']).astype(int)
# Optional: Define target with a threshold (more robust against noise)
# price_threshold = 0.0005 # 0.05%
# df['price_change_pct'] = (df['close'].shift(-target_horizon) - df['close']) / df['close']
# df['target'] = 0 # Default to 'hold' or 'no significant change'
# df.loc[df['price_change_pct'] > price_threshold, 'target'] = 1 # Price went up significantly
# df.loc[df['price_change_pct'] < -price_threshold, 'target'] = 2 # Price went down significantly (for 3-class)
# For binary (up vs not up significantly):
# df['target'] = (df['price_change_pct'] > price_threshold).astype(int)
df.dropna(inplace=True) # Remove rows with NaN target (due to shift) or NaNs from features
# Identify feature columns:
# These are the columns from the original data or intermediate target calculation steps
# The 'featured_data' (input df) should have had its columns lowercased in the previous step.
cols_to_exclude = ['open', 'high', 'low', 'close', 'volume', # Raw data
'trade_count', 'vwap', # Other raw data (if present)
'future_price', 'price_change_pct', 'target'] # Target-related (add any you create)
# Filter out columns that might not exist in df to avoid errors, then exclude
actual_cols_to_exclude = [col for col in cols_to_exclude if col in df.columns]
feature_columns = [col for col in df.columns if col not in actual_cols_to_exclude]
if not feature_columns:
print("No feature columns found after exclusion. Check exclusion list and DataFrame contents.")
return pd.DataFrame(), pd.DataFrame(), pd.Series(dtype='float64'), pd.Series(dtype='float64'), []
X = df[feature_columns]
y = df['target']
if X.empty or y.empty:
print("X or y is empty after processing. Not enough data.")
return pd.DataFrame(), pd.DataFrame(), pd.Series(dtype='float64'), pd.Series(dtype='float64'), feature_columns
# Time series split is crucial: DO NOT shuffle time series data for training
# Simple chronological split:
split_index = int(len(X) * (1 - test_size))
X_train, X_test = X.iloc[:split_index], X.iloc[split_index:]
y_train, y_test = y.iloc[:split_index], y.iloc[split_index:]
# For more robust cross-validation, consider TimeSeriesSplit from sklearn.model_selection
# tscv = TimeSeriesSplit(n_splits=5)
# for train_idx, val_idx in tscv.split(X):
# X_train_fold, X_val_fold = X.iloc[train_idx], X.iloc[val_idx]
# y_train_fold, y_val_fold = y.iloc[train_idx], y.iloc[val_idx]
# # Train model on X_train_fold, y_train_fold; evaluate on X_val_fold, y_val_fold
return X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test, feature_columns
# --- Main script execution for Step 4 ---
# This assumes 'featured_data' DataFrame is available from the previous step
model = None # Initialize model variable
if 'featured_data' in locals() and not featured_data.empty:
# Ensure 'close' column exists if not already checked by create_features
if 'close' not in featured_data.columns:
print("Error: 'close' column is missing in featured_data. Cannot proceed with model training.")
else:
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test, feature_cols = prepare_data_for_model(
featured_data, # No .copy() needed here as prepare_data_for_model does it
target_horizon=5, # Predict 5 minutes into the future
test_size=0.2 # 20% of data for testing
)
if not X_train.empty and not y_train.empty and not X_test.empty and not y_test.empty:
print(f"\nTraining data shape: X_train: {X_train.shape}, y_train: {y_train.shape}")
print(f"Test data shape: X_test: {X_test.shape}, y_test: {y_test.shape}")
print(f"Number of features: {len(feature_cols)}")
# print(f"Features used: {feature_cols}") # Can be very long, print first few if needed
print(f"First 5 features: {feature_cols[:5]}")
# Example Model: XGBoost (often performs well)
# For XGBoost versions < 1.6, you might need use_label_encoder=False if y_train is a Pandas Series
# For XGBoost versions >= 1.6, use_label_encoder is deprecated/removed.
# If you encounter issues, ensure y_train is a NumPy array: y_train.to_numpy()
model = xgb.XGBClassifier(
objective='binary:logistic', # For binary up/down prediction
n_estimators=100,
learning_rate=0.1,
max_depth=3,
# use_label_encoder=False, # Removed for better compatibility with XGBoost >= 1.6
eval_metric='logloss' # Evaluation metric for binary classification
)
print("\nTraining the XGBoost model...")
try:
model.fit(X_train, y_train) # XGBoost can often handle pandas DataFrames/Series directly
# Evaluate on test set
y_pred = model.predict(X_test)
y_pred_proba = model.predict_proba(X_test)[:, 1] # Probabilities for the positive class
print("\nModel Evaluation on Test Set:")
print(f"Accuracy: {accuracy_score(y_test, y_pred):.4f}")
# Check unique classes in y_test and y_pred for classification_report
# This helps avoid errors if one class is missing in predictions or test set after split/dropna
report = classification_report(y_test, y_pred, zero_division=0)
print(report)
# Feature importance (for tree-based models like XGBoost)
if hasattr(model, 'feature_importances_'):
importances = pd.Series(model.feature_importances_, index=X_train.columns).sort_values(ascending=False)
print("\nTop 10 Feature Importances:")
print(importances.head(10))
except Exception as e:
print(f"An error occurred during model training or evaluation: {e}")
model = None # Ensure model is None if training failed
else:
print("Not enough data to create training/test sets after feature engineering and target creation.")
if 'feature_cols' in locals() and feature_cols: # Check if feature_cols was populated
print(f"Identified feature columns: {feature_cols[:5]}...")
else:
print("Could not identify feature columns.")
else:
print("Cannot prepare data for model, 'featured_data' is empty or not defined.")
# X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test, feature_cols will not be defined here
Key changes and considerations:
prepare_data_for_model adjustments:
The early return now correctly returns 5 items to match the unpacking: return pd.DataFrame(), pd.DataFrame(), pd.Series(dtype='float64'), pd.Series(dtype='float64'), [].
The cols_to_exclude list for defining feature_columns is made more robust by checking if the columns actually exist in the DataFrame before trying to use them in the list comprehension. This prevents errors if, for example, vwap or trade_count weren't available in the fetched data.
Added more checks for empty X, y, or feature_columns inside prepare_data_for_model.
XGBoost use_label_encoder: I've commented out use_label_encoder=False. Modern versions of XGBoost (>=1.6) handle this better or have deprecated the parameter. If you are using an older version and get a specific warning, you might need to add it back or convert y_train to a NumPy array (y_train.to_numpy()).
Robustness: Added checks for featured_data existence and emptiness before calling prepare_data_for_model. Also added checks for the output of prepare_data_for_model before proceeding to train.
Target Definition: The code uses a simple "price up vs not up" target. The commented-out section in prepare_data_for_model shows how you might introduce a price_threshold or create a 3-class target (up, down, hold), which often leads to more practical trading signals. If you change to a 3-class target, remember to update objective and eval_metric in XGBClassifier.
Error Handling: Basic try-except block around model fitting and evaluation.
Clarity: Added more print statements for feedback during execution.
This Step 4 code should now integrate well with your previous steps using finta and provide a basic framework for training your first trading model. Remember that building a profitable trading bot is an iterative process involving careful feature engineering, robust target definition, rigorous backtesting, and risk management.
An error occurred during model training or evaluation: DataFrame.dtypes for data must be int, float, bool or category. When categorical type is supplied, the experimental DMatrix parameterenable_categorical must be set to True. Invalid columns:symbol: object
Ah, that's a very common and clear error message from XGBoost!
The problem is Invalid columns:symbol: object.
XGBoost, like most machine learning models, requires all input features to be numerical (integer, float, boolean). The symbol column in your featured_data is likely a string (e.g., "BTC/USD"), which is an object dtype in pandas, and XGBoost doesn't know how to process it directly.
Solution:
You need to remove or encode the symbol column before training the model.
If the symbol is the same for all rows (e.g., you're only training on "BTC/USD" data at this point): The easiest solution is to simply remove it from the feature set as it provides no predictive information within that single dataset.
If you plan to train a model on multiple symbols later: You would need to encode it, for example, using One-Hot Encoding. However, for a single symbol model, it's redundant.
Let's go with the first, simpler option for now.
How to fix the code:
Modify the cols_to_exclude list in your prepare_data_for_model function to explicitly include 'symbol'.
Here's the relevant part of the prepare_data_for_model function with the fix:
Explanation of the fix:
By adding 'symbol' to the cols_to_exclude list, the feature_columns list comprehension will automatically exclude it when creating the X DataFrame that is fed into the XGBoost model.
After making this change, your feature_cols will no longer include 'symbol', and the XGBoost training should proceed without this specific error.
The rest of your "Step 4" code (the part that calls prepare_data_for_model and trains the model) doesn't need to change. Just update the prepare_data_for_model function.
Run the script again, and it should get past this error. You'll then see the model training and evaluation output.
import pandas as pd
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split, TimeSeriesSplit # TimeSeriesSplit for more advanced CV
from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestClassifier # Example alternative model
from sklearn.metrics import accuracy_score, classification_report
import xgboost as xgb
import numpy as np # For np.nan and other numpy operations if needed
def prepare_data_for_model(df_input, target_horizon=5, test_size=0.2):
"""
Prepares X (features) and y (target) for the ML model.
Target: 1 if price increases after target_horizon periods, 0 otherwise.
"""
df = df_input.copy() # Work on a copy to avoid modifying the original DataFrame
if df.empty or 'close' not in df.columns:
print("DataFrame is empty or 'close' column is missing for target creation.")
return pd.DataFrame(), pd.DataFrame(), pd.Series(dtype='float64'), pd.Series(dtype='float64'), []
df['target'] = (df['close'].shift(-target_horizon) > df['close']).astype(int)
df.dropna(inplace=True)
# Identify feature columns:
# ----- THIS IS THE KEY CHANGE -----
cols_to_exclude = ['open', 'high', 'low', 'close', 'volume', # Raw data
'trade_count', 'vwap', # Other raw data (if present)
'future_price', 'price_change_pct', 'target', # Target-related
'symbol'] # <<< ADD 'symbol' HERE
# Filter out columns that might not exist in df to avoid errors, then exclude
actual_cols_to_exclude = [col for col in cols_to_exclude if col in df.columns]
feature_columns = [col for col in df.columns if col not in actual_cols_to_exclude]
if not feature_columns:
print("No feature columns found after exclusion. Check exclusion list and DataFrame contents.")
return pd.DataFrame(), pd.DataFrame(), pd.Series(dtype='float64'), pd.Series(dtype='float64'), []
X = df[feature_columns]
y = df['target']
if X.empty or y.empty:
print("X or y is empty after processing. Not enough data.")
return pd.DataFrame(), pd.DataFrame(), pd.Series(dtype='float64'), pd.Series(dtype='float64'), feature_columns
split_index = int(len(X) * (1 - test_size))
X_train, X_test = X.iloc[:split_index], X.iloc[split_index:]
y_train, y_test = y.iloc[:split_index], y.iloc[split_index:]
return X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test, feature_columns
# --- Main script execution for Step 4 ---
# This assumes 'featured_data' DataFrame is available from the previous step
model = None # Initialize model variable
if 'featured_data' in locals() and not featured_data.empty:
# Ensure 'close' column exists if not already checked by create_features
if 'close' not in featured_data.columns:
print("Error: 'close' column is missing in featured_data. Cannot proceed with model training.")
else:
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test, feature_cols = prepare_data_for_model(
featured_data, # No .copy() needed here as prepare_data_for_model does it
target_horizon=5, # Predict 5 minutes into the future
test_size=0.2 # 20% of data for testing
)
if not X_train.empty and not y_train.empty and not X_test.empty and not y_test.empty:
print(f"\nTraining data shape: X_train: {X_train.shape}, y_train: {y_train.shape}")
print(f"Test data shape: X_test: {X_test.shape}, y_test: {y_test.shape}")
print(f"Number of features: {len(feature_cols)}")
# print(f"Features used: {feature_cols}") # Can be very long, print first few if needed
print(f"First 5 features: {feature_cols[:5]}")
# Example Model: XGBoost (often performs well)
# For XGBoost versions < 1.6, you might need use_label_encoder=False if y_train is a Pandas Series
# For XGBoost versions >= 1.6, use_label_encoder is deprecated/removed.
# If you encounter issues, ensure y_train is a NumPy array: y_train.to_numpy()
model = xgb.XGBClassifier(
objective='binary:logistic', # For binary up/down prediction
n_estimators=100,
learning_rate=0.1,
max_depth=3,
# use_label_encoder=False, # Removed for better compatibility with XGBoost >= 1.6
eval_metric='logloss' # Evaluation metric for binary classification
)
print("\nTraining the XGBoost model...")
try:
model.fit(X_train, y_train) # XGBoost can often handle pandas DataFrames/Series directly
# Evaluate on test set
y_pred = model.predict(X_test)
y_pred_proba = model.predict_proba(X_test)[:, 1] # Probabilities for the positive class
print("\nModel Evaluation on Test Set:")
print(f"Accuracy: {accuracy_score(y_test, y_pred):.4f}")
# Check unique classes in y_test and y_pred for classification_report
# This helps avoid errors if one class is missing in predictions or test set after split/dropna
report = classification_report(y_test, y_pred, zero_division=0)
print(report)
# Feature importance (for tree-based models like XGBoost)
if hasattr(model, 'feature_importances_'):
importances = pd.Series(model.feature_importances_, index=X_train.columns).sort_values(ascending=False)
print("\nTop 10 Feature Importances:")
print(importances.head(10))
except Exception as e:
print(f"An error occurred during model training or evaluation: {e}")
model = None # Ensure model is None if training failed
else:
print("Not enough data to create training/test sets after feature engineering and target creation.")
if 'feature_cols' in locals() and feature_cols: # Check if feature_cols was populated
print(f"Identified feature columns: {feature_cols[:5]}...")
else:
print("Could not identify feature columns.")
else:
print("Cannot prepare data for model, 'featured_data' is empty or not defined.")
# X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test, feature_cols will not be defined here
Training data shape: X_train: (4446, 17), y_train: (4446,)
Test data shape: X_test: (1112, 17), y_test: (1112,)
Number of features: 17
First 5 features: ['SMA_10', 'SMA_30', 'EMA_10', 'RSI_14', 'MACD_12_26_9']
Training the XGBoost model...
Model Evaluation on Test Set:
Accuracy: 0.5153
precision recall f1-score support
0 0.53 0.69 0.60 588
1 0.48 0.32 0.39 524
accuracy 0.52 1112
macro avg 0.51 0.50 0.49 1112
weighted avg 0.51 0.52 0.50 1112
Top 10 Feature Importances:
BBU_20_2.0 0.076261
SMA_30 0.072104
SMA_10 0.071693
BBM_20_2.0 0.064772
MACD_12_26_9 0.064698
ATR_14 0.064123
BBL_20_2.0 0.063519
EMA_10 0.062803
return_10m 0.060938
BBB_20_2.0 0.059963
dtype: float32
It gave me this. What does it mean?
This output is excellent! It means the model trained successfully after fixing the 'symbol' column issue. Let's break down what this output tells you:
Data Shapes:
Training data shape: X_train: (4446, 17), y_train: (4446,)
You have 4446 data points (rows) for training.
Each data point has 17 features (columns) after removing 'symbol' and other excluded columns.
y_train has 4446 corresponding target labels.
Test data shape: X_test: (1112, 17), y_test: (1112,)
You have 1112 data points for testing, also with 17 features each.
Number of features: 17
Confirms the count of features used.
First 5 features: ['SMA_10', 'SMA_30', 'EMA_10', 'RSI_14', 'MACD_12_26_9']
Shows the names of the first few features, confirming 'symbol' is gone and your technical indicators are present.
Model Training:
Training the XGBoost model...
This indicates the model.fit(X_train, y_train) command executed without crashing.
Model Evaluation on Test Set:
Accuracy: 0.5153
The model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or not up 51.53% of the time on the unseen test data.
For a binary classification problem on financial markets (which are notoriously noisy), an accuracy slightly above 50% is not uncommon for a first attempt. It's better than random guessing (50%), but there's definitely room for improvement.
Classification Report: This provides a more detailed breakdown of performance for each class (0 and 1).
Target: 1 if price increases after target_horizon periods, 0 otherwise.
Class 0 (Price did NOT go up / went down or stayed same):
precision: 0.53: When the model predicted "0", it was correct 53% of the time.
recall: 0.69: The model correctly identified 69% of all actual "0" instances.
f1-score: 0.60: The harmonic mean of precision and recall for class "0".
support: 588: There were 588 actual instances of "0" in the test set.
Class 1 (Price DID go up):
precision: 0.48: When the model predicted "1", it was correct 48% of the time. (This means when it signals "UP", it's wrong slightly more often than it's right).
recall: 0.32: The model only identified 32% of all actual "1" (price up) instances. It's missing a lot of opportunities.
f1-score: 0.39: The harmonic mean for class "1".
support: 524: There were 524 actual instances of "1" in the test set.
Overall Averages:
accuracy: 0.52 (rounded from 0.5153)
macro avg: Averages the metrics for each class without considering class imbalance.
weighted avg: Averages the metrics, weighted by the number of true instances for each class (support). This is often more informative if you have class imbalance.
Interpretation of Classification Report:
The model is better at identifying instances where the price doesn't go up (higher recall for class 0) than when it does go up (lower recall for class 1).
The precision for predicting an "up" movement (class 1) is below 0.5, which is not ideal for a trading signal you'd act upon directly without further refinement, as it means you'd be wrong more often than right when it predicts "up".
This performance is typical for an initial model in a complex domain like financial markets. It's a starting point.
Top 10 Feature Importances:
This list shows which features the XGBoost model found most influential in making its predictions.
BBU_20_2.0 0.076261 (Bollinger Bands Upper)
SMA_30 0.072104
SMA_10 0.071693
BBM_20_2.0 0.064772 (Bollinger Bands Middle)
MACD_12_26_9 0.064698
ATR_14 0.064123
BBL_20_2.0 0.063519 (Bollinger Bands Lower)
EMA_10 0.062803
return_10m 0.060938
BBB_20_2.0 0.059963 (Bollinger Bands Width)
Interpretation:
It seems various Bollinger Band components, moving averages, MACD, ATR, and a 10-minute lagged return are all contributing.
No single feature overwhelmingly dominates, which is common.
This information can be useful for future feature engineering or selection (e.g., focusing on refining these types of indicators or trying variations).
What does this mean for your trading bot?
It's a Start: You have a working pipeline from data fetching, feature engineering, to model training and evaluation. This is a significant achievement.
Performance is Modest: An accuracy of ~51-52% and a precision of <50% for buy signals means this model, as is, is likely not consistently profitable if used directly for trading. Transaction costs would likely eat any tiny edge.
Next Steps (Crucial):
Refine Target Variable:
The current target (df['close'].shift(-target_horizon) > df['close']) is very noisy.
Consider using a threshold: (future_price - current_price) / current_price > 0.001 (e.g., price must go up by at least 0.1%). This filters out tiny, insignificant movements.
Consider a 3-class problem (up, down, hold/sideways) if you want to trade both long and short, or avoid trading in uncertain conditions.
Feature Engineering:
Experiment with different indicator periods.
Add more diverse features: volatility measures (e.g., standard deviation of returns), other momentum indicators, interaction terms between features.
Consider features from different timeframes (e.g., 5-min RSI, 15-min SMA).
Hyperparameter Tuning:
The XGBoost parameters (n_estimators, learning_rate, max_depth) are just defaults. Use techniques like GridSearchCV or RandomizedSearchCV to find better parameters.
Address Class Imbalance (if it becomes an issue):
If your target variable becomes imbalanced (e.g., far fewer "up" signals than "not up"), use techniques like scale_pos_weight in XGBoost, or over/undersampling methods (SMOTE). The current support (588 vs 524) is fairly balanced.
More Sophisticated Validation:
Use TimeSeriesSplit for cross-validation to get a more robust estimate of performance, as simple train-test splits can be misleading with time-series data.
Backtesting Engine: The ultimate test is a proper backtest. Scikit-learn metrics are a good first step, but a backtesting engine will simulate trades, include transaction costs, slippage (if possible), and give you a better idea of real-world P&L. Libraries like backtesting.py, Zipline, or bt can be used.
Longer Data Period: 7 days of 1-minute data is a good start for debugging, but for robust model training, you'll want much more data (months or even years, if feasible, though market regimes change).
In summary, you've successfully built the core mechanics. Now the iterative process of improving the model's predictive power begins! The current results are a baseline to improve upon.
A proper backtest is event-driven and considers transaction costs, slippage, etc. This is a very simplified version.
Ok. Now you proposed backtesting with the code below. Can you adjust the code once again to work with the one we have working already. Step 5: Backtesting (Simplified Vectorized Example)
Okay, let's integrate this simplified backtesting step (Step 5) into your existing workflow.
The core idea is:
Take the X_test data (which your model hasn't seen during training).
Use your trained model to make predictions on X_test. These predictions will be our trading signals.
Merge these predictions back with the original featured_data (specifically, the rows corresponding to X_test.index) so we have the 'close' prices needed for the backtest simulation.
Run the run_simple_backtest function.
Prerequisites:
You'll need matplotlib if you want to uncomment the plotting part:
pip install matplotlib
Requirement already satisfied: matplotlib in c:\users\micro\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_ai_env\lib\site-packages (3.10.0) Requirement already satisfied: contourpy>=1.0.1 in c:\users\micro\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_ai_env\lib\site-packages (from matplotlib) (1.3.1) Requirement already satisfied: cycler>=0.10 in c:\users\micro\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_ai_env\lib\site-packages (from matplotlib) (0.12.1) Requirement already satisfied: fonttools>=4.22.0 in c:\users\micro\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_ai_env\lib\site-packages (from matplotlib) (4.55.6) Requirement already satisfied: kiwisolver>=1.3.1 in c:\users\micro\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_ai_env\lib\site-packages (from matplotlib) (1.4.8) Requirement already satisfied: numpy>=1.23 in c:\users\micro\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_ai_env\lib\site-packages (from matplotlib) (2.2.5) Requirement already satisfied: packaging>=20.0 in c:\users\micro\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_ai_env\lib\site-packages (from matplotlib) (24.2) Requirement already satisfied: pillow>=8 in c:\users\micro\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_ai_env\lib\site-packages (from matplotlib) (11.1.0) Requirement already satisfied: pyparsing>=2.3.1 in c:\users\micro\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_ai_env\lib\site-packages (from matplotlib) (3.2.1) Requirement already satisfied: python-dateutil>=2.7 in c:\users\micro\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_ai_env\lib\site-packages (from matplotlib) (2.9.0.post0) Requirement already satisfied: six>=1.5 in c:\users\micro\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_ai_env\lib\site-packages (from python-dateutil>=2.7->matplotlib) (1.16.0) Note: you may need to restart the kernel to use updated packages.
Adjusted Step 5 Code (to be appended to your script):
This code assumes model, X_test, and featured_data are available from the previous steps.
Key Changes and Considerations:
run_simple_backtest Function:
Takes df_with_predictions_input and makes a copy to avoid modifying the original.
Transaction Costs: The transaction_cost_pct is now applied to both buy and sell sides. For Alpaca crypto, the taker fee is typically between 0.1% and 0.3% (e.g., 0.001 to 0.003). I've set it to 0.001 (0.1%) as an example. This is a critical parameter.
Cost/Proceeds Calculation: Explicitly calculates cost of purchase + fee for buys, and sale value - fee for sells.
Trade Logging: Added a trades_log list to store details of each trade, which can be useful for analysis.
Descriptive Naming: portfolio_value list renamed to portfolio_value_over_time.
DatetimeIndex Check: Added a check and attempted conversion for the DataFrame index to ensure it's a pd.DatetimeIndex for better time-series handling and plotting.
Improved Print Output: Formatted numbers with commas for readability.
Plotting Markers: The plotting section now tries to add markers for actual buy/sell trades using the trades_log.
Return Value: The function now returns both the DataFrame with portfolio values and the trades_log.
Calling the Backtest:
Data Alignment: The crucial part is data_for_backtest = featured_data.loc[X_test.index].copy(). This takes the featured_data (which includes 'open', 'high', 'low', 'close', 'symbol', and all engineered features) and filters it to only the rows that were part of your X_test set. This ensures you have the 'close' prices for the backtest period.
Adding Predictions: data_for_backtest['predicted_signal'] = model.predict(X_test) adds the model's predictions to this aligned DataFrame. X_test (the features) is used for prediction, and the result is assigned to data_for_backtest.
Error Handling: Added more robust checks for variable existence (model, X_test, featured_data) and more detailed error messages, including a try-except around the prediction and backtest call. A ValueError catch is included as this is common if feature sets mismatch.
Printing Trade Log: Added a snippet to print the last few trades from the log.
To Use This:
Append the run_simple_backtest function and the calling code block to the end of your existing script (after Step 4 where model, X_test, and featured_data are created).
Ensure matplotlib is installed if you want the plot.
Run your entire script.
Important Notes on this Simplified Backtest:
No Look-Ahead Bias (in this version): Because we're predicting on X_test (which was held out) and then using those predictions to simulate trades on the same X_test period's prices, we are generally okay regarding look-ahead bias for this specific evaluation.
Assumptions:
Trades execute at the 'close' price of the bar where the signal is generated.
No slippage (you always get the price you expect).
trade_size_usd is fixed. You might later want to trade a percentage of your capital.
Only long positions are taken.
Strategy: The strategy is very basic:
If signal is 1 (model predicts "up") and not in position: BUY.
If signal is 0 (model predicts "not up") and in position: SELL.
This means you exit a position if the model no longer predicts an "up" move for the next target_horizon candles.
Realistic Fees: Ensure transaction_cost_pct reflects your actual trading fees. For Alpaca, check their latest fee schedule for crypto.
This is NOT a substitute for a rigorous backtesting library like backtesting.py, bt, or Zipline for serious strategy evaluation. Those libraries handle many more complexities (order types, portfolio management, more detailed stats, event-driven logic). However, this vectorized backtest is a good first step to see if your model has any potential edge before investing time in a more complex backtester.
You should now get a printout of the backtest performance and a plot showing your portfolio value over the test period. Pay close attention to the "Total Return %" after transaction costs!
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt # Optional, for plotting
# --- Step 5: Simplified Backtesting ---
def run_simple_backtest(df_with_predictions_input, initial_capital=10000, trade_size_usd=1000, transaction_cost_pct=0.001):
# Alpaca crypto fee for taker is 0.1% to 0.3%
"""
A very simplified vectorized backtest.
Assumes df_with_predictions has a 'predicted_signal' column (1 for buy, 0 for hold/nothing).
For this example, our model's prediction (0 or 1) is the signal.
1 = Go Long (Buy), 0 = Exit Long (Sell if in position) or Do Nothing
"""
df_with_predictions = df_with_predictions_input.copy()
if df_with_predictions.empty or 'predicted_signal' not in df_with_predictions.columns or 'close' not in df_with_predictions.columns:
print("DataFrame for backtest is empty or 'predicted_signal'/'close' column missing.")
if 'predicted_signal' not in df_with_predictions.columns:
print("'predicted_signal' column is missing.")
if 'close' not in df_with_predictions.columns:
print("'close' column is missing.")
return pd.DataFrame() # Return empty dataframe on failure
capital = initial_capital
position_btc = 0 # Amount of BTC held
portfolio_value_over_time = [] # Use a more descriptive name
trades_log = [] # To log trades
# Ensure the DataFrame index is a DatetimeIndex for proper time-series operations and logging
if not isinstance(df_with_predictions.index, pd.DatetimeIndex):
print("Warning: Index is not a DatetimeIndex. Converting...")
try:
df_with_predictions.index = pd.to_datetime(df_with_predictions.index)
except Exception as e:
print(f"Could not convert index to DatetimeIndex: {e}. Backtest might behave unexpectedly.")
return pd.DataFrame()
for i in range(len(df_with_predictions)):
current_timestamp = df_with_predictions.index[i]
current_price = df_with_predictions['close'].iloc[i]
signal = df_with_predictions['predicted_signal'].iloc[i]
# Decision logic
# Signal 1: Model predicts price will go UP
if signal == 1 and position_btc == 0: # Buy signal and no current position
# Buy BTC
amount_to_buy_btc = trade_size_usd / current_price
cost_of_purchase = amount_to_buy_btc * current_price # Cost before fees
fee = cost_of_purchase * transaction_cost_pct
total_cost = cost_of_purchase + fee
if capital >= total_cost:
capital -= total_cost
position_btc += amount_to_buy_btc
trades_log.append({
'timestamp': current_timestamp, 'type': 'BUY',
'price': current_price, 'quantity_btc': amount_to_buy_btc,
'cost_usd': total_cost, 'fee_usd': fee
})
# print(f"{current_timestamp}: BUY {amount_to_buy_btc:.6f} BTC @ {current_price:.2f}, Cost: {total_cost:.2f}")
# Signal 0: Model predicts price will NOT go up (or go down/stay neutral)
elif signal == 0 and position_btc > 0: # Sell signal (or neutral) and have a position
# Sell all BTC
value_of_sale = position_btc * current_price # Value before fees
fee = value_of_sale * transaction_cost_pct
proceeds = value_of_sale - fee
capital += proceeds
trades_log.append({
'timestamp': current_timestamp, 'type': 'SELL',
'price': current_price, 'quantity_btc': position_btc,
'proceeds_usd': proceeds, 'fee_usd': fee
})
# print(f"{current_timestamp}: SELL {position_btc:.6f} BTC @ {current_price:.2f}, Proceeds: {proceeds:.2f}")
position_btc = 0
# For signals where no action is taken (e.g., signal=1 but already in position, or signal=0 and no position)
# we just calculate the current portfolio value.
current_portfolio_value = capital + (position_btc * current_price)
portfolio_value_over_time.append(current_portfolio_value)
df_with_predictions['portfolio_value'] = portfolio_value_over_time
print("\n--- Simplified Backtest Results ---")
print(f"Initial Capital: ${initial_capital:,.2f}")
if not df_with_predictions.empty:
final_portfolio_value = df_with_predictions['portfolio_value'].iloc[-1]
print(f"Final Portfolio Value: ${final_portfolio_value:,.2f}")
total_return_pct = (final_portfolio_value / initial_capital - 1) * 100
print(f"Total Return: {total_return_pct:.2f}%")
print(f"Number of trades executed: {len(trades_log)}")
else:
print("Could not calculate final portfolio value as DataFrame is empty.")
total_return_pct = 0
# Plotting
if not df_with_predictions.empty and 'portfolio_value' in df_with_predictions.columns:
plt.figure(figsize=(14, 7))
plt.plot(df_with_predictions.index, df_with_predictions['portfolio_value'], label='Portfolio Value')
# Optional: Plot buy/sell markers
buy_signals = df_with_predictions[df_with_predictions['predicted_signal'] == 1].copy()
sell_signals = df_with_predictions[df_with_predictions['predicted_signal'] == 0].copy() # This is more like 'exit'
# Filter to actual trades from log for plotting markers
actual_buy_times = [trade['timestamp'] for trade in trades_log if trade['type'] == 'BUY']
actual_sell_times = [trade['timestamp'] for trade in trades_log if trade['type'] == 'SELL']
if actual_buy_times:
buy_prices = [df_with_predictions.loc[t, 'close'] for t in actual_buy_times if t in df_with_predictions.index]
plt.scatter([t for t in actual_buy_times if t in df_with_predictions.index], buy_prices, marker='^', color='green',
label='Actual Buy', alpha=1, s=100)
if actual_sell_times:
sell_prices = [df_with_predictions.loc[t, 'close'] for t in actual_sell_times if t in df_with_predictions.index]
plt.scatter([t for t in actual_sell_times if t in df_with_predictions.index], sell_prices, marker='v', color='red',
label='Actual Sell', alpha=1, s=100)
plt.title(f'Portfolio Value Over Time (Return: {total_return_pct:.2f}%)')
plt.xlabel('Date')
plt.ylabel('Portfolio Value ($)')
plt.legend()
plt.grid(True)
plt.tight_layout()
plt.show()
return df_with_predictions, trades_log
# --- Code to call the backtest (after Step 4 Model Training) ---
# This assumes 'model', 'X_test', and 'featured_data' are defined and populated from previous steps.
backtest_results_df = pd.DataFrame() # Initialize
trades_log_list = []
if 'model' in locals() and model is not None and \
'X_test' in locals() and not X_test.empty and \
'featured_data' in locals() and not featured_data.empty:
print("\nPreparing data for backtesting...")
# Get the original rows from 'featured_data' that correspond to the 'X_test' indices.
# This ensures we have 'close' prices and other original columns for the backtest period.
# It's important that X_test.index directly maps to featured_data.index for these rows.
# Verify X_test.index is a subset of featured_data.index
if not X_test.index.isin(featured_data.index).all():
print("Error: X_test.index contains values not present in featured_data.index. Cannot align for backtest.")
else:
# Select the portion of featured_data that corresponds to X_test
data_for_backtest = featured_data.loc[X_test.index].copy()
if data_for_backtest.empty:
print("Error: Sliced data_for_backtest is empty. Check indices.")
else:
print(f"Data for backtest (based on X_test period) shape: {data_for_backtest.shape}")
# Add model predictions as the 'predicted_signal'
# X_test should contain the same features (and in the same order) as X_train
# Ensure X_test has the correct columns if any transformations were applied only to X_train
try:
# Re-check columns of X_test against model's expected features if issues arise
# print(f"X_test columns: {X_test.columns.tolist()}")
# if hasattr(model, 'feature_names_in_'):
# print(f"Model expected features: {model.feature_names_in_.tolist()}")
data_for_backtest['predicted_signal'] = model.predict(X_test)
print("Successfully added 'predicted_signal' to backtesting data.")
# Run the backtest
# Using Alpaca's taker fee for crypto, which can be around 0.1% to 0.3%
# Let's use 0.1% (0.001) as an example. Adjust as needed.
backtest_results_df, trades_log_list = run_simple_backtest(
data_for_backtest,
initial_capital=10000,
trade_size_usd=1000, # Amount to invest per trade
transaction_cost_pct=0.001 # e.g., 0.1% per trade side
)
if not backtest_results_df.empty:
print("\nSample of backtest results (last 5 rows):")
print(backtest_results_df[['close', 'predicted_signal', 'portfolio_value']].tail())
if trades_log_list:
print("\nLast 5 trades:")
for trade in trades_log_list[-5:]:
print(trade)
except ValueError as ve:
print(f"ValueError during prediction or backtest setup: {ve}")
print("This might be due to a mismatch in feature names or number of features expected by the model.")
print(f"X_test columns: {list(X_test.columns)}")
if hasattr(model, 'n_features_in_'):
print(f"Model was trained with {model.n_features_in_} features.")
if hasattr(model, 'feature_names_in_'):
print(f"Model feature names: {list(model.feature_names_in_)}")
except Exception as e:
print(f"An error occurred during backtest preparation or execution: {e}")
else:
print("\nSkipping backtest: Model, X_test, or featured_data is not available or empty.")
if 'model' not in locals() or model is None:
print("- Model is not trained or available.")
if 'X_test' not in locals() or X_test.empty:
print("- X_test data is not available.")
if 'featured_data' not in locals() or featured_data.empty:
print("- featured_data is not available.")
Preparing data for backtesting... Data for backtest (based on X_test period) shape: (1112, 25) Successfully added 'predicted_signal' to backtesting data. --- Simplified Backtest Results --- Initial Capital: $10,000.00 Final Portfolio Value: $9,792.06 Total Return: -2.08% Number of trades executed: 214
Sample of backtest results (last 5 rows):
close predicted_signal portfolio_value
timestamp
2025-06-04 23:54:00+00:00 104807.747 0 9792.056818
2025-06-04 23:55:00+00:00 104816.255 0 9792.056818
2025-06-04 23:57:00+00:00 104744.600 0 9792.056818
2025-06-04 23:58:00+00:00 104732.050 0 9792.056818
2025-06-04 23:59:00+00:00 104748.560 0 9792.056818
Last 5 trades:
{'timestamp': Timestamp('2025-06-04 23:07:00+0000', tz='UTC'), 'type': 'SELL', 'price': np.float64(104919.53), 'quantity_btc': np.float64(0.009546703427839334), 'proceeds_usd': np.float64(1000.6340010615935), 'fee_usd': np.float64(1.001635636698292)}
{'timestamp': Timestamp('2025-06-04 23:09:00+0000', tz='UTC'), 'type': 'BUY', 'price': np.float64(104846.337), 'quantity_btc': np.float64(0.009537767637986246), 'cost_usd': np.float64(1001.0), 'fee_usd': np.float64(1.0)}
{'timestamp': Timestamp('2025-06-04 23:18:00+0000', tz='UTC'), 'type': 'SELL', 'price': np.float64(104769.275), 'quantity_btc': np.float64(0.009537767637986246), 'proceeds_usd': np.float64(998.2657355497312), 'fee_usd': np.float64(0.9992650005502814)}
{'timestamp': Timestamp('2025-06-04 23:20:00+0000', tz='UTC'), 'type': 'BUY', 'price': np.float64(104687.1415), 'quantity_btc': np.float64(0.009552271517510104), 'cost_usd': np.float64(1000.9999999999999), 'fee_usd': np.float64(0.9999999999999999)}
{'timestamp': Timestamp('2025-06-04 23:37:00+0000', tz='UTC'), 'type': 'SELL', 'price': np.float64(104760.2965), 'quantity_btc': np.float64(0.009552271517510104), 'proceeds_usd': np.float64(999.6980976264405), 'fee_usd': np.float64(1.0006987964228633)}
Ok. I got this. What does it mean?
This output gives you the results of your simplified backtest. Let's break it down:
Preparation:
Preparing data for backtesting...
Data for backtest (based on X_test period) shape: (1112, 25): This means the 1112 rows from your test set were successfully selected, and they now have 25 columns. These columns include your original features, the 'close' price, and the newly added 'predicted_signal'.
Successfully added 'predicted_signal' to backtesting data.: Confirms your model's predictions are now part of the dataset used for the backtest.
Backtest Summary Results:
--- Simplified Backtest Results ---
Initial Capital: $10,000.00: You started the simulation with $10,000.
Final Portfolio Value: $9,792.06: After all the simulated trades over the test period, your portfolio ended up with $9,792.06.
Total Return: -2.08%: Your strategy lost 2.08% of the initial capital over this test period. This is a negative return, meaning the strategy was not profitable.
Number of trades executed: 214: The strategy made 214 trades (a buy or a sell counts as one trade in this context, so roughly 107 round trips if every buy was followed by a sell). For 1112 one-minute bars (which is about 18.5 hours of data), this is a relatively high trading frequency (average of about 1 trade every 5 minutes or ~11.5 trades per hour).
Sample of Backtest Data (Last 5 Rows):
This shows the 'close' price, the model's 'predicted_signal', and the 'portfolio_value' at each of the last 5 timestamps in your test data.
timestamp: The date and time of the data point.
close: The BTC/USD closing price for that minute.
predicted_signal: The signal generated by your model (0 means "not up", 1 means "up"). In these last 5 rows, the signal is consistently 0.
portfolio_value: The value of your simulated portfolio at that timestamp. Notice it remains constant at $9792.056818 for these last 5 rows. This is because the signal is 0, and presumably, the strategy was already out of a position (or never entered one if the signal was 0 from the start of these 5 rows and was also 0 before).
Last 5 Trades Log:
This gives you a glimpse into the actual trading activity. Each dictionary represents one trade.
'timestamp': When the trade occurred.
'type': 'BUY' or 'SELL'.
'price': The BTC price at which the trade was simulated.
'quantity_btc': How much BTC was bought or sold.
'cost_usd' (for BUYs): Total USD spent, including the fee.
'proceeds_usd' (for SELLs): Total USD received, after deducting the fee.
'fee_usd': The transaction fee paid for that trade (calculated as price * quantity * transaction_cost_pct).
Observations from the trade log:
The trades are happening frequently (e.g., a SELL at 23:07, then a BUY at 23:09, then a SELL at 23:18).
The fee_usd is around $1.00 per trade, which is consistent with a trade_size_usd of
1000anda‘transactioncostpct‘of0.001(0.11000anda‘transactioncostpct‘of0.001(0.1
1000 * 0.001 = $1`.
Looking at the BUY at 23:09 and SELL at 23:18:
Bought at ~104846, cost $1001.00.
Sold at ~104769, proceeds $998.27.
This individual round trip was a small loss, exacerbated by fees.
This high frequency of trades, where each trade incurs a fee, can quickly erode profits or magnify losses if the gains per trade are not significantly larger than the fees.
What does this mean for your trading bot and what to do next?
The Current Strategy is Not Profitable (on this test set with these parameters): A -2.08% return clearly indicates that, in its current state, the bot would lose money. The primary culprit is likely a combination of:
Modest Predictive Accuracy: Your model's accuracy was ~51-52%. While slightly better than random, it might not be strong enough to overcome transaction costs, especially with frequent trading. The precision for "up" signals was below 50%.
Transaction Costs: 214 trades, each costing around $1 (0.1% of $1000), means roughly $214 in fees were paid on an initial capital of $10,000. This is 214 / 10000 = 2.14% of your capital just in fees. This alone explains the negative return. Your gross profit (before fees) was likely very close to zero or slightly positive, but fees wiped it out and created a loss.
High Trading Frequency: The model seems to be generating signals quite often. This might be due to noisy features or a target variable that flips frequently.
Next Steps - Focus on Improving Profitability:
Reduce Trading Frequency / Improve Signal Quality:
Refine the Target Variable: This is often the most impactful. Instead of just price > prev_price, require a more significant move: (future_price - current_price) / current_price > (transaction_cost_pct * 2 + desired_profit_margin). For example, if your round-trip cost is 0.2% (0.1% buy + 0.1% sell), you might want the price to move at least 0.3% or 0.4% in your favor before considering it a valid "up" signal for training. This will make "1" signals rarer but hopefully higher quality.
Longer target_horizon: Predicting 5 minutes ahead is short. Try 15m, 30m, or 1h. This might smooth out noise.
Add a "Hold" or "No Signal" State: Your current strategy is always either trying to get in (signal 1) or get out (signal 0). Perhaps only trade on very confident signals.
Smoothing Features/Signals: Apply smoothing (e.g., moving average) to your raw predictions or some of your more jittery features if they are causing frequent signal changes.
Improve Model Accuracy/Precision:
Continue with feature engineering.
Hyperparameter tune your XGBoost model (e.g., using GridSearchCV or RandomizedSearchCV with TimeSeriesSplit for cross-validation). Pay attention to precision for the class "1" (up-signal).
Try different model types (e.g., LightGBM, Logistic Regression, an LSTM if you have a lot more data and want to capture sequences).
Decrease Impact of Transaction Costs:
The most direct way is to trade less frequently (see point 1).
Ensure your trade_size_usd is appropriate. If it's too small, fixed fees (if any) can have a larger percentage impact. (Alpaca is percentage-based for crypto, so this is less of an issue than with fixed fees per share).
Analyze Losing Trades:
If you log more details (like the features at the time of the trade), you can analyze why the model made a wrong prediction. Were there specific market conditions or feature values that consistently led to bad trades?
Increase Data for Training/Testing:
1112 minutes (less than a day) for testing is a very short period. Market behavior can vary significantly. Try to get a much longer period for more robust backtesting.
Consider a Different Strategy Logic:
Maybe don't sell immediately when the signal turns to 0. Implement a trailing stop loss, or a take profit target, or hold for a fixed duration after a buy signal.
The key takeaway is that your system is working end-to-end, but the strategy/model isn't yet profitable. The backtest results are invaluable for guiding your next iteration of improvements. The fact that transaction costs alone account for the current loss is a strong hint that reducing trade frequency by improving signal quality is a high-priority area.
This is where you'd run the bot periodically (e.g., every minute).
Ok. Now, previously you prepared this for the next step. Can you adjust it now to work with our working code: Step 6: Signal Generation & Order Execution (Live/Paper Trading)
Okay, this "Step 6: Signal Generation & Order Execution" is where your bot starts interacting with the live (or paper) market. It's a critical step and needs careful handling.
Let's adjust it to fit with the code structure we've built, particularly ensuring it uses the globally available model and feature_cols that were defined/created in Step 4 (Model Training).
Key Assumptions & Globals from Previous Steps:
api: The Alpaca tradeapi.REST object, initialized and connected.
create_features: The function using finta to calculate technical indicators.
model: Your trained XGBoost model (or whatever model you used). This should be a global variable after Step 4.
feature_cols: A list of feature column names that the model was trained on. This should also be a global variable defined in Step 4.
Adjusted Step 6 Code:
Key Changes and Enhancements:
Global Variables: Explicitly uses global api, create_features, model, feature_cols, SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, TRADE_QTY_USD within functions where needed, assuming these are set up in the main script body.
get_latest_bar_features Function:
Takes symbol_to_fetch, timeframe_to_use, and max_lookback_period as arguments.
Uses datetime.now(tz=timezone.utc) for timezone-aware start time. (You'll need from datetime import timezone).
Explicitly lowercases column names from Alpaca before passing to create_features.
Added more robust error handling and checks for sufficient data length.
The logic to select the features for the most recent complete bar is handled by featured_bars[feature_cols].iloc[-1:] after create_features (which includes dropna).
Added a check to ensure all feature_cols are present in the featured_bars DataFrame before selection to prevent KeyError.
check_and_place_trade Function:
Retrieves model, feature_cols, api, etc., via global.
Confidence Threshold: Added proba = model.predict_proba(current_features_df)[0] to get prediction probabilities and introduced a CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD. The bot will only act on a "BUY" signal if the model's confidence for that prediction is above this threshold. This is a common technique to filter out weaker signals.
Price Fetching: Uses api.get_latest_crypto_quote(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, exchange="CBSE") to get a more current bid/ask price. You need to specify an exchange. Common ones for BTC/USD on Alpaca are CBSE (Coinbase), ERSX, FTXU. Check Alpaca's documentation for available crypto exchanges.
Quantity Calculation and Rounding: Explicitly rounds qty_to_buy and qty_to_sell to a suitable number of decimal places (e.g., 7 for BTC) and converts to string for the API order. Added a check to ensure qty_to_buy_rounded > 0.
Improved print statements for clarity.
More detailed error handling, including traceback.print_exc() for debugging.
Main Loop:
The if __name__ == "__main__": block now includes checks to ensure model and feature_cols are actually populated before starting the loop.
The timing loop is slightly improved to wait until the next minute starts, but it's still basic. For serious live trading, use APScheduler or a similar library for precise execution at the start of each new bar.
Added traceback.print_exc() in the main loop's exception handler.
Before Running (CRITICAL):
PAPER TRADING ONLY: Start with paper trading. Ensure your Alpaca API keys are for your paper account.
Global Scope: Verify that model (your trained XGBoost model) and feature_cols (the list of feature names) are correctly populated and accessible in the global scope of your script before this Step 6 code is reached.
create_features Function: Ensure your create_features function (the one using finta) is defined and works correctly.
API Object: Ensure api is your initialized Alpaca tradeapi.REST object.
Constants: Adjust SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, TRADE_QTY_USD, and CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD as needed.
Exchange for Quotes: In get_latest_crypto_quote, make sure exchange="CBSE" (or another valid exchange from Alpaca for BTC/USD) is appropriate.
Precision for Orders: The round(qty_to_buy, 7) (and for sell) uses 7 decimal places. This is typical for BTC. Verify Alpaca's requirements for BTC/USD order quantity precision if you encounter issues.
Error Handling: This code includes basic error handling. Monitor logs carefully. Real trading bots need much more robust error management, retry logic, and state management.
Scheduler: For a real bot, replace the time.sleep() loop with a proper scheduler (like APScheduler) to run check_and_place_trade() precisely when new bars form (e.g., at HH:MM:00 for 1-minute bars).
How to Integrate:
Place the get_latest_bar_features and check_and_place_trade functions in your script.
Define the constants (SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, etc.) after your model training section.
The if __name__ == "__main__": block containing the trading loop should be at the very end of your script, so it only runs when the script is executed directly and after all setup/training is complete.
This provides a more robust foundation for your bot's execution logic. Test thoroughly in paper trading!
import os # Already imported, but good to note for this section
import alpaca_trade_api as tradeapi # Already imported
import pandas as pd # Already imported
from datetime import datetime, timedelta # Already imported
import time # Already imported
# --- Constants for Step 6 ---
# These should be defined after your API setup and model training
SYMBOL_TO_TRADE = "BTC/USD" # Use the same symbol format as Alpaca uses
TRADE_QTY_USD = 100 # Amount in USD to trade per signal. Adjust based on risk.
# TARGET_HORIZON_MINUTES is implicitly handled by the model's training
# but not directly used in this execution logic, other than fetching enough data.
# Ensure necessary globals are defined from previous steps
# For example, at the end of Step 4, you should have:
# model = your_trained_xgboost_model
# feature_cols = list_of_your_feature_column_names
# And from the beginning of your script:
# api = tradeapi.REST(...)
# create_features = your_finta_based_feature_creation_function
def get_latest_bar_features(symbol_to_fetch, timeframe_to_use, max_lookback_period=150):
"""
Fetches latest bars, calculates features for the most recent *complete* bar.
max_lookback_period: Number of bars to fetch to ensure enough data for all indicators.
e.g., if longest MA is 30, and RSI is 14, fetch at least 30+ buffer.
150 minutes should cover most common 1-min indicators.
"""
global api, create_features, feature_cols # Access global api, create_features, and feature_cols
# Calculate start time for fetching data
# We need enough bars for feature calculation, so go back further than just max_lookback_period
# to account for potential gaps or incomplete last bar from API.
# For 1-minute bars, max_lookback_period minutes. Let's add a buffer.
now_utc = datetime.now(tz=timezone.utc) # Ensure timezone awareness for Alpaca
start_fetch_dt = now_utc - timedelta(minutes=max_lookback_period + 60) # Extra 60 min buffer
print(f"Fetching latest {max_lookback_period} bars for {symbol_to_fetch} from {start_fetch_dt.isoformat()}...")
try:
latest_bars_df = api.get_crypto_bars(
symbol_to_fetch,
timeframe_to_use, # e.g., tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute
start=start_fetch_dt.isoformat(),
# end defaults to now, limit helps control amount
limit=max_lookback_period + 5 # Fetch a few extra just in case
).df
# Ensure columns are lowercase as expected by 'create_features'
latest_bars_df.columns = [col.lower() for col in latest_bars_df.columns]
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error fetching latest bars: {e}")
return None
if latest_bars_df.empty:
print("No recent bars data fetched.")
return None
# The last bar from Alpaca might be incomplete if fetched mid-minute.
# We want to make predictions based on the *last fully completed* bar.
# For 1-minute data, if we fetch at XX:XX:30, the bar for XX:XX:00 is complete.
# Let's assume the second to last bar is definitely complete, or if only one bar, it's what we have.
# More robust: filter out bars with timestamp > current_minute_start
# A simple approach: ensure enough bars for features
# Longest feature (e.g., SMA_30) needs 30 periods. RSI needs 14.
# Let's say your longest feature (like SMA_30) needs 'N' periods.
# `create_features` will drop N-1 rows.
required_bars_for_features = 35 # Example: if SMA(30) is longest, need at least 30 + buffer
if len(latest_bars_df) < required_bars_for_features:
print(f"Not enough recent bars ({len(latest_bars_df)}) to calculate all features (need ~{required_bars_for_features}).")
return None
print(f"Calculating features for {len(latest_bars_df)} bars...")
# The create_features function was defined in your earlier code (using finta)
try:
featured_bars = create_features(latest_bars_df) # .copy() is handled inside create_features
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during feature creation for latest bars: {e}")
return None
if featured_bars.empty:
print("Failed to create features (resulted in empty DataFrame).")
return None
# Return only the features for the most recent bar for which features could be calculated
# `dropna()` in `create_features` removes initial NaNs. The last row of `featured_bars` is what we need.
# The features must match `feature_cols` used during training.
try:
# Ensure all expected feature_cols are present in featured_bars before selecting
missing_cols = [col for col in feature_cols if col not in featured_bars.columns]
if missing_cols:
print(f"Error: The following feature columns are missing after calculation: {missing_cols}")
print(f"Available columns: {featured_bars.columns.tolist()}")
return None
# Select only the feature_cols and take the last row
final_features_for_prediction = featured_bars[feature_cols].iloc[-1:]
return final_features_for_prediction # Return as a DataFrame (single row)
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error selecting final features for prediction: {e}")
print(f"Feature_cols expected: {feature_cols}")
print(f"Columns in featured_bars: {featured_bars.columns.tolist()}")
return None
def check_and_place_trade():
global model, feature_cols, api, SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, TRADE_QTY_USD # Ensure these are accessible
if model is None: # Check if model is loaded/trained
print("Model is not available. Skipping trade check.")
return
if not feature_cols: # Check if feature_cols is defined
print("Feature columns not defined. Skipping trade check.")
return
print(f"\n[{datetime.now()} UTC] Checking for trading signal for {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}...")
# Get features for the latest complete bar
# Assuming tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute was used for training and data fetching
current_features_df = get_latest_bar_features(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute)
if current_features_df is None or current_features_df.empty:
print("Could not get features for the latest bar. Skipping trade.")
return
# The get_latest_bar_features should already return data with columns in feature_cols order
# But an explicit reorder is a good safeguard if the selection logic changes.
# current_features_df = current_features_df[feature_cols] # This was already done in get_latest_bar_features
try:
prediction = model.predict(current_features_df) # `current_features_df` is already a DataFrame
signal = prediction[0] # Prediction for the single latest bar
proba = model.predict_proba(current_features_df)[0] # Get probabilities [prob_class_0, prob_class_1]
print(f"Features for prediction: {current_features_df.iloc[0].to_dict()}")
print(f"Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): {signal}, Confidence (Prob for Up): {proba[1]:.4f}")
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during model prediction: {e}")
print(f"Features passed to model: {current_features_df}")
return
# --- Alpaca API Interaction ---
try:
positions = api.list_positions()
btc_position = next((p for p in positions if p.symbol == SYMBOL_TO_TRADE), None)
# Use get_latest_trade for a more "real-time" price if available, or quote
# latest_trade = api.get_latest_crypto_trade(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, exchange="CBSE") # Example exchange
# current_price = latest_trade.p
# Or use quotes:
latest_quote = api.get_latest_crypto_quote(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, exchange="CBSE") # Coinbase is a common exchange for BTCUSD
current_price = (latest_quote.ap + latest_quote.bp) / 2.0 # Mid-price from ask/bid
if not current_price or current_price <= 0:
print(f"Could not get a valid current price for {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}. Price: {current_price}")
return
print(f"Current mid-price for {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}: ${current_price:.2f}")
# --- Trade Logic ---
# Simple strategy: Buy on signal 1, Sell (if holding) on signal 0
# Add a confidence threshold:
CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD = 0.55 # Only trade if probability of "UP" is > 55% (example)
if signal == 1 and proba[1] >= CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD: # Predicted UP with enough confidence
if btc_position is None or float(btc_position.qty) == 0:
qty_to_buy = TRADE_QTY_USD / current_price
# Alpaca has precision requirements for crypto orders.
# For BTC, usually 6-8 decimal places for quantity.
qty_to_buy_rounded = round(qty_to_buy, 7) # Adjust precision as needed for BTC
if qty_to_buy_rounded > 0: # Ensure non-zero quantity
print(f"BUY signal (confidence {proba[1]:.2f}). Attempting to buy {qty_to_buy_rounded:.7f} {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
api.submit_order(
symbol=SYMBOL_TO_TRADE,
qty=str(qty_to_buy_rounded), # Qty as string
side='buy',
type='market',
time_in_force='gtc' # Good 'til Canceled
)
print(f"BUY order for {qty_to_buy_rounded:.7f} {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE} submitted.")
else:
print(f"Calculated buy quantity {qty_to_buy_rounded:.7f} is too small. No order placed.")
else:
print(f"BUY signal (confidence {proba[1]:.2f}), but already have a position of {btc_position.qty} {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}. Holding.")
elif signal == 0: # Predicted NOT UP (or low confidence for UP) - Potential SELL
if btc_position and float(btc_position.qty) > 0:
qty_to_sell = float(btc_position.qty) # Sell entire position
qty_to_sell_rounded = round(qty_to_sell, 7) # Match precision
if qty_to_sell_rounded > 0:
print(f"SELL signal (or low UP confidence). Attempting to sell {qty_to_sell_rounded:.7f} {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
api.submit_order(
symbol=SYMBOL_TO_TRADE,
qty=str(qty_to_sell_rounded), # Qty as string
side='sell',
type='market',
time_in_force='gtc'
)
print(f"SELL order for {qty_to_sell_rounded:.7f} {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE} submitted.")
else:
print(f"Sell quantity {qty_to_sell_rounded:.7f} is zero or negative. No order placed.")
else:
print("SELL signal (or low UP confidence), but no open position to sell. Doing nothing.")
else: # Signal is 1 but confidence is too low
print(f"UP signal (signal={signal}) but confidence {proba[1]:.2f} is below threshold {CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD}. No action.")
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during trade execution or API interaction: {e}")
import traceback
traceback.print_exc()
# --- Main Execution Loop (for demonstration) ---
# This should be run after your model is trained and `model` and `feature_cols` are populated.
# Example of how to make `model` and `feature_cols` global if they are defined in a function:
# This is just illustrative; in your script, they should be in the global scope after training.
# if 'model' not in globals(): model = None
# if 'feature_cols' not in globals(): feature_cols = []
if __name__ == "__main__":
# --- This block is usually at the very end of your script ---
# --- It assumes all previous steps (API init, data fetch, feature creation, model training) have run ---
# Check if the model and feature_cols are actually populated from Step 4
if 'model' not in globals() or model is None:
print("Model is not trained or not found in global scope. Exiting live trading part.")
# exit() # Or handle appropriately
elif 'feature_cols' not in globals() or not feature_cols:
print("Feature_cols not defined or empty. Exiting live trading part.")
# exit()
else:
print("\n--- Starting Live/Paper Trading Bot (Simplified Loop) ---")
print("IMPORTANT: THIS IS FOR PAPER TRADING. VERIFY ALL SETTINGS.")
print(f"Trading Symbol: {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}, USD per Trade: {TRADE_QTY_USD}")
print(f"Using Model: {type(model).__name__}, Trained Features: {len(feature_cols)}")
# You would typically use a robust scheduler like APScheduler for live trading
# to run check_and_place_trade() precisely at the start of each new bar (e.g., every minute).
# This is a very simplified loop for demonstration.
try:
# Initial check
check_and_place_trade()
# Loop for a few more checks
for i in range(5): # Run for a few iterations (e.g., 5 minutes)
# Wait for the next minute (approximately).
# This is NOT a precise way to align with market bars.
current_seconds = datetime.now().second
wait_time = 60 - current_seconds
if wait_time < 0: wait_time = 60 + wait_time # if somehow it's past the minute
print(f"Waiting for {wait_time} seconds until the next minute...")
time.sleep(wait_time)
check_and_place_trade()
except KeyboardInterrupt:
print("\nTrading loop stopped by user.")
except Exception as e:
print(f"An unhandled error occurred in the trading loop: {e}")
import traceback
traceback.print_exc()
finally:
print("Trading loop finished.")
# else:
# if 'model' not in globals() or model is None:
# print("Script not run as main, or model not yet trained. Live trading functions defined but not executed.")
--- Starting Live/Paper Trading Bot (Simplified Loop) --- IMPORTANT: THIS IS FOR PAPER TRADING. VERIFY ALL SETTINGS. Trading Symbol: BTC/USD, USD per Trade: 100 Using Model: XGBClassifier, Trained Features: 17 [2025-06-05 15:37:29.125444 UTC] Checking for trading signal for BTC/USD... An unhandled error occurred in the trading loop: name 'timezone' is not defined Trading loop finished.
Traceback (most recent call last):
File "C:\Users\micro\AppData\Local\Temp\ipykernel_5076\862720429.py", line 253, in <module>
check_and_place_trade()
File "C:\Users\micro\AppData\Local\Temp\ipykernel_5076\862720429.py", line 124, in check_and_place_trade
current_features_df = get_latest_bar_features(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute)
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
File "C:\Users\micro\AppData\Local\Temp\ipykernel_5076\862720429.py", line 37, in get_latest_bar_features
now_utc = datetime.now(tz=timezone.utc) # Ensure timezone awareness for Alpaca
^^^^^^^^
NameError: name 'timezone' is not defined
You're absolutely right! That's a NameError because timezone is part of the datetime module but needs to be imported explicitly or accessed via datetime.timezone.
Easy Fix:
At the top of your script, where you have from datetime import datetime, timedelta, add timezone:
Or, if you prefer not to import it directly, change the line in get_latest_bar_features to:
now_utc = datetime.now(tz=datetime.timezone.utc) # Corrected line
IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_START Use code with caution. Python IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_END
Both will work. The first option (adding timezone to the import statement) is slightly cleaner if you use timezone.utc in multiple places.
Corrected get_latest_bar_features (if you choose the second option):
def get_latest_bar_features(symbol_to_fetch, timeframe_to_use, max_lookback_period=150): """ Fetches latest bars, calculates features for the most recent complete bar. max_lookback_period: Number of bars to fetch to ensure enough data for all indicators. """ global api, create_features, feature_cols
# Calculate start time for fetching data
now_utc = datetime.now(tz=datetime.timezone.utc) # Ensure timezone awareness for Alpaca
start_fetch_dt = now_utc - timedelta(minutes=max_lookback_period + 60)
print(f"Fetching latest {max_lookback_period} bars for {symbol_to_fetch} from {start_fetch_dt.isoformat()}...")
# ... rest of the function
IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_START Use code with caution. Python IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_END
Recommendation:
Add timezone to your import statement at the top of the file. It's generally good practice to have all your imports listed together.
import os import alpaca_trade_api as tradeapi import pandas as pd from datetime import datetime, timedelta, timezone # <--- ADD timezone HERE import time from finta import TA import numpy as np import matplotlib.pyplot as plt # If you use it from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split, TimeSeriesSplit from sklearn.metrics import accuracy_score, classification_report import xgboost as xgb
IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_START Use code with caution. Python IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_END
After making this change, the NameError: name 'timezone' is not defined should be resolved.
import os # Already imported, but good to note for this section
import alpaca_trade_api as tradeapi # Already imported
import pandas as pd # Already imported
from datetime import datetime, timedelta, timezone # Already imported
import time # Already imported
# --- Constants for Step 6 ---
# These should be defined after your API setup and model training
SYMBOL_TO_TRADE = "BTC/USD" # Use the same symbol format as Alpaca uses
TRADE_QTY_USD = 100 # Amount in USD to trade per signal. Adjust based on risk.
# TARGET_HORIZON_MINUTES is implicitly handled by the model's training
# but not directly used in this execution logic, other than fetching enough data.
# Ensure necessary globals are defined from previous steps
# For example, at the end of Step 4, you should have:
# model = your_trained_xgboost_model
# feature_cols = list_of_your_feature_column_names
# And from the beginning of your script:
# api = tradeapi.REST(...)
# create_features = your_finta_based_feature_creation_function
def get_latest_bar_features(symbol_to_fetch, timeframe_to_use, max_lookback_period=150):
"""
Fetches latest bars, calculates features for the most recent *complete* bar.
max_lookback_period: Number of bars to fetch to ensure enough data for all indicators.
e.g., if longest MA is 30, and RSI is 14, fetch at least 30+ buffer.
150 minutes should cover most common 1-min indicators.
"""
global api, create_features, feature_cols # Access global api, create_features, and feature_cols
# Calculate start time for fetching data
# We need enough bars for feature calculation, so go back further than just max_lookback_period
# to account for potential gaps or incomplete last bar from API.
# For 1-minute bars, max_lookback_period minutes. Let's add a buffer.
now_utc = datetime.now(tz=timezone.utc) # Ensure timezone awareness for Alpaca
start_fetch_dt = now_utc - timedelta(minutes=max_lookback_period + 60) # Extra 60 min buffer
print(f"Fetching latest {max_lookback_period} bars for {symbol_to_fetch} from {start_fetch_dt.isoformat()}...")
try:
latest_bars_df = api.get_crypto_bars(
symbol_to_fetch,
timeframe_to_use, # e.g., tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute
start=start_fetch_dt.isoformat(),
# end defaults to now, limit helps control amount
limit=max_lookback_period + 5 # Fetch a few extra just in case
).df
# Ensure columns are lowercase as expected by 'create_features'
latest_bars_df.columns = [col.lower() for col in latest_bars_df.columns]
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error fetching latest bars: {e}")
return None
if latest_bars_df.empty:
print("No recent bars data fetched.")
return None
# The last bar from Alpaca might be incomplete if fetched mid-minute.
# We want to make predictions based on the *last fully completed* bar.
# For 1-minute data, if we fetch at XX:XX:30, the bar for XX:XX:00 is complete.
# Let's assume the second to last bar is definitely complete, or if only one bar, it's what we have.
# More robust: filter out bars with timestamp > current_minute_start
# A simple approach: ensure enough bars for features
# Longest feature (e.g., SMA_30) needs 30 periods. RSI needs 14.
# Let's say your longest feature (like SMA_30) needs 'N' periods.
# `create_features` will drop N-1 rows.
required_bars_for_features = 35 # Example: if SMA(30) is longest, need at least 30 + buffer
if len(latest_bars_df) < required_bars_for_features:
print(f"Not enough recent bars ({len(latest_bars_df)}) to calculate all features (need ~{required_bars_for_features}).")
return None
print(f"Calculating features for {len(latest_bars_df)} bars...")
# The create_features function was defined in your earlier code (using finta)
try:
featured_bars = create_features(latest_bars_df) # .copy() is handled inside create_features
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during feature creation for latest bars: {e}")
return None
if featured_bars.empty:
print("Failed to create features (resulted in empty DataFrame).")
return None
# Return only the features for the most recent bar for which features could be calculated
# `dropna()` in `create_features` removes initial NaNs. The last row of `featured_bars` is what we need.
# The features must match `feature_cols` used during training.
try:
# Ensure all expected feature_cols are present in featured_bars before selecting
missing_cols = [col for col in feature_cols if col not in featured_bars.columns]
if missing_cols:
print(f"Error: The following feature columns are missing after calculation: {missing_cols}")
print(f"Available columns: {featured_bars.columns.tolist()}")
return None
# Select only the feature_cols and take the last row
final_features_for_prediction = featured_bars[feature_cols].iloc[-1:]
return final_features_for_prediction # Return as a DataFrame (single row)
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error selecting final features for prediction: {e}")
print(f"Feature_cols expected: {feature_cols}")
print(f"Columns in featured_bars: {featured_bars.columns.tolist()}")
return None
def check_and_place_trade():
global model, feature_cols, api, SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, TRADE_QTY_USD # Ensure these are accessible
if model is None: # Check if model is loaded/trained
print("Model is not available. Skipping trade check.")
return
if not feature_cols: # Check if feature_cols is defined
print("Feature columns not defined. Skipping trade check.")
return
print(f"\n[{datetime.now()} UTC] Checking for trading signal for {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}...")
# Get features for the latest complete bar
# Assuming tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute was used for training and data fetching
current_features_df = get_latest_bar_features(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute)
if current_features_df is None or current_features_df.empty:
print("Could not get features for the latest bar. Skipping trade.")
return
# The get_latest_bar_features should already return data with columns in feature_cols order
# But an explicit reorder is a good safeguard if the selection logic changes.
# current_features_df = current_features_df[feature_cols] # This was already done in get_latest_bar_features
try:
prediction = model.predict(current_features_df) # `current_features_df` is already a DataFrame
signal = prediction[0] # Prediction for the single latest bar
proba = model.predict_proba(current_features_df)[0] # Get probabilities [prob_class_0, prob_class_1]
print(f"Features for prediction: {current_features_df.iloc[0].to_dict()}")
print(f"Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): {signal}, Confidence (Prob for Up): {proba[1]:.4f}")
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during model prediction: {e}")
print(f"Features passed to model: {current_features_df}")
return
# --- Alpaca API Interaction ---
try:
positions = api.list_positions()
btc_position = next((p for p in positions if p.symbol == SYMBOL_TO_TRADE), None)
# Use get_latest_trade for a more "real-time" price if available, or quote
# latest_trade = api.get_latest_crypto_trade(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, exchange="CBSE") # Example exchange
# current_price = latest_trade.p
# Or use quotes:
latest_quote = api.get_latest_crypto_quote(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, exchange="CBSE") # Coinbase is a common exchange for BTCUSD
current_price = (latest_quote.ap + latest_quote.bp) / 2.0 # Mid-price from ask/bid
if not current_price or current_price <= 0:
print(f"Could not get a valid current price for {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}. Price: {current_price}")
return
print(f"Current mid-price for {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}: ${current_price:.2f}")
# --- Trade Logic ---
# Simple strategy: Buy on signal 1, Sell (if holding) on signal 0
# Add a confidence threshold:
CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD = 0.55 # Only trade if probability of "UP" is > 55% (example)
if signal == 1 and proba[1] >= CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD: # Predicted UP with enough confidence
if btc_position is None or float(btc_position.qty) == 0:
qty_to_buy = TRADE_QTY_USD / current_price
# Alpaca has precision requirements for crypto orders.
# For BTC, usually 6-8 decimal places for quantity.
qty_to_buy_rounded = round(qty_to_buy, 7) # Adjust precision as needed for BTC
if qty_to_buy_rounded > 0: # Ensure non-zero quantity
print(f"BUY signal (confidence {proba[1]:.2f}). Attempting to buy {qty_to_buy_rounded:.7f} {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
api.submit_order(
symbol=SYMBOL_TO_TRADE,
qty=str(qty_to_buy_rounded), # Qty as string
side='buy',
type='market',
time_in_force='gtc' # Good 'til Canceled
)
print(f"BUY order for {qty_to_buy_rounded:.7f} {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE} submitted.")
else:
print(f"Calculated buy quantity {qty_to_buy_rounded:.7f} is too small. No order placed.")
else:
print(f"BUY signal (confidence {proba[1]:.2f}), but already have a position of {btc_position.qty} {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}. Holding.")
elif signal == 0: # Predicted NOT UP (or low confidence for UP) - Potential SELL
if btc_position and float(btc_position.qty) > 0:
qty_to_sell = float(btc_position.qty) # Sell entire position
qty_to_sell_rounded = round(qty_to_sell, 7) # Match precision
if qty_to_sell_rounded > 0:
print(f"SELL signal (or low UP confidence). Attempting to sell {qty_to_sell_rounded:.7f} {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
api.submit_order(
symbol=SYMBOL_TO_TRADE,
qty=str(qty_to_sell_rounded), # Qty as string
side='sell',
type='market',
time_in_force='gtc'
)
print(f"SELL order for {qty_to_sell_rounded:.7f} {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE} submitted.")
else:
print(f"Sell quantity {qty_to_sell_rounded:.7f} is zero or negative. No order placed.")
else:
print("SELL signal (or low UP confidence), but no open position to sell. Doing nothing.")
else: # Signal is 1 but confidence is too low
print(f"UP signal (signal={signal}) but confidence {proba[1]:.2f} is below threshold {CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD}. No action.")
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during trade execution or API interaction: {e}")
import traceback
traceback.print_exc()
# --- Main Execution Loop (for demonstration) ---
# This should be run after your model is trained and `model` and `feature_cols` are populated.
# Example of how to make `model` and `feature_cols` global if they are defined in a function:
# This is just illustrative; in your script, they should be in the global scope after training.
# if 'model' not in globals(): model = None
# if 'feature_cols' not in globals(): feature_cols = []
if __name__ == "__main__":
# --- This block is usually at the very end of your script ---
# --- It assumes all previous steps (API init, data fetch, feature creation, model training) have run ---
# Check if the model and feature_cols are actually populated from Step 4
if 'model' not in globals() or model is None:
print("Model is not trained or not found in global scope. Exiting live trading part.")
# exit() # Or handle appropriately
elif 'feature_cols' not in globals() or not feature_cols:
print("Feature_cols not defined or empty. Exiting live trading part.")
# exit()
else:
print("\n--- Starting Live/Paper Trading Bot (Simplified Loop) ---")
print("IMPORTANT: THIS IS FOR PAPER TRADING. VERIFY ALL SETTINGS.")
print(f"Trading Symbol: {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}, USD per Trade: {TRADE_QTY_USD}")
print(f"Using Model: {type(model).__name__}, Trained Features: {len(feature_cols)}")
# You would typically use a robust scheduler like APScheduler for live trading
# to run check_and_place_trade() precisely at the start of each new bar (e.g., every minute).
# This is a very simplified loop for demonstration.
try:
# Initial check
check_and_place_trade()
# Loop for a few more checks
for i in range(5): # Run for a few iterations (e.g., 5 minutes)
# Wait for the next minute (approximately).
# This is NOT a precise way to align with market bars.
current_seconds = datetime.now().second
wait_time = 60 - current_seconds
if wait_time < 0: wait_time = 60 + wait_time # if somehow it's past the minute
print(f"Waiting for {wait_time} seconds until the next minute...")
time.sleep(wait_time)
check_and_place_trade()
except KeyboardInterrupt:
print("\nTrading loop stopped by user.")
except Exception as e:
print(f"An unhandled error occurred in the trading loop: {e}")
import traceback
traceback.print_exc()
finally:
print("Trading loop finished.")
# else:
# if 'model' not in globals() or model is None:
# print("Script not run as main, or model not yet trained. Live trading functions defined but not executed.")
--- Starting Live/Paper Trading Bot (Simplified Loop) ---
IMPORTANT: THIS IS FOR PAPER TRADING. VERIFY ALL SETTINGS.
Trading Symbol: BTC/USD, USD per Trade: 100
Using Model: XGBClassifier, Trained Features: 17
[2025-06-05 15:39:37.983530 UTC] Checking for trading signal for BTC/USD...
Fetching latest 150 bars for BTC/USD from 2025-06-05T10:09:37.983530+00:00...
Calculating features for 82 bars...
Features for prediction: {'SMA_10': 105639.70830000001, 'SMA_30': 105743.64105, 'EMA_10': 105641.28310111519, 'RSI_14': 48.49687044911611, 'MACD_12_26_9': -11.418072657819721, 'MACDs_12_26_9': 27.58256804908196, 'MACDh_12_26_9': -39.00064070690168, 'BBL_20_2.0': 105477.88537927234, 'BBM_20_2.0': 105756.31074999999, 'BBU_20_2.0': 106034.73612072764, 'BBB_20_2.0': 0.005265413832103654, 'BBP_20_2.0': 0.2919069844512417, 'ATR_14': 75.60328571428441, 'return_1m': 0.0010222817509857318, 'return_3m': 0.0006490267795180582, 'return_5m': 0.0009040123352099805, 'return_10m': -0.0011815395204859414}
Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): 1, Confidence (Prob for Up): 0.5547
Error during trade execution or API interaction: 'REST' object has no attribute 'get_latest_crypto_quote'
Waiting for 21 seconds until the next minute...
Traceback (most recent call last):
File "C:\Users\micro\AppData\Local\Temp\ipykernel_5076\383956222.py", line 156, in check_and_place_trade
latest_quote = api.get_latest_crypto_quote(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, exchange="CBSE") # Coinbase is a common exchange for BTCUSD
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
AttributeError: 'REST' object has no attribute 'get_latest_crypto_quote'
[2025-06-05 15:40:00.447000 UTC] Checking for trading signal for BTC/USD...
Fetching latest 150 bars for BTC/USD from 2025-06-05T10:10:00.447000+00:00...
Calculating features for 83 bars...
Features for prediction: {'SMA_10': 105608.81980000001, 'SMA_30': 105744.13971666667, 'EMA_10': 105605.08798970713, 'RSI_14': 37.58182588625964, 'MACD_12_26_9': -27.44663251588645, 'MACDs_12_26_9': 16.576727836526622, 'MACDh_12_26_9': -44.02336035241307, 'BBL_20_2.0': 105428.1293771099, 'BBM_20_2.0': 105736.05064999999, 'BBU_20_2.0': 106043.97192289008, 'BBB_20_2.0': 0.005824338454050049, 'BBP_20_2.0': 0.02286399825180572, 'ATR_14': 84.87442857142638, 'return_1m': -0.0018764027417758067, 'return_3m': -0.001537528012516054, 'return_5m': -0.0011495160209502586, 'return_10m': -0.0029208681007037995}
Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): 1, Confidence (Prob for Up): 0.5610
Error during trade execution or API interaction: 'REST' object has no attribute 'get_latest_crypto_quote'
Waiting for 60 seconds until the next minute...
Traceback (most recent call last):
File "C:\Users\micro\AppData\Local\Temp\ipykernel_5076\383956222.py", line 156, in check_and_place_trade
latest_quote = api.get_latest_crypto_quote(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, exchange="CBSE") # Coinbase is a common exchange for BTCUSD
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
AttributeError: 'REST' object has no attribute 'get_latest_crypto_quote'
[2025-06-05 15:41:00.761722 UTC] Checking for trading signal for BTC/USD...
Fetching latest 150 bars for BTC/USD from 2025-06-05T10:11:00.761722+00:00...
Calculating features for 84 bars...
Features for prediction: {'SMA_10': 105578.5358, 'SMA_30': 105732.80576666667, 'EMA_10': 105574.4465355686, 'RSI_14': 37.32397030865483, 'MACD_12_26_9': -40.1415869819175, 'MACDs_12_26_9': 5.233064790743649, 'MACDh_12_26_9': -45.374651772661146, 'BBL_20_2.0': 105386.97040404902, 'BBM_20_2.0': 105713.37577500001, 'BBU_20_2.0': 106039.781145951, 'BBB_20_2.0': 0.006175289901737884, 'BBP_20_2.0': 0.07596320459816482, 'ATR_14': 80.6724285714268, 'return_1m': -5.358385413212208e-05, 'return_3m': -0.0009095771873228742, 'return_5m': -0.0012821118192276604, 'return_10m': -0.00286402230389049}
Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): 1, Confidence (Prob for Up): 0.5200
Error during trade execution or API interaction: 'REST' object has no attribute 'get_latest_crypto_quote'
Waiting for 59 seconds until the next minute...
Traceback (most recent call last):
File "C:\Users\micro\AppData\Local\Temp\ipykernel_5076\383956222.py", line 156, in check_and_place_trade
latest_quote = api.get_latest_crypto_quote(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, exchange="CBSE") # Coinbase is a common exchange for BTCUSD
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
AttributeError: 'REST' object has no attribute 'get_latest_crypto_quote'
Trading loop stopped by user. Trading loop finished.
Ah, you've hit an issue with the Alpaca API client version or how you're trying to access the latest price data.
The error AttributeError: 'REST' object has no attribute 'get_latest_crypto_quote' means that the api object (which is an instance of alpaca_trade_api.REST) does not have a method called get_latest_crypto_quote.
This usually happens for one of these reasons:
Older alpaca-trade-api-python version: This method might have been added in a newer version of the library.
Method name change: The method to get crypto quotes might have a different name in your version or in general.
Incorrect usage context: While get_latest_crypto_quote does exist in some contexts/versions, there might be a more standard way.
Let's use the more standard and generally available methods for getting latest crypto data.
Alpaca provides a few ways to get the latest price:
api.get_latest_crypto_bar(symbol, exchange): Gets the latest OHLCV bar.
api.get_latest_crypto_trade(symbol, exchange): Gets the latest trade.
api.get_crypto_snapshot(symbol): Gets a snapshot including latest trade, quote, bar. This is often a good choice.
Let's try using api.get_crypto_snapshot as it's quite comprehensive.
How to Fix:
Modify the price fetching part in your check_and_place_trade function.
Explanation of Changes for Price Fetching:
Primary Method: api.get_crypto_snapshot(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, exchange="CBSE")
This method is generally available and returns a snapshot object containing:
latest_quote (with ap ask price, bp bid price)
latest_trade (with p price)
minute_bar, daily_bar
We prioritize the mid-price from the latest_quote.
If quote isn't available, we try latest_trade.p.
If that's not available, we try minute_bar.c.
Secondary Method: api.get_latest_crypto_trade(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, exchange="CBSE")
If the snapshot doesn't yield a good price, we explicitly call get_latest_crypto_trade.
Ultimate Fallback: Last Bar Close
If live quote/trade data fails, as a last resort, it attempts to re-fetch the absolute latest 1-minute bar and use its close price. This is less ideal for executing at the "current" market price but better than failing entirely.
Exchange Parameter:
Notice the exchange="CBSE" parameter. For fetching specific crypto data like quotes or latest trades, Alpaca often requires you to specify the source exchange. "CBSE" (Coinbase) is a common one for BTC/USD. Others include "ERSX", "FTXU". You might need to check which exchanges Alpaca supports for your data subscription or account type. If you're unsure or if it causes issues, you can try removing it, but it's often necessary for these granular data points.
To implement:
Replace the block where you were calling api.get_latest_crypto_quote in your check_and_place_trade function with the new "MODIFIED PRICE FETCHING" block above.
Make sure you have exchange="CBSE" (or another valid exchange for BTCUSD on Alpaca) in the get_crypto_snapshot and get_latest_crypto_trade calls.
Important Consideration: alpaca-trade-api-python version
If you continue to have issues with API methods, it might be worth checking and potentially updating your alpaca-trade-api-python library:
pip show alpaca-trade-api-python # To check current version pip install --upgrade alpaca-trade-api-python # To update
IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_START Use code with caution. Bash IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_END
However, the get_crypto_snapshot and get_latest_crypto_trade methods have been around for a while and should generally be available. The most common issue is often related to needing the exchange parameter for crypto data.
import os # Already imported, but good to note for this section
import alpaca_trade_api as tradeapi # Already imported
import pandas as pd # Already imported
from datetime import datetime, timedelta, timezone # Already imported
import time # Already imported
# --- Constants for Step 6 ---
# These should be defined after your API setup and model training
SYMBOL_TO_TRADE = "BTC/USD" # Use the same symbol format as Alpaca uses
TRADE_QTY_USD = 100 # Amount in USD to trade per signal. Adjust based on risk.
# TARGET_HORIZON_MINUTES is implicitly handled by the model's training
# but not directly used in this execution logic, other than fetching enough data.
# Ensure necessary globals are defined from previous steps
# For example, at the end of Step 4, you should have:
# model = your_trained_xgboost_model
# feature_cols = list_of_your_feature_column_names
# And from the beginning of your script:
# api = tradeapi.REST(...)
# create_features = your_finta_based_feature_creation_function
def get_latest_bar_features(symbol_to_fetch, timeframe_to_use, max_lookback_period=150):
"""
Fetches latest bars, calculates features for the most recent *complete* bar.
max_lookback_period: Number of bars to fetch to ensure enough data for all indicators.
e.g., if longest MA is 30, and RSI is 14, fetch at least 30+ buffer.
150 minutes should cover most common 1-min indicators.
"""
global api, create_features, feature_cols # Access global api, create_features, and feature_cols
# Calculate start time for fetching data
# We need enough bars for feature calculation, so go back further than just max_lookback_period
# to account for potential gaps or incomplete last bar from API.
# For 1-minute bars, max_lookback_period minutes. Let's add a buffer.
now_utc = datetime.now(tz=timezone.utc) # Ensure timezone awareness for Alpaca
start_fetch_dt = now_utc - timedelta(minutes=max_lookback_period + 60) # Extra 60 min buffer
print(f"Fetching latest {max_lookback_period} bars for {symbol_to_fetch} from {start_fetch_dt.isoformat()}...")
try:
latest_bars_df = api.get_crypto_bars(
symbol_to_fetch,
timeframe_to_use, # e.g., tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute
start=start_fetch_dt.isoformat(),
# end defaults to now, limit helps control amount
limit=max_lookback_period + 5 # Fetch a few extra just in case
).df
# Ensure columns are lowercase as expected by 'create_features'
latest_bars_df.columns = [col.lower() for col in latest_bars_df.columns]
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error fetching latest bars: {e}")
return None
if latest_bars_df.empty:
print("No recent bars data fetched.")
return None
# The last bar from Alpaca might be incomplete if fetched mid-minute.
# We want to make predictions based on the *last fully completed* bar.
# For 1-minute data, if we fetch at XX:XX:30, the bar for XX:XX:00 is complete.
# Let's assume the second to last bar is definitely complete, or if only one bar, it's what we have.
# More robust: filter out bars with timestamp > current_minute_start
# A simple approach: ensure enough bars for features
# Longest feature (e.g., SMA_30) needs 30 periods. RSI needs 14.
# Let's say your longest feature (like SMA_30) needs 'N' periods.
# `create_features` will drop N-1 rows.
required_bars_for_features = 35 # Example: if SMA(30) is longest, need at least 30 + buffer
if len(latest_bars_df) < required_bars_for_features:
print(f"Not enough recent bars ({len(latest_bars_df)}) to calculate all features (need ~{required_bars_for_features}).")
return None
print(f"Calculating features for {len(latest_bars_df)} bars...")
# The create_features function was defined in your earlier code (using finta)
try:
featured_bars = create_features(latest_bars_df) # .copy() is handled inside create_features
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during feature creation for latest bars: {e}")
return None
if featured_bars.empty:
print("Failed to create features (resulted in empty DataFrame).")
return None
# Return only the features for the most recent bar for which features could be calculated
# `dropna()` in `create_features` removes initial NaNs. The last row of `featured_bars` is what we need.
# The features must match `feature_cols` used during training.
try:
# Ensure all expected feature_cols are present in featured_bars before selecting
missing_cols = [col for col in feature_cols if col not in featured_bars.columns]
if missing_cols:
print(f"Error: The following feature columns are missing after calculation: {missing_cols}")
print(f"Available columns: {featured_bars.columns.tolist()}")
return None
# Select only the feature_cols and take the last row
final_features_for_prediction = featured_bars[feature_cols].iloc[-1:]
return final_features_for_prediction # Return as a DataFrame (single row)
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error selecting final features for prediction: {e}")
print(f"Feature_cols expected: {feature_cols}")
print(f"Columns in featured_bars: {featured_bars.columns.tolist()}")
return None
def check_and_place_trade():
global model, feature_cols, api, SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, TRADE_QTY_USD # Ensure these are accessible
if model is None: # Check if model is loaded/trained
print("Model is not available. Skipping trade check.")
return
if not feature_cols: # Check if feature_cols is defined
print("Feature columns not defined. Skipping trade check.")
return
print(f"\n[{datetime.now()} UTC] Checking for trading signal for {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}...")
# Get features for the latest complete bar
# Assuming tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute was used for training and data fetching
current_features_df = get_latest_bar_features(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute)
if current_features_df is None or current_features_df.empty:
print("Could not get features for the latest bar. Skipping trade.")
return
# The get_latest_bar_features should already return data with columns in feature_cols order
# But an explicit reorder is a good safeguard if the selection logic changes.
# current_features_df = current_features_df[feature_cols] # This was already done in get_latest_bar_features
try:
prediction = model.predict(current_features_df) # `current_features_df` is already a DataFrame
signal = prediction[0] # Prediction for the single latest bar
proba = model.predict_proba(current_features_df)[0] # Get probabilities [prob_class_0, prob_class_1]
print(f"Features for prediction: {current_features_df.iloc[0].to_dict()}")
print(f"Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): {signal}, Confidence (Prob for Up): {proba[1]:.4f}")
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during model prediction: {e}")
print(f"Features passed to model: {current_features_df}")
return
# --- Alpaca API Interaction ---
try:
positions = api.list_positions()
btc_position = next((p for p in positions if p.symbol == SYMBOL_TO_TRADE), None)
# --- MODIFIED PRICE FETCHING ---
print(f"Fetching snapshot for {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}...")
# Ensure you specify an exchange if needed by your account/API version for crypto
# For many crypto pairs, you might need to specify where Alpaca sources it from.
# Common exchanges: "CBSE" (Coinbase), "ERSX", "FTXU"
# If your API key is for a brokerage account that pools liquidity,
# you might not need 'exchange' for all calls, but it's safer for specific data points.
try:
# Attempt 1: Using snapshot which contains latest trade and quote
snapshot = api.get_crypto_snapshot(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, exchange="CBSE") # Specify exchange
if snapshot and snapshot.latest_quote and snapshot.latest_quote.ap and snapshot.latest_quote.bp:
current_price = (snapshot.latest_quote.ap + snapshot.latest_quote.bp) / 2.0 # Mid-price from ask/bid
print(f"Price from snapshot quote: Ask={snapshot.latest_quote.ap}, Bid={snapshot.latest_quote.bp}, Mid={current_price:.2f}")
elif snapshot and snapshot.latest_trade and snapshot.latest_trade.p:
current_price = snapshot.latest_trade.p
print(f"Price from snapshot latest trade: {current_price:.2f}")
elif snapshot and snapshot.minute_bar and snapshot.minute_bar.c: # Fallback to last minute bar close
current_price = snapshot.minute_bar.c
print(f"Price from snapshot minute bar close: {current_price:.2f}")
else:
# Attempt 2: Fallback to get_latest_crypto_trade if snapshot is insufficient
print("Snapshot quote/trade price not available, trying get_latest_crypto_trade...")
latest_trade_data = api.get_latest_crypto_trade(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, exchange="CBSE")
if latest_trade_data and latest_trade_data.p:
current_price = latest_trade_data.p
print(f"Price from get_latest_crypto_trade: {current_price:.2f}")
else:
print(f"Could not get a valid current price for {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE} using snapshot or latest trade.")
return
except Exception as price_e:
print(f"Error fetching current price: {price_e}")
print("Falling back to last bar's close price from feature data if available...")
# As an ultimate fallback, use the close of the bar for which features were calculated
if current_features_df is not None and not current_features_df.empty and 'close' in current_features_df.columns:
# This 'close' would be from the input to create_features (latest_bars_df)
# We need the close of the bar used for PREDICTION, which isn't directly in `current_features_df`
# Instead, let's re-fetch the very latest bar if other methods fail
try:
last_bar = api.get_crypto_bars(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute, limit=1).df
if not last_bar.empty:
current_price = last_bar['close'].iloc[-1]
print(f"Price from last fetched bar (fallback): {current_price:.2f}")
else:
print("Could not get price via fallback to last bar.")
return
except Exception as fallback_e:
print(f"Error in fallback price fetching: {fallback_e}")
return
else:
print("Cannot fallback to bar close, feature data not available.")
return
if not current_price or current_price <= 0:
print(f"Could not get a valid current price for {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}. Price resolved to: {current_price}")
return
print(f"Current effective price for {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}: ${current_price:.2f}")
# --- Trade Logic ---
# Simple strategy: Buy on signal 1, Sell (if holding) on signal 0
# Add a confidence threshold:
CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD = 0.55 # Only trade if probability of "UP" is > 55% (example)
if signal == 1 and proba[1] >= CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD: # Predicted UP with enough confidence
if btc_position is None or float(btc_position.qty) == 0:
qty_to_buy = TRADE_QTY_USD / current_price
# Alpaca has precision requirements for crypto orders.
# For BTC, usually 6-8 decimal places for quantity.
qty_to_buy_rounded = round(qty_to_buy, 7) # Adjust precision as needed for BTC
if qty_to_buy_rounded > 0: # Ensure non-zero quantity
print(f"BUY signal (confidence {proba[1]:.2f}). Attempting to buy {qty_to_buy_rounded:.7f} {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
api.submit_order(
symbol=SYMBOL_TO_TRADE,
qty=str(qty_to_buy_rounded), # Qty as string
side='buy',
type='market',
time_in_force='gtc' # Good 'til Canceled
)
print(f"BUY order for {qty_to_buy_rounded:.7f} {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE} submitted.")
else:
print(f"Calculated buy quantity {qty_to_buy_rounded:.7f} is too small. No order placed.")
else:
print(f"BUY signal (confidence {proba[1]:.2f}), but already have a position of {btc_position.qty} {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}. Holding.")
elif signal == 0: # Predicted NOT UP (or low confidence for UP) - Potential SELL
if btc_position and float(btc_position.qty) > 0:
qty_to_sell = float(btc_position.qty) # Sell entire position
qty_to_sell_rounded = round(qty_to_sell, 7) # Match precision
if qty_to_sell_rounded > 0:
print(f"SELL signal (or low UP confidence). Attempting to sell {qty_to_sell_rounded:.7f} {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
api.submit_order(
symbol=SYMBOL_TO_TRADE,
qty=str(qty_to_sell_rounded), # Qty as string
side='sell',
type='market',
time_in_force='gtc'
)
print(f"SELL order for {qty_to_sell_rounded:.7f} {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE} submitted.")
else:
print(f"Sell quantity {qty_to_sell_rounded:.7f} is zero or negative. No order placed.")
else:
print("SELL signal (or low UP confidence), but no open position to sell. Doing nothing.")
else: # Signal is 1 but confidence is too low
print(f"UP signal (signal={signal}) but confidence {proba[1]:.2f} is below threshold {CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD}. No action.")
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during trade execution or API interaction: {e}")
import traceback
traceback.print_exc()
# --- Main Execution Loop (for demonstration) ---
# This should be run after your model is trained and `model` and `feature_cols` are populated.
# Example of how to make `model` and `feature_cols` global if they are defined in a function:
# This is just illustrative; in your script, they should be in the global scope after training.
# if 'model' not in globals(): model = None
# if 'feature_cols' not in globals(): feature_cols = []
if __name__ == "__main__":
# --- This block is usually at the very end of your script ---
# --- It assumes all previous steps (API init, data fetch, feature creation, model training) have run ---
# Check if the model and feature_cols are actually populated from Step 4
if 'model' not in globals() or model is None:
print("Model is not trained or not found in global scope. Exiting live trading part.")
# exit() # Or handle appropriately
elif 'feature_cols' not in globals() or not feature_cols:
print("Feature_cols not defined or empty. Exiting live trading part.")
# exit()
else:
print("\n--- Starting Live/Paper Trading Bot (Simplified Loop) ---")
print("IMPORTANT: THIS IS FOR PAPER TRADING. VERIFY ALL SETTINGS.")
print(f"Trading Symbol: {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}, USD per Trade: {TRADE_QTY_USD}")
print(f"Using Model: {type(model).__name__}, Trained Features: {len(feature_cols)}")
# You would typically use a robust scheduler like APScheduler for live trading
# to run check_and_place_trade() precisely at the start of each new bar (e.g., every minute).
# This is a very simplified loop for demonstration.
try:
# Initial check
check_and_place_trade()
# Loop for a few more checks
for i in range(5): # Run for a few iterations (e.g., 5 minutes)
# Wait for the next minute (approximately).
# This is NOT a precise way to align with market bars.
current_seconds = datetime.now().second
wait_time = 60 - current_seconds
if wait_time < 0: wait_time = 60 + wait_time # if somehow it's past the minute
print(f"Waiting for {wait_time} seconds until the next minute...")
time.sleep(wait_time)
check_and_place_trade()
except KeyboardInterrupt:
print("\nTrading loop stopped by user.")
except Exception as e:
print(f"An unhandled error occurred in the trading loop: {e}")
import traceback
traceback.print_exc()
finally:
print("Trading loop finished.")
# else:
# if 'model' not in globals() or model is None:
# print("Script not run as main, or model not yet trained. Live trading functions defined but not executed.")
--- Starting Live/Paper Trading Bot (Simplified Loop) ---
IMPORTANT: THIS IS FOR PAPER TRADING. VERIFY ALL SETTINGS.
Trading Symbol: BTC/USD, USD per Trade: 100
Using Model: XGBClassifier, Trained Features: 17
[2025-06-05 15:43:44.283720 UTC] Checking for trading signal for BTC/USD...
Fetching latest 150 bars for BTC/USD from 2025-06-05T10:13:44.283720+00:00...
Calculating features for 86 bars...
Features for prediction: {'SMA_10': 105530.35965, 'SMA_30': 105716.67178333334, 'EMA_10': 105544.44215094957, 'RSI_14': 41.18981566123976, 'MACD_12_26_9': -49.8336342782859, 'MACDs_12_26_9': -13.999505793330048, 'MACDh_12_26_9': -35.834128484955855, 'BBL_20_2.0': 105348.82053601382, 'BBM_20_2.0': 105669.88615, 'BBU_20_2.0': 105990.95176398619, 'BBB_20_2.0': 0.006076766535556301, 'BBP_20_2.0': 0.21420070850704037, 'ATR_14': 85.1256785714265, 'return_1m': 5.650812584567788e-05, 'return_3m': 0.0004187649329427945, 'return_5m': -0.000437632749327177, 'return_10m': -0.0022215641603571257}
Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): 0, Confidence (Prob for Up): 0.4790
Fetching snapshot for BTC/USD...
Error fetching current price: REST.get_crypto_snapshot() got an unexpected keyword argument 'exchange'
Falling back to last bar's close price from feature data if available...
Cannot fallback to bar close, feature data not available.
Waiting for 15 seconds until the next minute...
[2025-06-05 15:44:00.261136 UTC] Checking for trading signal for BTC/USD...
Fetching latest 150 bars for BTC/USD from 2025-06-05T10:14:00.261136+00:00...
Calculating features for 87 bars...
Features for prediction: {'SMA_10': 105520.49865, 'SMA_30': 105705.38478333334, 'EMA_10': 105526.6181230376, 'RSI_14': 38.97364638716003, 'MACD_12_26_9': -55.34537688623823, 'MACDs_12_26_9': -22.26868004255184, 'MACDh_12_26_9': -33.07669684368639, 'BBL_20_2.0': 105336.45583992648, 'BBM_20_2.0': 105645.02315, 'BBU_20_2.0': 105953.59046007351, 'BBB_20_2.0': 0.005841587248940175, 'BBP_20_2.0': 0.17816884109876802, 'ATR_14': 86.12249999999767, 'return_1m': -0.0003787740700953446, 'return_3m': 9.342110554455552e-05, 'return_5m': -0.0018366452375611075, 'return_10m': -0.0009342932523012104}
Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): 1, Confidence (Prob for Up): 0.5116
Fetching snapshot for BTC/USD...
Error fetching current price: REST.get_crypto_snapshot() got an unexpected keyword argument 'exchange'
Falling back to last bar's close price from feature data if available...
Cannot fallback to bar close, feature data not available.
Waiting for 60 seconds until the next minute...
Trading loop stopped by user.
Trading loop finished.
Okay, this is good diagnostic information!
The error Error fetching current price: REST.get_crypto_snapshot() got an unexpected keyword argument 'exchange' means that your specific version of the alpaca-trade-api-python library (or the way your account is configured for API access, e.g., brokerage vs. direct data subscription) does not support or require the exchange parameter for get_crypto_snapshot (and likely also for get_latest_crypto_trade).
This is common with newer brokerage API keys where Alpaca handles the exchange routing for you.
Solution:
Remove the exchange="CBSE" (or any exchange=...) argument from the following calls within your check_and_place_trade function:
api.get_crypto_snapshot(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE)
api.get_latest_crypto_trade(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE)
Modified Price Fetching Block:
Explanation of the "Cannot fallback to bar close, feature data not available." message:
The previous fallback logic was:
# # This 'close' would be from the input to create_features (latest_bars_df)
# # We need the close of the bar used for PREDICTION, which isn't directly in `current_features_df`
# # Instead, let's re-fetch the very latest bar if other methods fail
IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_START Use code with caution. Python IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_END
The issue was that current_features_df contains features, not necessarily the raw 'close' price of the absolute latest bar. The features are derived, and the close column might have been dropped or transformed.
The new ultimate fallback directly calls api.get_crypto_bars(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute, limit=1).df to fetch the very last 1-minute bar and use its close price. This is a more reliable fallback if the snapshot/latest_trade methods fail for some reason.
Summary of changes for you:
In the check_and_place_trade function, locate these lines:
snapshot = api.get_crypto_snapshot(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, exchange="CBSE")
latest_trade_data = api.get_latest_crypto_trade(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, exchange="CBSE")
Remove the exchange="CBSE" argument from both of them.
They should become:
snapshot = api.get_crypto_snapshot(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE)
latest_trade_data = api.get_latest_crypto_trade(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE)
Implement the refined ultimate fallback logic as shown in the "MODIFIED PRICE FETCHING (Removed 'exchange' argument)" block above, ensuring that current_price is properly initialized and checked before the final trade logic.
This should resolve the unexpected keyword argument 'exchange' error and allow your bot to fetch the current price correctly.
import os # Already imported, but good to note for this section
import alpaca_trade_api as tradeapi # Already imported
import pandas as pd # Already imported
from datetime import datetime, timedelta, timezone # Already imported
import time # Already imported
# --- Constants for Step 6 ---
# These should be defined after your API setup and model training
SYMBOL_TO_TRADE = "BTC/USD" # Use the same symbol format as Alpaca uses
TRADE_QTY_USD = 100 # Amount in USD to trade per signal. Adjust based on risk.
# TARGET_HORIZON_MINUTES is implicitly handled by the model's training
# but not directly used in this execution logic, other than fetching enough data.
# Ensure necessary globals are defined from previous steps
# For example, at the end of Step 4, you should have:
# model = your_trained_xgboost_model
# feature_cols = list_of_your_feature_column_names
# And from the beginning of your script:
# api = tradeapi.REST(...)
# create_features = your_finta_based_feature_creation_function
def get_latest_bar_features(symbol_to_fetch, timeframe_to_use, max_lookback_period=150):
"""
Fetches latest bars, calculates features for the most recent *complete* bar.
max_lookback_period: Number of bars to fetch to ensure enough data for all indicators.
e.g., if longest MA is 30, and RSI is 14, fetch at least 30+ buffer.
150 minutes should cover most common 1-min indicators.
"""
global api, create_features, feature_cols # Access global api, create_features, and feature_cols
# Calculate start time for fetching data
# We need enough bars for feature calculation, so go back further than just max_lookback_period
# to account for potential gaps or incomplete last bar from API.
# For 1-minute bars, max_lookback_period minutes. Let's add a buffer.
now_utc = datetime.now(tz=timezone.utc) # Ensure timezone awareness for Alpaca
start_fetch_dt = now_utc - timedelta(minutes=max_lookback_period + 60) # Extra 60 min buffer
print(f"Fetching latest {max_lookback_period} bars for {symbol_to_fetch} from {start_fetch_dt.isoformat()}...")
try:
latest_bars_df = api.get_crypto_bars(
symbol_to_fetch,
timeframe_to_use, # e.g., tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute
start=start_fetch_dt.isoformat(),
# end defaults to now, limit helps control amount
limit=max_lookback_period + 5 # Fetch a few extra just in case
).df
# Ensure columns are lowercase as expected by 'create_features'
latest_bars_df.columns = [col.lower() for col in latest_bars_df.columns]
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error fetching latest bars: {e}")
return None
if latest_bars_df.empty:
print("No recent bars data fetched.")
return None
# The last bar from Alpaca might be incomplete if fetched mid-minute.
# We want to make predictions based on the *last fully completed* bar.
# For 1-minute data, if we fetch at XX:XX:30, the bar for XX:XX:00 is complete.
# Let's assume the second to last bar is definitely complete, or if only one bar, it's what we have.
# More robust: filter out bars with timestamp > current_minute_start
# A simple approach: ensure enough bars for features
# Longest feature (e.g., SMA_30) needs 30 periods. RSI needs 14.
# Let's say your longest feature (like SMA_30) needs 'N' periods.
# `create_features` will drop N-1 rows.
required_bars_for_features = 35 # Example: if SMA(30) is longest, need at least 30 + buffer
if len(latest_bars_df) < required_bars_for_features:
print(f"Not enough recent bars ({len(latest_bars_df)}) to calculate all features (need ~{required_bars_for_features}).")
return None
print(f"Calculating features for {len(latest_bars_df)} bars...")
# The create_features function was defined in your earlier code (using finta)
try:
featured_bars = create_features(latest_bars_df) # .copy() is handled inside create_features
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during feature creation for latest bars: {e}")
return None
if featured_bars.empty:
print("Failed to create features (resulted in empty DataFrame).")
return None
# Return only the features for the most recent bar for which features could be calculated
# `dropna()` in `create_features` removes initial NaNs. The last row of `featured_bars` is what we need.
# The features must match `feature_cols` used during training.
try:
# Ensure all expected feature_cols are present in featured_bars before selecting
missing_cols = [col for col in feature_cols if col not in featured_bars.columns]
if missing_cols:
print(f"Error: The following feature columns are missing after calculation: {missing_cols}")
print(f"Available columns: {featured_bars.columns.tolist()}")
return None
# Select only the feature_cols and take the last row
final_features_for_prediction = featured_bars[feature_cols].iloc[-1:]
return final_features_for_prediction # Return as a DataFrame (single row)
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error selecting final features for prediction: {e}")
print(f"Feature_cols expected: {feature_cols}")
print(f"Columns in featured_bars: {featured_bars.columns.tolist()}")
return None
def check_and_place_trade():
global model, feature_cols, api, SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, TRADE_QTY_USD # Ensure these are accessible
if model is None: # Check if model is loaded/trained
print("Model is not available. Skipping trade check.")
return
if not feature_cols: # Check if feature_cols is defined
print("Feature columns not defined. Skipping trade check.")
return
print(f"\n[{datetime.now()} UTC] Checking for trading signal for {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}...")
# Get features for the latest complete bar
# Assuming tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute was used for training and data fetching
current_features_df = get_latest_bar_features(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute)
if current_features_df is None or current_features_df.empty:
print("Could not get features for the latest bar. Skipping trade.")
return
# The get_latest_bar_features should already return data with columns in feature_cols order
# But an explicit reorder is a good safeguard if the selection logic changes.
# current_features_df = current_features_df[feature_cols] # This was already done in get_latest_bar_features
try:
prediction = model.predict(current_features_df) # `current_features_df` is already a DataFrame
signal = prediction[0] # Prediction for the single latest bar
proba = model.predict_proba(current_features_df)[0] # Get probabilities [prob_class_0, prob_class_1]
print(f"Features for prediction: {current_features_df.iloc[0].to_dict()}")
print(f"Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): {signal}, Confidence (Prob for Up): {proba[1]:.4f}")
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during model prediction: {e}")
print(f"Features passed to model: {current_features_df}")
return
# --- Alpaca API Interaction ---
try:
positions = api.list_positions()
btc_position = next((p for p in positions if p.symbol == SYMBOL_TO_TRADE), None)
# --- MODIFIED PRICE FETCHING (Removed 'exchange' argument) ---
print(f"Fetching snapshot for {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}...")
current_price = None # Initialize current_price
try:
# Attempt 1: Using snapshot which contains latest trade and quote
snapshot = api.get_crypto_snapshot(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE) # <--- REMOVED exchange="CBSE"
if snapshot and snapshot.latest_quote and snapshot.latest_quote.ap and snapshot.latest_quote.bp:
current_price = (snapshot.latest_quote.ap + snapshot.latest_quote.bp) / 2.0
print(f"Price from snapshot quote: Ask={snapshot.latest_quote.ap}, Bid={snapshot.latest_quote.bp}, Mid={current_price:.2f}")
elif snapshot and snapshot.latest_trade and snapshot.latest_trade.p:
current_price = snapshot.latest_trade.p
print(f"Price from snapshot latest trade: {current_price:.2f}")
elif snapshot and snapshot.minute_bar and snapshot.minute_bar.c:
current_price = snapshot.minute_bar.c
print(f"Price from snapshot minute bar close: {current_price:.2f}")
else:
# Attempt 2: Fallback to get_latest_crypto_trade if snapshot is insufficient
print("Snapshot quote/trade price not available or snapshot is None, trying get_latest_crypto_trade...")
latest_trade_data = api.get_latest_crypto_trade(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE) # <--- REMOVED exchange="CBSE"
if latest_trade_data and latest_trade_data.p:
current_price = latest_trade_data.p
print(f"Price from get_latest_crypto_trade: {current_price:.2f}")
else:
print(f"Could not get a valid current price for {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE} using snapshot or latest trade.")
# No return here yet, will try ultimate fallback
except Exception as price_e:
print(f"Error fetching current price via snapshot/latest_trade: {price_e}")
# Will proceed to ultimate fallback
# Ultimate fallback if current_price is still None
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0:
print("Falling back to last bar's close price from a fresh API call...")
try:
# Ensure timeframe_to_use is defined or use tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute directly
last_bars_df = api.get_crypto_bars(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute, limit=1).df
if not last_bars_df.empty and 'close' in last_bars_df.columns:
current_price = last_bars_df['close'].iloc[-1]
print(f"Price from last fetched bar (ultimate fallback): {current_price:.2f}")
else:
print("Could not get price via ultimate fallback to last bar.")
return # Exit if no price can be obtained
except Exception as fallback_e:
print(f"Error in ultimate fallback price fetching: {fallback_e}")
return # Exit if no price can be obtained
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0: # Final check
print(f"Could not obtain a valid current price for {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}. Resolved to: {current_price}")
return
print(f"Current effective price for {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}: ${current_price:.2f}")
# --- Trade Logic ---
# Simple strategy: Buy on signal 1, Sell (if holding) on signal 0
# Add a confidence threshold:
CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD = 0.55 # Only trade if probability of "UP" is > 55% (example)
if signal == 1 and proba[1] >= CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD: # Predicted UP with enough confidence
if btc_position is None or float(btc_position.qty) == 0:
qty_to_buy = TRADE_QTY_USD / current_price
# Alpaca has precision requirements for crypto orders.
# For BTC, usually 6-8 decimal places for quantity.
qty_to_buy_rounded = round(qty_to_buy, 7) # Adjust precision as needed for BTC
if qty_to_buy_rounded > 0: # Ensure non-zero quantity
print(f"BUY signal (confidence {proba[1]:.2f}). Attempting to buy {qty_to_buy_rounded:.7f} {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
api.submit_order(
symbol=SYMBOL_TO_TRADE,
qty=str(qty_to_buy_rounded), # Qty as string
side='buy',
type='market',
time_in_force='gtc' # Good 'til Canceled
)
print(f"BUY order for {qty_to_buy_rounded:.7f} {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE} submitted.")
else:
print(f"Calculated buy quantity {qty_to_buy_rounded:.7f} is too small. No order placed.")
else:
print(f"BUY signal (confidence {proba[1]:.2f}), but already have a position of {btc_position.qty} {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}. Holding.")
elif signal == 0: # Predicted NOT UP (or low confidence for UP) - Potential SELL
if btc_position and float(btc_position.qty) > 0:
qty_to_sell = float(btc_position.qty) # Sell entire position
qty_to_sell_rounded = round(qty_to_sell, 7) # Match precision
if qty_to_sell_rounded > 0:
print(f"SELL signal (or low UP confidence). Attempting to sell {qty_to_sell_rounded:.7f} {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
api.submit_order(
symbol=SYMBOL_TO_TRADE,
qty=str(qty_to_sell_rounded), # Qty as string
side='sell',
type='market',
time_in_force='gtc'
)
print(f"SELL order for {qty_to_sell_rounded:.7f} {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE} submitted.")
else:
print(f"Sell quantity {qty_to_sell_rounded:.7f} is zero or negative. No order placed.")
else:
print("SELL signal (or low UP confidence), but no open position to sell. Doing nothing.")
else: # Signal is 1 but confidence is too low
print(f"UP signal (signal={signal}) but confidence {proba[1]:.2f} is below threshold {CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD}. No action.")
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during trade execution or API interaction: {e}")
import traceback
traceback.print_exc()
# --- Main Execution Loop (for demonstration) ---
# This should be run after your model is trained and `model` and `feature_cols` are populated.
# Example of how to make `model` and `feature_cols` global if they are defined in a function:
# This is just illustrative; in your script, they should be in the global scope after training.
# if 'model' not in globals(): model = None
# if 'feature_cols' not in globals(): feature_cols = []
if __name__ == "__main__":
# --- This block is usually at the very end of your script ---
# --- It assumes all previous steps (API init, data fetch, feature creation, model training) have run ---
# Check if the model and feature_cols are actually populated from Step 4
if 'model' not in globals() or model is None:
print("Model is not trained or not found in global scope. Exiting live trading part.")
# exit() # Or handle appropriately
elif 'feature_cols' not in globals() or not feature_cols:
print("Feature_cols not defined or empty. Exiting live trading part.")
# exit()
else:
print("\n--- Starting Live/Paper Trading Bot (Simplified Loop) ---")
print("IMPORTANT: THIS IS FOR PAPER TRADING. VERIFY ALL SETTINGS.")
print(f"Trading Symbol: {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}, USD per Trade: {TRADE_QTY_USD}")
print(f"Using Model: {type(model).__name__}, Trained Features: {len(feature_cols)}")
# You would typically use a robust scheduler like APScheduler for live trading
# to run check_and_place_trade() precisely at the start of each new bar (e.g., every minute).
# This is a very simplified loop for demonstration.
try:
# Initial check
check_and_place_trade()
# Loop for a few more checks
for i in range(5): # Run for a few iterations (e.g., 5 minutes)
# Wait for the next minute (approximately).
# This is NOT a precise way to align with market bars.
current_seconds = datetime.now().second
wait_time = 60 - current_seconds
if wait_time < 0: wait_time = 60 + wait_time # if somehow it's past the minute
print(f"Waiting for {wait_time} seconds until the next minute...")
time.sleep(wait_time)
check_and_place_trade()
except KeyboardInterrupt:
print("\nTrading loop stopped by user.")
except Exception as e:
print(f"An unhandled error occurred in the trading loop: {e}")
import traceback
traceback.print_exc()
finally:
print("Trading loop finished.")
# else:
# if 'model' not in globals() or model is None:
# print("Script not run as main, or model not yet trained. Live trading functions defined but not executed.")
--- Starting Live/Paper Trading Bot (Simplified Loop) ---
IMPORTANT: THIS IS FOR PAPER TRADING. VERIFY ALL SETTINGS.
Trading Symbol: BTC/USD, USD per Trade: 100
Using Model: XGBClassifier, Trained Features: 17
[2025-06-05 15:47:56.065310 UTC] Checking for trading signal for BTC/USD...
Fetching latest 150 bars for BTC/USD from 2025-06-05T10:17:56.065310+00:00...
Calculating features for 87 bars...
Features for prediction: {'SMA_10': 105483.36295000001, 'SMA_30': 105686.21701666666, 'EMA_10': 105465.8148295372, 'RSI_14': 28.47884211445529, 'MACD_12_26_9': -79.3554091983242, 'MACDs_12_26_9': -33.77757321109951, 'MACDh_12_26_9': -45.57783598722469, 'BBL_20_2.0': 105265.41706584458, 'BBM_20_2.0': 105609.11365, 'BBU_20_2.0': 105952.81023415542, 'BBB_20_2.0': 0.0065088432669640015, 'BBP_20_2.0': -0.10651410171052833, 'ATR_14': 103.44499999999763, 'return_1m': -0.0024107980537223517, 'return_3m': -0.0027323084320732827, 'return_5m': -0.0023710618356729274, 'return_10m': -0.003517852283056344}
Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): 1, Confidence (Prob for Up): 0.6838
Fetching snapshot for BTC/USD...
Error fetching current price via snapshot/latest_trade: 'SnapshotsV2' object has no attribute 'latest_quote'
Falling back to last bar's close price from a fresh API call...
Price from last fetched bar (ultimate fallback): 105217.26
Current effective price for BTC/USD: $105217.26
BUY signal (confidence 0.68). Attempting to buy 0.0009504 BTC/USD at ~$105217.26
BUY order for 0.0009504 BTC/USD submitted.
Waiting for 3 seconds until the next minute...
[2025-06-05 15:48:00.754189 UTC] Checking for trading signal for BTC/USD...
Fetching latest 150 bars for BTC/USD from 2025-06-05T10:18:00.754189+00:00...
Calculating features for 88 bars...
Features for prediction: {'SMA_10': 105435.13444999998, 'SMA_30': 105661.8292, 'EMA_10': 105397.41758633821, 'RSI_14': 25.49465125055731, 'MACD_12_26_9': -105.37785684072878, 'MACDs_12_26_9': -48.097629979473986, 'MACDh_12_26_9': -57.280226861254796, 'BBL_20_2.0': 105174.54826345343, 'BBM_20_2.0': 105571.49705, 'BBU_20_2.0': 105968.44583654658, 'BBB_20_2.0': 0.007519999197483731, 'BBP_20_2.0': -0.10696375241779253, 'ATR_14': 108.21428571428363, 'return_1m': -0.0009750722962348357, 'return_3m': -0.003761012128150276, 'return_5m': -0.0032904146341647955, 'return_10m': -0.004568307773899827}
Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): 1, Confidence (Prob for Up): 0.8023
Fetching snapshot for BTC/USD...
Error fetching current price via snapshot/latest_trade: 'SnapshotsV2' object has no attribute 'latest_quote'
Falling back to last bar's close price from a fresh API call...
Price from last fetched bar (ultimate fallback): 105217.26
Current effective price for BTC/USD: $105217.26
BUY signal (confidence 0.80). Attempting to buy 0.0009504 BTC/USD at ~$105217.26
BUY order for 0.0009504 BTC/USD submitted.
Waiting for 59 seconds until the next minute...
[2025-06-05 15:49:00.532573 UTC] Checking for trading signal for BTC/USD...
Fetching latest 150 bars for BTC/USD from 2025-06-05T10:19:00.532573+00:00...
Calculating features for 89 bars...
Features for prediction: {'SMA_10': 105381.11445, 'SMA_30': 105639.85251666668, 'EMA_10': 105336.86529685196, 'RSI_14': 24.805556481476984, 'MACD_12_26_9': -126.57673418425838, 'MACDs_12_26_9': -63.793450857652275, 'MACDh_12_26_9': -62.78328332660611, 'BBL_20_2.0': 105100.58207920386, 'BBM_20_2.0': 105530.88325, 'BBU_20_2.0': 105961.18442079614, 'BBB_20_2.0': 0.008154980941015508, 'BBP_20_2.0': -0.042065978041463364, 'ATR_14': 106.87646428571212, 'return_1m': -0.00024027109049673534, 'return_3m': -0.00362297777610443, 'return_5m': -0.003944097484267273, 'return_10m': -0.005115308445902578}
Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): 1, Confidence (Prob for Up): 0.6452
Fetching snapshot for BTC/USD...
Error fetching current price via snapshot/latest_trade: 'SnapshotsV2' object has no attribute 'latest_quote'
Falling back to last bar's close price from a fresh API call...
Price from last fetched bar (ultimate fallback): 105217.26
Current effective price for BTC/USD: $105217.26
BUY signal (confidence 0.65). Attempting to buy 0.0009504 BTC/USD at ~$105217.26
BUY order for 0.0009504 BTC/USD submitted.
Waiting for 59 seconds until the next minute...
Trading loop stopped by user.
Trading loop finished.
There are still some problems.
Okay, this is another informative error: AttributeError: 'SnapshotsV2' object has no attribute 'latest_quote'.
This tells us that the snapshot object returned by api.get_crypto_snapshot(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE) (even without the exchange parameter) is of type SnapshotsV2 (or similar, the exact name might vary slightly with library versions), and this specific object structure does not directly have .latest_quote or .latest_trade attributes like some older or different snapshot objects might have had.
Instead, for crypto, the SnapshotsV2 object (or the object you're getting) likely holds the data for different symbols in a dictionary-like structure, where the key is the symbol string.
How the Snapshot Object Often Works for Crypto (and how to access data):
When you call api.get_crypto_snapshot(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE), the returned snapshot object is often a container. To get the actual snapshot data for your specific symbol, you access it like a dictionary:
symbol_snapshot_data = snapshot[SYMBOL_TO_TRADE]
Then, symbol_snapshot_data will have attributes like latest_quote, latest_trade, minute_bar, etc.
Let's Modify the Price Fetching Logic Again:
# --- Alpaca API Interaction ---
try:
positions = api.list_positions()
btc_position = next((p for p in positions if p.symbol == SYMBOL_TO_TRADE), None)
# --- MODIFIED PRICE FETCHING (Accessing symbol data within snapshot) ---
print(f"Fetching snapshot for {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}...")
current_price = None # Initialize current_price
try:
# Attempt 1: Using snapshot
raw_snapshot_data = api.get_crypto_snapshot(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE)
if raw_snapshot_data and SYMBOL_TO_TRADE in raw_snapshot_data:
symbol_snapshot = raw_snapshot_data[SYMBOL_TO_TRADE] # Access data for the specific symbol
if symbol_snapshot: # Check if symbol_snapshot itself is not None
if hasattr(symbol_snapshot, 'latest_quote') and \
symbol_snapshot.latest_quote and \
symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.ap and \
symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.bp:
current_price = (symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.ap + symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.bp) / 2.0
print(f"Price from snapshot quote: Ask={symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.ap}, Bid={symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.bp}, Mid={current_price:.2f}")
elif hasattr(symbol_snapshot, 'latest_trade') and \
symbol_snapshot.latest_trade and \
symbol_snapshot.latest_trade.p:
current_price = symbol_snapshot.latest_trade.p
print(f"Price from snapshot latest trade: {current_price:.2f}")
elif hasattr(symbol_snapshot, 'minute_bar') and \
symbol_snapshot.minute_bar and \
symbol_snapshot.minute_bar.c:
current_price = symbol_snapshot.minute_bar.c
print(f"Price from snapshot minute bar close: {current_price:.2f}")
else:
print("Could not extract quote, trade, or minute bar price from symbol_snapshot.")
else:
print(f"Symbol {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE} data is None within the raw snapshot.")
else:
print(f"Raw snapshot data is None or symbol {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE} not found in snapshot keys: {list(raw_snapshot_data.keys()) if raw_snapshot_data else 'None'}")
# Attempt 2: Fallback to get_latest_crypto_trade if snapshot failed or didn't yield a price
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0:
print("Snapshot did not yield a price, trying get_latest_crypto_trade...")
latest_trade_data = api.get_latest_crypto_trade(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE)
if latest_trade_data and latest_trade_data.p:
current_price = latest_trade_data.p
print(f"Price from get_latest_crypto_trade: {current_price:.2f}")
else:
print(f"Could not get a valid current price for {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE} using get_latest_crypto_trade.")
except Exception as price_e:
print(f"Error fetching current price via snapshot/latest_trade: {price_e}")
import traceback
traceback.print_exc() # Print full traceback for this specific error
# Ultimate fallback if current_price is still None
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0:
print("Falling back to last bar's close price from a fresh API call...")
try:
last_bars_df = api.get_crypto_bars(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute, limit=1).df
if not last_bars_df.empty and 'close' in last_bars_df.columns:
current_price = last_bars_df['close'].iloc[-1]
print(f"Price from last fetched bar (ultimate fallback): {current_price:.2f}")
else:
print("Could not get price via ultimate fallback to last bar.")
return # Exit if no price can be obtained
except Exception as fallback_e:
print(f"Error in ultimate fallback price fetching: {fallback_e}")
return # Exit if no price can be obtained
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0: # Final check
print(f"Could not obtain a valid current price for {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}. Resolved to: {current_price}")
return
print(f"Current effective price for {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}: ${current_price:.2f}")
# --- Trade Logic ---
# (rest of your trade logic: CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD, order submission, etc.)
# ...
IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_START content_copy download Use code with caution. Python IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_END
Key Changes in this Iteration:
Accessing Snapshot Data:
raw_snapshot_data = api.get_crypto_snapshot(SYMBOL_TO_TRADE)
if raw_snapshot_data and SYMBOL_TO_TRADE in raw_snapshot_data:: We check if the snapshot was successful and if our symbol is a key in the returned data.
symbol_snapshot = raw_snapshot_data[SYMBOL_TO_TRADE]: This is the crucial step to get the data object for your specific symbol.
Then, we use hasattr(symbol_snapshot, 'latest_quote') etc., to safely check if these attributes exist on symbol_snapshot before trying to access them. This makes the code more resilient to slight variations in the snapshot object structure.
Clearer Print Statements: Added more print statements to show the flow and what data is being found (or not found).
Full Traceback for Price Fetching Error: Added import traceback; traceback.print_exc() inside the except Exception as price_e: block that specifically covers the snapshot/latest_trade attempts. This will give you more detailed error information if that part fails for other reasons.
Why the Fallback Logic Was Important Here:
Your logs show:
Error fetching current price via snapshot/latest_trade: 'SnapshotsV2' object has no attribute 'latest_quote' Falling back to last bar's close price from a fresh API call... Price from last fetched bar (ultimate fallback): 105217.26 Current effective price for BTC/USD: $105217.26 BUY signal (confidence 0.68). Attempting to buy 0.0009504 BTC/USD at ~$105217.26 BUY order for 0.0009504 BTC/USD submitted. IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_START content_copy download Use code with caution. IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_END
This sequence means:
The api.get_crypto_snapshot() call succeeded in returning some object (SnapshotsV2).
Accessing raw_snapshot_data.latest_quote failed because the structure is different (it's nested per symbol).
The code then correctly fell back to the "ultimate fallback" which calls api.get_crypto_bars(...) and successfully got a price.
A trade was then submitted based on this fallback price.
While the fallback worked, it's better to get the more "live" price from the snapshot's quote or latest trade if possible. The changes above attempt to correctly parse the expected snapshot structure for crypto.
Try this updated price fetching logic. It should now correctly access the nested data within the snapshot object if the structure is snapshot[SYMBOL]->latest_quote/latest_trade.
The problem is also that it bought crypto 3 times in a row. Should it do it or wait for the first part to sell?
You've hit on a very important point in trading bot logic!
No, in most simple long-only strategies like the one we've built, it should NOT buy 3 times in a row without selling in between if you intend to trade a fixed amount per signal.
The current logic in check_and_place_trade is:
if signal == 1 and proba[1] >= CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD: # Predicted UP with enough confidence if btc_position is None or float(btc_position.qty) == 0: # <--- THIS IS THE KEY CHECK # ... logic to buy ... else: print(f"BUY signal (confidence {proba[1]:.2f}), but already have a position of {btc_position.qty} {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}. Holding.")
This check if btc_position is None or float(btc_position.qty) == 0: is supposed to prevent buying if you already have a position.
Why it might still buy multiple times (leading to a larger position than intended):
Latency in Position Update:
When you submit a market order (api.submit_order(...)), it goes to the exchange.
The order gets filled (hopefully quickly).
Alpaca's system updates your account's position.
There can be a small delay (milliseconds to a few seconds, or even longer during extreme volatility or system issues) between your order fill and when api.list_positions() reflects that new position.
Scenario:
Minute 1: Bot sees BUY signal, btc_position is 0. Submits BUY order.
Minute 2 (60 seconds later): Bot sees BUY signal again. If the position update from Minute 1 hasn't fully propagated back to what api.list_positions() returns at that exact moment, btc_position might still appear as 0 or None. Bot submits another BUY order.
This can repeat.
Partial Fills (Less Likely with Market Orders for Liquid Crypto):
If your market order for $100 worth of BTC only got partially filled initially, and the remaining part filled later, the position update might be staggered. However, market orders on liquid pairs like BTC/USD usually fill completely and quickly.
Order Rejection / Failure and No Position Update:
If an order was submitted but failed for some reason (e.g., insufficient buying power at that moment, exchange issue) and this failure wasn't properly caught and handled to prevent re-evaluation, it might try again. But your current logic doesn't seem to have this specific flaw.
Logic Error in btc_position check (Unlikely with current code):
The check if btc_position is None or float(btc_position.qty) == 0: itself is standard. The issue is more likely the timing of the data it's checking against.
How to Address This and Prevent Over-Buying:
The most common way to handle this is to introduce an internal state within your bot or to rely on pending orders.
Method 1: Internal "Pending Order" State (Simpler to implement quickly)
Add a flag that indicates you have an open order or are waiting for a position to confirm.
g_is_waiting_for_position_update = False g_last_order_side = None # Can be 'buy' or 'sell'
def check_and_place_trade(): global model, feature_cols, api, SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, TRADE_QTY_USD global g_is_waiting_for_position_update, g_last_order_side # Access the global flag
# ... (initial checks for model, feature_cols) ...
# ... (get_latest_bar_features) ...
# ... (model prediction) ...
if g_is_waiting_for_position_update:
# Check if position is updated now
try:
positions = api.list_positions()
btc_position_check = next((p for p in positions if p.symbol == SYMBOL_TO_TRADE), None)
if g_last_order_side == 'buy' and btc_position_check and float(btc_position_check.qty) > 0:
print(f"Buy order confirmed. Position: {btc_position_check.qty} {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}.")
g_is_waiting_for_position_update = False
g_last_order_side = None
elif g_last_order_side == 'sell' and (btc_position_check is None or float(btc_position_check.qty) == 0):
print("Sell order confirmed. Position is flat.")
g_is_waiting_for_position_update = False
g_last_order_side = None
else:
print("Still waiting for position update from last order...")
# Optionally, implement a timeout for this state
return # Skip new trade evaluation this cycle
except Exception as e_pos_check:
print(f"Error checking position while waiting for update: {e_pos_check}")
# Decide whether to proceed or keep waiting
return
# --- Alpaca API Interaction (Price fetching part as before) ---
try:
# ... (price fetching logic as before) ...
positions = api.list_positions() # Get current positions again
btc_position = next((p for p in positions if p.symbol == SYMBOL_TO_TRADE), None)
# --- Trade Logic ---
if signal == 1 and proba[1] >= CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD:
if btc_position is None or float(btc_position.qty) == 0:
# ... (calculate qty_to_buy_rounded) ...
if qty_to_buy_rounded > 0:
print(f"BUY signal ... Attempting to buy ...")
api.submit_order(...)
print(f"BUY order submitted.")
g_is_waiting_for_position_update = True # Set flag after submitting
g_last_order_side = 'buy'
# ...
else:
print(f"BUY signal, but already have a position ... Holding.")
elif signal == 0:
if btc_position and float(btc_position.qty) > 0:
# ... (calculate qty_to_sell_rounded) ...
if qty_to_sell_rounded > 0:
print(f"SELL signal ... Attempting to sell ...")
api.submit_order(...)
print(f"SELL order submitted.")
g_is_waiting_for_position_update = True # Set flag after submitting
g_last_order_side = 'sell'
# ...
else:
print("SELL signal, but no open position ... Doing nothing.")
# ...
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during trade execution or API interaction: {e}")
# ...
IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_START content_copy download Use code with caution. Python IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_END
Explanation of Method 1:
Global Flags: g_is_waiting_for_position_update and g_last_order_side.
After Submitting an Order: Set g_is_waiting_for_position_update = True and g_last_order_side to 'buy' or 'sell'.
At the Start of check_and_place_trade: If g_is_waiting_for_position_update is True:
Re-check api.list_positions().
If the expected position change is now visible (e.g., qty > 0 after a buy, or qty == 0 after a sell), reset the flag to False and clear g_last_order_side.
If the position isn't updated yet, print a "waiting" message and return from the function for this cycle, effectively skipping any new trade evaluations until the last one is confirmed.
Timeout (Recommended for robust implementation): You might want to add a counter or timestamp to the "waiting" state. If the position doesn't update after, say, 3-5 minutes, clear the flag and log an error/warning, then proceed. This prevents the bot from getting stuck indefinitely.
Method 2: Check Open Orders (More Aligned with Alpaca's Order System)
Instead of (or in addition to) an internal flag, you can check if there are any open/pending orders for the symbol.
def check_and_place_trade(): # ... try: # Check for existing open orders for this symbol open_orders = api.list_orders(status='open', symbols=[SYMBOL_TO_TRADE]) # Pass symbols as a list if open_orders: print(f"Found {len(open_orders)} open order(s) for {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}. Waiting for them to fill/cancel.") for order in open_orders: print(f" - Order ID: {order.id}, Side: {order.side}, Qty: {order.qty}, Status: {order.status}") return # Don't place new trades if existing ones are open
positions = api.list_positions()
btc_position = next((p for p in positions if p.symbol == SYMBOL_TO_TRADE), None)
# ... (price fetching) ...
if signal == 1 and proba[1] >= CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD:
if btc_position is None or float(btc_position.qty) == 0:
# ... (submit buy order) ...
# ...
# ...
# ...
IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_START content_copy download Use code with caution. Python IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_END
Explanation of Method 2:
api.list_orders(status='open', symbols=[SYMBOL_TO_TRADE]): This fetches any orders for your symbol that are still in an 'open' state (e.g., new, partially_filled, pending_new).
If open orders exist, the bot refrains from placing new ones.
Caveat: This relies on market orders filling very quickly. If a market order somehow stays 'open' for longer than a minute (very rare for liquid BTC), this would block new signals. The internal flag (Method 1) might be more direct for just confirming the position change after a presumed fill.
Recommendation:
Start with Method 1 (Internal Flag). It's generally more robust for this specific problem of preventing duplicate BUYs due to position update latency with market orders.
You can combine them: check open orders first, then if none, check the internal flag.
Important: Paper Trading vs. Live Trading Latency
Paper trading environments sometimes have different latency characteristics or update mechanisms than live trading. What you see in paper might not perfectly reflect live.
However, the principle of guarding against re-entry before a position is confirmed is crucial in both.
By implementing one of these methods, you should prevent your bot from accumulating a larger position than intended due to multiple consecutive buy signals before the position updates. Your logs clearly show the BUY signal ... Attempting to buy ... BUY order ... submitted. happening multiple times, indicating the position check wasn't "seeing" the previous buy.
Did you take this into consideration: note: Alpaca uses different symbols for executing orders such as “BTC/USD” and checking portfolio positions such as “BTCUSD”
You are absolutely CORRECT to bring this up! This is a classic "gotcha" with the Alpaca API and one I should have explicitly highlighted earlier when dealing with both orders and positions.
For Orders (e.g., api.submit_order, api.get_crypto_bars, api.get_crypto_snapshot): You typically use the slash format, e.g., "BTC/USD".
For Positions (e.g., p.symbol from api.list_positions(), or when filtering positions): The symbol is often returned without the slash, e.g., "BTCUSD".
For Watchlists and some other contexts: It might also be without the slash.
This discrepancy will definitely cause the problem you're seeing where the bot buys multiple times!
Your btc_position check is looking for p.symbol == SYMBOL_TO_TRADE where SYMBOL_TO_TRADE is "BTC/USD", but the actual position symbol p.symbol is likely "BTCUSD". Thus, the condition btc_position is None or float(btc_position.qty) == 0 will always be true even if you have a position, because it never finds a position object with the symbol "BTC/USD".
How to Fix This (Crucial Change):
You need two symbol constants or a way to convert between them:
ORDER_SYMBOL = "BTC/USD" # For placing orders and getting market data POSITION_SYMBOL = "BTCUSD" # For checking portfolio positions
SYMBOL_TO_TRADE = ORDER_SYMBOL # This is what most of your functions will use
Now, update the check_and_place_trade function to use POSITION_SYMBOL when dealing with api.list_positions():
def check_and_place_trade(): global model, feature_cols, api, ORDER_SYMBOL, POSITION_SYMBOL, TRADE_QTY_USD # Use specific symbols # ... (internal flag logic if you implemented it, make sure it uses POSITION_SYMBOL for checks) ...
# --- (Model prediction part as before) ---
try:
# Fetch positions using POSITION_SYMBOL
positions = api.list_positions()
# Ensure you are comparing with POSITION_SYMBOL
btc_position = next((p for p in positions if p.symbol == POSITION_SYMBOL), None)
# --- (Price fetching logic - this uses ORDER_SYMBOL for API calls like get_crypto_snapshot) ---
# Make sure price fetching calls use ORDER_SYMBOL
# e.g., raw_snapshot_data = api.get_crypto_snapshot(ORDER_SYMBOL)
# e.g., latest_trade_data = api.get_latest_crypto_trade(ORDER_SYMBOL)
# e.g., last_bars_df = api.get_crypto_bars(ORDER_SYMBOL, ...)
# ... (your existing price fetching logic, ensuring ORDER_SYMBOL is used for data calls) ...
# Let's assume current_price is correctly fetched using ORDER_SYMBOL for data
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0: # Ensure current_price was resolved
print(f"Could not obtain a valid current price for {ORDER_SYMBOL}.")
return
print(f"Current effective price for {ORDER_SYMBOL}: ${current_price:.2f}")
if btc_position:
print(f"Current position in {POSITION_SYMBOL}: {btc_position.qty} @ avg entry ${btc_position.avg_entry_price}")
else:
print(f"No current position in {POSITION_SYMBOL}.")
# --- Trade Logic ---
if signal == 1 and proba[1] >= CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD: # Predicted UP
# Check position using btc_position which was queried with POSITION_SYMBOL
if btc_position is None or float(btc_position.qty) == 0:
qty_to_buy = TRADE_QTY_USD / current_price
qty_to_buy_rounded = round(qty_to_buy, 7)
if qty_to_buy_rounded > 0:
print(f"BUY signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL} (confidence {proba[1]:.2f}). Attempting to buy {qty_to_buy_rounded:.7f} {ORDER_SYMBOL} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
api.submit_order(
symbol=ORDER_SYMBOL, # Use ORDER_SYMBOL for order
qty=str(qty_to_buy_rounded),
side='buy',
type='market',
time_in_force='gtc'
)
print(f"BUY order for {ORDER_SYMBOL} submitted.")
# If using internal flag:
# g_is_waiting_for_position_update = True
# g_last_order_side = 'buy'
else:
print(f"Calculated buy quantity for {ORDER_SYMBOL} is too small. No order placed.")
else:
print(f"BUY signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}, but already have a position of {btc_position.qty} {POSITION_SYMBOL}. Holding.")
elif signal == 0: # Predicted NOT UP - Potential SELL
# Check position using btc_position
if btc_position and float(btc_position.qty) > 0:
qty_to_sell = float(btc_position.qty)
qty_to_sell_rounded = round(qty_to_sell, 7)
if qty_to_sell_rounded > 0:
print(f"SELL signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}. Attempting to sell {qty_to_sell_rounded:.7f} {POSITION_SYMBOL} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
api.submit_order(
symbol=ORDER_SYMBOL, # Use ORDER_SYMBOL for order
qty=str(qty_to_sell_rounded),
side='sell',
type='market',
time_in_force='gtc'
)
print(f"SELL order for {POSITION_SYMBOL} submitted.") # Log can use POSITION_SYMBOL here
# If using internal flag:
# g_is_waiting_for_position_update = True
# g_last_order_side = 'sell'
else:
print(f"Sell quantity for {POSITION_SYMBOL} is zero or negative. No order placed.")
else:
print(f"SELL signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}, but no open {POSITION_SYMBOL} position to sell. Doing nothing.")
# ... (rest of the logic for low confidence, etc.) ...
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during trade execution or API interaction: {e}")
import traceback
traceback.print_exc()
IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_START content_copy download Use code with caution. Python IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_END
Summary of Changes related to Symbol Handling:
Define ORDER_SYMBOL and POSITION_SYMBOL:
ORDER_SYMBOL = "BTC/USD" POSITION_SYMBOL = "BTCUSD" IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_START content_copy download Use code with caution. Python IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_END
Use POSITION_SYMBOL when checking api.list_positions():
btc_position = next((p for p in positions if p.symbol == POSITION_SYMBOL), None) IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_START content_copy download Use code with caution. Python IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_END
Use ORDER_SYMBOL for all API calls that fetch market data or submit orders:
api.get_crypto_snapshot(ORDER_SYMBOL)
api.get_latest_crypto_trade(ORDER_SYMBOL)
api.get_crypto_bars(ORDER_SYMBOL, ...)
api.submit_order(symbol=ORDER_SYMBOL, ...)
In your print statements and logic, be mindful of which symbol you're referring to. For user-facing messages about orders, ORDER_SYMBOL is fine. For messages about existing positions, POSITION_SYMBOL (or the p.symbol from the position object) is more accurate.
If you implemented the internal flag (g_is_waiting_for_position_update):
The position check within that "waiting" block also needs to use POSITION_SYMBOL:
positions = api.list_positions()
btc_position_check = next((p for p in positions if p.symbol == POSITION_SYMBOL), None) # Use POSITION_SYMBOL
if g_last_order_side == 'buy' and btc_position_check and float(btc_position_check.qty) > 0:
print(f"Buy order confirmed. Position in {POSITION_SYMBOL}: {btc_position_check.qty}.")
# ... reset flags ...
elif g_last_order_side == 'sell' and (btc_position_check is None or float(btc_position_check.qty) == 0):
print(f"Sell order confirmed. Position in {POSITION_SYMBOL} is flat.")
# ... reset flags ...
IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_START content_copy download Use code with caution. Python IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_END
This distinction is absolutely vital. With this correction, your bot should now correctly identify existing "BTCUSD" positions and avoid placing duplicate buy orders if one is already held.
Thank you for catching that and pointing it out! It's a detail that can easily be overlooked but has major consequences for the bot's behavior.
import os # Already imported, but good to note for this section
import alpaca_trade_api as tradeapi # Already imported
import pandas as pd # Already imported
from datetime import datetime, timedelta, timezone # Already imported
import time # Already imported
# --- Constants for Step 6 ---
# These should be defined after your API setup and model training
# --- Constants (define these early in your script) ---
ORDER_SYMBOL = "BTC/USD" # For placing orders and getting market data
POSITION_SYMBOL = "BTCUSD" # For checking portfolio positions
# In your main script where you define SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, make sure it's the ORDER_SYMBOL
SYMBOL_TO_TRADE = ORDER_SYMBOL # This is what most of your functions will use
# ... other constants like TRADE_QTY_USD ...
TRADE_QTY_USD = 100 # Amount in USD to trade per signal. Adjust based on risk.
# TARGET_HORIZON_MINUTES is implicitly handled by the model's training
# but not directly used in this execution logic, other than fetching enough data.
# Ensure necessary globals are defined from previous steps
# For example, at the end of Step 4, you should have:
# model = your_trained_xgboost_model
# feature_cols = list_of_your_feature_column_names
# And from the beginning of your script:
# api = tradeapi.REST(...)
# create_features = your_finta_based_feature_creation_function
def get_latest_bar_features(symbol_to_fetch, timeframe_to_use, max_lookback_period=150):
"""
Fetches latest bars, calculates features for the most recent *complete* bar.
max_lookback_period: Number of bars to fetch to ensure enough data for all indicators.
e.g., if longest MA is 30, and RSI is 14, fetch at least 30+ buffer.
150 minutes should cover most common 1-min indicators.
"""
global api, create_features, feature_cols # Access global api, create_features, and feature_cols
# Calculate start time for fetching data
# We need enough bars for feature calculation, so go back further than just max_lookback_period
# to account for potential gaps or incomplete last bar from API.
# For 1-minute bars, max_lookback_period minutes. Let's add a buffer.
now_utc = datetime.now(tz=timezone.utc) # Ensure timezone awareness for Alpaca
start_fetch_dt = now_utc - timedelta(minutes=max_lookback_period + 60) # Extra 60 min buffer
print(f"Fetching latest {max_lookback_period} bars for {symbol_to_fetch} from {start_fetch_dt.isoformat()}...")
try:
latest_bars_df = api.get_crypto_bars(
symbol_to_fetch,
timeframe_to_use, # e.g., tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute
start=start_fetch_dt.isoformat(),
# end defaults to now, limit helps control amount
limit=max_lookback_period + 5 # Fetch a few extra just in case
).df
# Ensure columns are lowercase as expected by 'create_features'
latest_bars_df.columns = [col.lower() for col in latest_bars_df.columns]
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error fetching latest bars: {e}")
return None
if latest_bars_df.empty:
print("No recent bars data fetched.")
return None
# The last bar from Alpaca might be incomplete if fetched mid-minute.
# We want to make predictions based on the *last fully completed* bar.
# For 1-minute data, if we fetch at XX:XX:30, the bar for XX:XX:00 is complete.
# Let's assume the second to last bar is definitely complete, or if only one bar, it's what we have.
# More robust: filter out bars with timestamp > current_minute_start
# A simple approach: ensure enough bars for features
# Longest feature (e.g., SMA_30) needs 30 periods. RSI needs 14.
# Let's say your longest feature (like SMA_30) needs 'N' periods.
# `create_features` will drop N-1 rows.
required_bars_for_features = 35 # Example: if SMA(30) is longest, need at least 30 + buffer
if len(latest_bars_df) < required_bars_for_features:
print(f"Not enough recent bars ({len(latest_bars_df)}) to calculate all features (need ~{required_bars_for_features}).")
return None
print(f"Calculating features for {len(latest_bars_df)} bars...")
# The create_features function was defined in your earlier code (using finta)
try:
featured_bars = create_features(latest_bars_df) # .copy() is handled inside create_features
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during feature creation for latest bars: {e}")
return None
if featured_bars.empty:
print("Failed to create features (resulted in empty DataFrame).")
return None
# Return only the features for the most recent bar for which features could be calculated
# `dropna()` in `create_features` removes initial NaNs. The last row of `featured_bars` is what we need.
# The features must match `feature_cols` used during training.
try:
# Ensure all expected feature_cols are present in featured_bars before selecting
missing_cols = [col for col in feature_cols if col not in featured_bars.columns]
if missing_cols:
print(f"Error: The following feature columns are missing after calculation: {missing_cols}")
print(f"Available columns: {featured_bars.columns.tolist()}")
return None
# Select only the feature_cols and take the last row
final_features_for_prediction = featured_bars[feature_cols].iloc[-1:]
return final_features_for_prediction # Return as a DataFrame (single row)
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error selecting final features for prediction: {e}")
print(f"Feature_cols expected: {feature_cols}")
print(f"Columns in featured_bars: {featured_bars.columns.tolist()}")
return None
def check_and_place_trade():
global model, feature_cols, api, ORDER_SYMBOL, POSITION_SYMBOL, TRADE_QTY_USD # Use specific symbols
# ... (internal flag logic if you implemented it, make sure it uses POSITION_SYMBOL for checks) ...
# --- (Model prediction part as before) ---
try:
# Fetch positions using POSITION_SYMBOL
positions = api.list_positions()
# Ensure you are comparing with POSITION_SYMBOL
btc_position = next((p for p in positions if p.symbol == POSITION_SYMBOL), None)
# --- (Price fetching logic - this uses ORDER_SYMBOL for API calls like get_crypto_snapshot) ---
# Make sure price fetching calls use ORDER_SYMBOL
# e.g., raw_snapshot_data = api.get_crypto_snapshot(ORDER_SYMBOL)
# e.g., latest_trade_data = api.get_latest_crypto_trade(ORDER_SYMBOL)
# e.g., last_bars_df = api.get_crypto_bars(ORDER_SYMBOL, ...)
# ... (your existing price fetching logic, ensuring ORDER_SYMBOL is used for data calls) ...
# Let's assume current_price is correctly fetched using ORDER_SYMBOL for data
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0: # Ensure current_price was resolved
print(f"Could not obtain a valid current price for {ORDER_SYMBOL}.")
return
print(f"Current effective price for {ORDER_SYMBOL}: ${current_price:.2f}")
if btc_position:
print(f"Current position in {POSITION_SYMBOL}: {btc_position.qty} @ avg entry ${btc_position.avg_entry_price}")
else:
print(f"No current position in {POSITION_SYMBOL}.")
# --- Trade Logic ---
if signal == 1 and proba[1] >= CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD: # Predicted UP
# Check position using btc_position which was queried with POSITION_SYMBOL
if btc_position is None or float(btc_position.qty) == 0:
qty_to_buy = TRADE_QTY_USD / current_price
qty_to_buy_rounded = round(qty_to_buy, 7)
if qty_to_buy_rounded > 0:
print(f"BUY signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL} (confidence {proba[1]:.2f}). Attempting to buy {qty_to_buy_rounded:.7f} {ORDER_SYMBOL} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
api.submit_order(
symbol=ORDER_SYMBOL, # Use ORDER_SYMBOL for order
qty=str(qty_to_buy_rounded),
side='buy',
type='market',
time_in_force='gtc'
)
print(f"BUY order for {ORDER_SYMBOL} submitted.")
# If using internal flag:
# g_is_waiting_for_position_update = True
# g_last_order_side = 'buy'
else:
print(f"Calculated buy quantity for {ORDER_SYMBOL} is too small. No order placed.")
else:
print(f"BUY signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}, but already have a position of {btc_position.qty} {POSITION_SYMBOL}. Holding.")
elif signal == 0: # Predicted NOT UP - Potential SELL
# Check position using btc_position
if btc_position and float(btc_position.qty) > 0:
qty_to_sell = float(btc_position.qty)
qty_to_sell_rounded = round(qty_to_sell, 7)
if qty_to_sell_rounded > 0:
print(f"SELL signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}. Attempting to sell {qty_to_sell_rounded:.7f} {POSITION_SYMBOL} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
api.submit_order(
symbol=ORDER_SYMBOL, # Use ORDER_SYMBOL for order
qty=str(qty_to_sell_rounded),
side='sell',
type='market',
time_in_force='gtc'
)
print(f"SELL order for {POSITION_SYMBOL} submitted.") # Log can use POSITION_SYMBOL here
# If using internal flag:
# g_is_waiting_for_position_update = True
# g_last_order_side = 'sell'
else:
print(f"Sell quantity for {POSITION_SYMBOL} is zero or negative. No order placed.")
else:
print(f"SELL signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}, but no open {POSITION_SYMBOL} position to sell. Doing nothing.")
# ... (rest of the logic for low confidence, etc.) ...
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during trade execution or API interaction: {e}")
import traceback
traceback.print_exc()
# --- Main Execution Loop (for demonstration) ---
# This should be run after your model is trained and `model` and `feature_cols` are populated.
# Example of how to make `model` and `feature_cols` global if they are defined in a function:
# This is just illustrative; in your script, they should be in the global scope after training.
# if 'model' not in globals(): model = None
# if 'feature_cols' not in globals(): feature_cols = []
if __name__ == "__main__":
# --- This block is usually at the very end of your script ---
# --- It assumes all previous steps (API init, data fetch, feature creation, model training) have run ---
# Check if the model and feature_cols are actually populated from Step 4
if 'model' not in globals() or model is None:
print("Model is not trained or not found in global scope. Exiting live trading part.")
# exit() # Or handle appropriately
elif 'feature_cols' not in globals() or not feature_cols:
print("Feature_cols not defined or empty. Exiting live trading part.")
# exit()
else:
print("\n--- Starting Live/Paper Trading Bot (Simplified Loop) ---")
print("IMPORTANT: THIS IS FOR PAPER TRADING. VERIFY ALL SETTINGS.")
print(f"Trading Symbol: {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}, USD per Trade: {TRADE_QTY_USD}")
print(f"Using Model: {type(model).__name__}, Trained Features: {len(feature_cols)}")
# You would typically use a robust scheduler like APScheduler for live trading
# to run check_and_place_trade() precisely at the start of each new bar (e.g., every minute).
# This is a very simplified loop for demonstration.
try:
# Initial check
check_and_place_trade()
# Loop for a few more checks
for i in range(5): # Run for a few iterations (e.g., 5 minutes)
# Wait for the next minute (approximately).
# This is NOT a precise way to align with market bars.
current_seconds = datetime.now().second
wait_time = 60 - current_seconds
if wait_time < 0: wait_time = 60 + wait_time # if somehow it's past the minute
print(f"Waiting for {wait_time} seconds until the next minute...")
time.sleep(wait_time)
check_and_place_trade()
except KeyboardInterrupt:
print("\nTrading loop stopped by user.")
except Exception as e:
print(f"An unhandled error occurred in the trading loop: {e}")
import traceback
traceback.print_exc()
finally:
print("Trading loop finished.")
# else:
# if 'model' not in globals() or model is None:
# print("Script not run as main, or model not yet trained. Live trading functions defined but not executed.")
--- Starting Live/Paper Trading Bot (Simplified Loop) --- IMPORTANT: THIS IS FOR PAPER TRADING. VERIFY ALL SETTINGS. Trading Symbol: BTC/USD, USD per Trade: 100 Using Model: XGBClassifier, Trained Features: 17 Error during trade execution or API interaction: name 'current_price' is not defined Waiting for 45 seconds until the next minute...
Traceback (most recent call last):
File "C:\Users\micro\AppData\Local\Temp\ipykernel_5076\3441174891.py", line 139, in check_and_place_trade
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0: # Ensure current_price was resolved
^^^^^^^^^^^^^
NameError: name 'current_price' is not defined
Error during trade execution or API interaction: name 'current_price' is not defined Waiting for 59 seconds until the next minute...
Traceback (most recent call last):
File "C:\Users\micro\AppData\Local\Temp\ipykernel_5076\3441174891.py", line 139, in check_and_place_trade
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0: # Ensure current_price was resolved
^^^^^^^^^^^^^
NameError: name 'current_price' is not defined
Trading loop stopped by user. Trading loop finished.
Key Change:
Moved current_price = None to the beginning of the check_and_place_trade function, right after the global declarations and before any try blocks that might assign to it.
This ensures that current_price always has a defined state (initially None) within the scope of the check_and_place_trade function, preventing the NameError. The subsequent logic will then correctly handle cases where it remains None after all fetching attempts.
import os # Already imported, but good to note for this section
import alpaca_trade_api as tradeapi # Already imported
import pandas as pd # Already imported
from datetime import datetime, timedelta, timezone # Already imported
import time # Already imported
# --- Constants for Step 6 ---
# These should be defined after your API setup and model training
# --- Constants (define these early in your script) ---
ORDER_SYMBOL = "BTC/USD" # For placing orders and getting market data
POSITION_SYMBOL = "BTCUSD" # For checking portfolio positions
# In your main script where you define SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, make sure it's the ORDER_SYMBOL
SYMBOL_TO_TRADE = ORDER_SYMBOL # This is what most of your functions will use
# ... other constants like TRADE_QTY_USD ...
TRADE_QTY_USD = 100 # Amount in USD to trade per signal. Adjust based on risk.
# TARGET_HORIZON_MINUTES is implicitly handled by the model's training
# but not directly used in this execution logic, other than fetching enough data.
# Ensure necessary globals are defined from previous steps
# For example, at the end of Step 4, you should have:
# model = your_trained_xgboost_model
# feature_cols = list_of_your_feature_column_names
# And from the beginning of your script:
# api = tradeapi.REST(...)
# create_features = your_finta_based_feature_creation_function
def get_latest_bar_features(symbol_to_fetch, timeframe_to_use, max_lookback_period=150):
"""
Fetches latest bars, calculates features for the most recent *complete* bar.
max_lookback_period: Number of bars to fetch to ensure enough data for all indicators.
e.g., if longest MA is 30, and RSI is 14, fetch at least 30+ buffer.
150 minutes should cover most common 1-min indicators.
"""
global api, create_features, feature_cols # Access global api, create_features, and feature_cols
# Calculate start time for fetching data
# We need enough bars for feature calculation, so go back further than just max_lookback_period
# to account for potential gaps or incomplete last bar from API.
# For 1-minute bars, max_lookback_period minutes. Let's add a buffer.
now_utc = datetime.now(tz=timezone.utc) # Ensure timezone awareness for Alpaca
start_fetch_dt = now_utc - timedelta(minutes=max_lookback_period + 60) # Extra 60 min buffer
print(f"Fetching latest {max_lookback_period} bars for {symbol_to_fetch} from {start_fetch_dt.isoformat()}...")
try:
latest_bars_df = api.get_crypto_bars(
symbol_to_fetch,
timeframe_to_use, # e.g., tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute
start=start_fetch_dt.isoformat(),
# end defaults to now, limit helps control amount
limit=max_lookback_period + 5 # Fetch a few extra just in case
).df
# Ensure columns are lowercase as expected by 'create_features'
latest_bars_df.columns = [col.lower() for col in latest_bars_df.columns]
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error fetching latest bars: {e}")
return None
if latest_bars_df.empty:
print("No recent bars data fetched.")
return None
# The last bar from Alpaca might be incomplete if fetched mid-minute.
# We want to make predictions based on the *last fully completed* bar.
# For 1-minute data, if we fetch at XX:XX:30, the bar for XX:XX:00 is complete.
# Let's assume the second to last bar is definitely complete, or if only one bar, it's what we have.
# More robust: filter out bars with timestamp > current_minute_start
# A simple approach: ensure enough bars for features
# Longest feature (e.g., SMA_30) needs 30 periods. RSI needs 14.
# Let's say your longest feature (like SMA_30) needs 'N' periods.
# `create_features` will drop N-1 rows.
required_bars_for_features = 35 # Example: if SMA(30) is longest, need at least 30 + buffer
if len(latest_bars_df) < required_bars_for_features:
print(f"Not enough recent bars ({len(latest_bars_df)}) to calculate all features (need ~{required_bars_for_features}).")
return None
print(f"Calculating features for {len(latest_bars_df)} bars...")
# The create_features function was defined in your earlier code (using finta)
try:
featured_bars = create_features(latest_bars_df) # .copy() is handled inside create_features
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during feature creation for latest bars: {e}")
return None
if featured_bars.empty:
print("Failed to create features (resulted in empty DataFrame).")
return None
# Return only the features for the most recent bar for which features could be calculated
# `dropna()` in `create_features` removes initial NaNs. The last row of `featured_bars` is what we need.
# The features must match `feature_cols` used during training.
try:
# Ensure all expected feature_cols are present in featured_bars before selecting
missing_cols = [col for col in feature_cols if col not in featured_bars.columns]
if missing_cols:
print(f"Error: The following feature columns are missing after calculation: {missing_cols}")
print(f"Available columns: {featured_bars.columns.tolist()}")
return None
# Select only the feature_cols and take the last row
final_features_for_prediction = featured_bars[feature_cols].iloc[-1:]
return final_features_for_prediction # Return as a DataFrame (single row)
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error selecting final features for prediction: {e}")
print(f"Feature_cols expected: {feature_cols}")
print(f"Columns in featured_bars: {featured_bars.columns.tolist()}")
return None
def check_and_place_trade():
global model, feature_cols, api, ORDER_SYMBOL, POSITION_SYMBOL, TRADE_QTY_USD # Use specific symbols
# ... (internal flag logic if you implemented it, make sure it uses POSITION_SYMBOL for checks) ...
# --- (Model prediction part as before) ---
# Initialize current_price at the function level before any price fetching attempts
current_price = None # <---------------- INITIALIZE HERE, OUTSIDE THE TRY
try:
# Fetch positions using POSITION_SYMBOL
positions = api.list_positions()
# Ensure you are comparing with POSITION_SYMBOL
btc_position = next((p for p in positions if p.symbol == POSITION_SYMBOL), None)
# --- (Price fetching logic - this uses ORDER_SYMBOL for API calls like get_crypto_snapshot) ---
# Make sure price fetching calls use ORDER_SYMBOL
# e.g., raw_snapshot_data = api.get_crypto_snapshot(ORDER_SYMBOL)
# e.g., latest_trade_data = api.get_latest_crypto_trade(ORDER_SYMBOL)
# e.g., last_bars_df = api.get_crypto_bars(ORDER_SYMBOL, ...)
# ... (your existing price fetching logic, ensuring ORDER_SYMBOL is used for data calls) ...
# Let's assume current_price is correctly fetched using ORDER_SYMBOL for data
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0: # Ensure current_price was resolved
print(f"Could not obtain a valid current price for {ORDER_SYMBOL}.")
return
print(f"Current effective price for {ORDER_SYMBOL}: ${current_price:.2f}")
if btc_position:
print(f"Current position in {POSITION_SYMBOL}: {btc_position.qty} @ avg entry ${btc_position.avg_entry_price}")
else:
print(f"No current position in {POSITION_SYMBOL}.")
# --- Trade Logic ---
if signal == 1 and proba[1] >= CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD: # Predicted UP
# Check position using btc_position which was queried with POSITION_SYMBOL
if btc_position is None or float(btc_position.qty) == 0:
qty_to_buy = TRADE_QTY_USD / current_price
qty_to_buy_rounded = round(qty_to_buy, 7)
if qty_to_buy_rounded > 0:
print(f"BUY signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL} (confidence {proba[1]:.2f}). Attempting to buy {qty_to_buy_rounded:.7f} {ORDER_SYMBOL} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
api.submit_order(
symbol=ORDER_SYMBOL, # Use ORDER_SYMBOL for order
qty=str(qty_to_buy_rounded),
side='buy',
type='market',
time_in_force='gtc'
)
print(f"BUY order for {ORDER_SYMBOL} submitted.")
# If using internal flag:
# g_is_waiting_for_position_update = True
# g_last_order_side = 'buy'
else:
print(f"Calculated buy quantity for {ORDER_SYMBOL} is too small. No order placed.")
else:
print(f"BUY signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}, but already have a position of {btc_position.qty} {POSITION_SYMBOL}. Holding.")
elif signal == 0: # Predicted NOT UP - Potential SELL
# Check position using btc_position
if btc_position and float(btc_position.qty) > 0:
qty_to_sell = float(btc_position.qty)
qty_to_sell_rounded = round(qty_to_sell, 7)
if qty_to_sell_rounded > 0:
print(f"SELL signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}. Attempting to sell {qty_to_sell_rounded:.7f} {POSITION_SYMBOL} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
api.submit_order(
symbol=ORDER_SYMBOL, # Use ORDER_SYMBOL for order
qty=str(qty_to_sell_rounded),
side='sell',
type='market',
time_in_force='gtc'
)
print(f"SELL order for {POSITION_SYMBOL} submitted.") # Log can use POSITION_SYMBOL here
# If using internal flag:
# g_is_waiting_for_position_update = True
# g_last_order_side = 'sell'
else:
print(f"Sell quantity for {POSITION_SYMBOL} is zero or negative. No order placed.")
else:
print(f"SELL signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}, but no open {POSITION_SYMBOL} position to sell. Doing nothing.")
# ... (rest of the logic for low confidence, etc.) ...
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during trade execution or API interaction: {e}")
import traceback
traceback.print_exc()
# --- Main Execution Loop (for demonstration) ---
# This should be run after your model is trained and `model` and `feature_cols` are populated.
# Example of how to make `model` and `feature_cols` global if they are defined in a function:
# This is just illustrative; in your script, they should be in the global scope after training.
# if 'model' not in globals(): model = None
# if 'feature_cols' not in globals(): feature_cols = []
if __name__ == "__main__":
# --- This block is usually at the very end of your script ---
# --- It assumes all previous steps (API init, data fetch, feature creation, model training) have run ---
# Check if the model and feature_cols are actually populated from Step 4
if 'model' not in globals() or model is None:
print("Model is not trained or not found in global scope. Exiting live trading part.")
# exit() # Or handle appropriately
elif 'feature_cols' not in globals() or not feature_cols:
print("Feature_cols not defined or empty. Exiting live trading part.")
# exit()
else:
print("\n--- Starting Live/Paper Trading Bot (Simplified Loop) ---")
print("IMPORTANT: THIS IS FOR PAPER TRADING. VERIFY ALL SETTINGS.")
print(f"Trading Symbol: {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}, USD per Trade: {TRADE_QTY_USD}")
print(f"Using Model: {type(model).__name__}, Trained Features: {len(feature_cols)}")
# You would typically use a robust scheduler like APScheduler for live trading
# to run check_and_place_trade() precisely at the start of each new bar (e.g., every minute).
# This is a very simplified loop for demonstration.
try:
# Initial check
check_and_place_trade()
# Loop for a few more checks
for i in range(5): # Run for a few iterations (e.g., 5 minutes)
# Wait for the next minute (approximately).
# This is NOT a precise way to align with market bars.
current_seconds = datetime.now().second
wait_time = 60 - current_seconds
if wait_time < 0: wait_time = 60 + wait_time # if somehow it's past the minute
print(f"Waiting for {wait_time} seconds until the next minute...")
time.sleep(wait_time)
check_and_place_trade()
except KeyboardInterrupt:
print("\nTrading loop stopped by user.")
except Exception as e:
print(f"An unhandled error occurred in the trading loop: {e}")
import traceback
traceback.print_exc()
finally:
print("Trading loop finished.")
# else:
# if 'model' not in globals() or model is None:
# print("Script not run as main, or model not yet trained. Live trading functions defined but not executed.")
--- Starting Live/Paper Trading Bot (Simplified Loop) --- IMPORTANT: THIS IS FOR PAPER TRADING. VERIFY ALL SETTINGS. Trading Symbol: BTC/USD, USD per Trade: 100 Using Model: XGBClassifier, Trained Features: 17 Could not obtain a valid current price for BTC/USD. Waiting for 53 seconds until the next minute... Could not obtain a valid current price for BTC/USD. Waiting for 59 seconds until the next minute... Trading loop stopped by user. Trading loop finished.
Okay, the NameError is gone, which is good! Now we're seeing the message: CRITICAL: Could not obtain a valid current price for BTC/USD after all attempts. (or the slightly less severe one before the "CRITICAL" was added).
This means that all three methods of fetching the price are failing or returning invalid data:
api.get_crypto_snapshot(ORDER_SYMBOL)
api.get_latest_crypto_trade(ORDER_SYMBOL)
api.get_crypto_bars(ORDER_SYMBOL, tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute, limit=1).df (the ultimate fallback)
Let's analyze why this might be happening and add more detailed logging to pinpoint the issue.
Possible Reasons for Price Fetching Failure:
API Key Issues / Permissions:
Are your API keys correct and active for paper trading?
Do they have permissions to access market data for crypto? (Usually yes by default for paper).
Alpaca System Issues / Market Data Feed:
Sometimes Alpaca's paper trading environment or data feeds might have temporary issues.
The specific crypto pair "BTC/USD" might not be available through the data endpoint your key is configured for (though it's very standard).
Rate Limiting:
If you're calling the API too frequently (unlikely with a 1-minute loop, but possible if other parts of your script make many calls), you might get rate-limited. The error messages from alpaca-trade-api usually indicate this.
Incorrect Symbol for Data (Less Likely Now):
We've focused on ORDER_SYMBOL = "BTC/USD" for data calls, which is generally correct. But it's worth double-checking if Alpaca expects something subtly different for your account type for these specific data endpoints (e.g., "BTCUSD" without the slash even for data, though less common).
Library/Network Issues:
Underlying network problems or issues with the requests library used by alpaca-trade-api.
No Trades/Quotes at that Exact Moment (Very Unlikely for BTC/USD):
For a highly liquid asset like BTC/USD, it's extremely improbable there would be no trades or quotes.
Let's Add More Granular Debugging to the Price Fetching:
We need to see the exact response or exception from each API call attempt.
def check_and_place_trade(): # ... (globals, model prediction, current_price = None initialization) ...
try:
# ... (position fetching) ...
print(f"--- Price Fetching for {ORDER_SYMBOL} ---")
# current_price should be None at this point (initialized earlier)
# Attempt 1: Using snapshot
print("Attempting snapshot...")
try:
raw_snapshot_data = api.get_crypto_snapshot(ORDER_SYMBOL)
print(f"Raw snapshot data received: {raw_snapshot_data}") # Log the raw object
if raw_snapshot_data and ORDER_SYMBOL in raw_snapshot_data:
symbol_snapshot = raw_snapshot_data[ORDER_SYMBOL]
print(f"Symbol snapshot data for {ORDER_SYMBOL}: {symbol_snapshot}") # Log the symbol-specific part
if symbol_snapshot:
if hasattr(symbol_snapshot, 'latest_quote') and \
symbol_snapshot.latest_quote and \
hasattr(symbol_snapshot.latest_quote, 'ap') and symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.ap and \
hasattr(symbol_snapshot.latest_quote, 'bp') and symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.bp:
current_price = (symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.ap + symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.bp) / 2.0
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from snapshot quote: Ask={symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.ap}, Bid={symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.bp}, Mid={current_price:.2f}")
elif hasattr(symbol_snapshot, 'latest_trade') and \
symbol_snapshot.latest_trade and \
hasattr(symbol_snapshot.latest_trade, 'p') and symbol_snapshot.latest_trade.p:
current_price = symbol_snapshot.latest_trade.p
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from snapshot latest trade: {current_price:.2f}")
elif hasattr(symbol_snapshot, 'minute_bar') and \
symbol_snapshot.minute_bar and \
hasattr(symbol_snapshot.minute_bar, 'c') and symbol_snapshot.minute_bar.c:
current_price = symbol_snapshot.minute_bar.c
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from snapshot minute bar close: {current_price:.2f}")
else:
print("INFO: Snapshot structure for symbol did not yield a usable price (quote/trade/bar).")
else:
print(f"INFO: Symbol {ORDER_SYMBOL} data is None within the raw snapshot.")
elif raw_snapshot_data:
print(f"INFO: Symbol {ORDER_SYMBOL} not found in snapshot keys. Available keys: {list(raw_snapshot_data.keys())}")
else:
print("INFO: Raw snapshot data is None.")
except Exception as snapshot_e:
print(f"EXCEPTION during snapshot fetch or processing: {snapshot_e}")
import traceback
traceback.print_exc()
# Attempt 2: Fallback to get_latest_crypto_trade if snapshot failed or didn't yield a price
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0:
print("\nAttempting get_latest_crypto_trade...")
try:
latest_trade_data = api.get_latest_crypto_trade(ORDER_SYMBOL)
print(f"Latest trade data received: {latest_trade_data}") # Log the raw object
if latest_trade_data and hasattr(latest_trade_data, 'p') and latest_trade_data.p:
current_price = latest_trade_data.p
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from get_latest_crypto_trade: {current_price:.2f}")
else:
print("INFO: get_latest_crypto_trade did not yield a usable price or data was None.")
except Exception as latest_trade_e:
print(f"EXCEPTION during get_latest_crypto_trade: {latest_trade_e}")
import traceback
traceback.print_exc()
# Ultimate fallback if current_price is still None or invalid
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0:
print("\nAttempting ultimate fallback (last bar close)...")
try:
# Ensure timeframe_to_use is defined or use tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute directly
last_bars_df = api.get_crypto_bars(ORDER_SYMBOL, tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute, limit=1).df
print(f"Last bar(s) DataFrame for fallback: \n{last_bars_df}") # Log the DataFrame
if not last_bars_df.empty and 'close' in last_bars_df.columns:
current_price = last_bars_df['close'].iloc[-1]
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from last fetched bar (ultimate fallback): {current_price:.2f}")
else:
print("INFO: Ultimate fallback failed (empty bars or no 'close' column).")
except Exception as fallback_e:
print(f"EXCEPTION in ultimate fallback price fetching: {fallback_e}")
import traceback
traceback.print_exc()
print("--- End of Price Fetching ---")
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0:
print(f"CRITICAL: Could not obtain a valid current price for {ORDER_SYMBOL} after all attempts. Resolved to: {current_price}")
return # Exit function if no valid price
print(f"Current effective price for {ORDER_SYMBOL}: ${current_price:.2f}")
# ... (rest of your position checking and trade logic) ...
# ... (Outer try/except for the whole function) ...
Key Debugging Additions:
Log Raw Objects:
print(f"Raw snapshot data received: {raw_snapshot_data}")
print(f"Symbol snapshot data for {ORDER_SYMBOL}: {symbol_snapshot}")
print(f"Latest trade data received: {latest_trade_data}")
print(f"Last bar(s) DataFrame for fallback: \n{last_bars_df}") This will show you exactly what the API is returning (or if it's None).
More hasattr Checks: Added hasattr for attributes like ap, bp, p, c before trying to access them, to prevent AttributeError if the objects are partially formed.
Print Full Tracebacks for Each API Call Exception: The import traceback; traceback.print_exc() is now inside each specific try...except block for snapshot, latest trade, and bars. This will give you the exact point of failure and the Alpaca API error message if one is raised by the library.
Informative Print Statements: "SUCCESS:", "INFO:", "EXCEPTION:" prefixes to make it clear what happened at each step.
What to Look For in the New Logs:
"Raw snapshot data received:": Is this None? Or is it an object? If an object, what does it look like? Does it have your ORDER_SYMBOL as a key?
"Symbol snapshot data for BTC/USD:": If the above had keys, is this part None? Or an object? If an object, what attributes does it show?
"Latest trade data received:": Is this None? Or an object with a .p attribute?
"Last bar(s) DataFrame for fallback:": Is this DataFrame empty? Does it have a 'close' column?
Any "EXCEPTION" messages: These are crucial. They will contain the specific error from the Alpaca library (e.g., "403 Client Error: Forbidden for url...", "429 Too Many Requests...", "503 Service Unavailable...", "APIError(code=40010001): unknown symbol").
Run the script with these enhanced logging statements. The output should give us a much clearer picture of where the data fetching is breaking down. This systematic approach will help isolate whether it's an issue with how you're calling the API, how the API is responding, or the structure of the data returned.
Key Debugging Additions:
Log Raw Objects:
print(f"Raw snapshot data received: {raw_snapshot_data}")
print(f"Symbol snapshot data for {ORDER_SYMBOL}: {symbol_snapshot}")
print(f"Latest trade data received: {latest_trade_data}")
print(f"Last bar(s) DataFrame for fallback: \n{last_bars_df}")
This will show you exactly what the API is returning (or if it's None).
More hasattr Checks: Added hasattr for attributes like ap, bp, p, c before trying to access them, to prevent AttributeError if the objects are partially formed.
Print Full Tracebacks for Each API Call Exception: The import traceback; traceback.print_exc() is now inside each specific try...except block for snapshot, latest trade, and bars. This will give you the exact point of failure and the Alpaca API error message if one is raised by the library.
Informative Print Statements: "SUCCESS:", "INFO:", "EXCEPTION:" prefixes to make it clear what happened at each step.
What to Look For in the New Logs:
"Raw snapshot data received:": Is this None? Or is it an object? If an object, what does it look like? Does it have your ORDER_SYMBOL as a key?
"Symbol snapshot data for BTC/USD:": If the above had keys, is this part None? Or an object? If an object, what attributes does it show?
"Latest trade data received:": Is this None? Or an object with a .p attribute?
"Last bar(s) DataFrame for fallback:": Is this DataFrame empty? Does it have a 'close' column?
Any "EXCEPTION" messages: These are crucial. They will contain the specific error from the Alpaca library (e.g., "403 Client Error: Forbidden for url...", "429 Too Many Requests...", "503 Service Unavailable...", "APIError(code=40010001): unknown symbol").
Run the script with these enhanced logging statements. The output should give us a much clearer picture of where the data fetching is breaking down. This systematic approach will help isolate whether it's an issue with how you're calling the API, how the API is responding, or the structure of the data returned.
# Inside check_and_place_trade function
def check_and_place_trade():
# ... (globals, model prediction, current_price = None initialization) ...
try:
# ... (position fetching) ...
print(f"--- Price Fetching for {ORDER_SYMBOL} ---")
# current_price should be None at this point (initialized earlier)
# Attempt 1: Using snapshot
print("Attempting snapshot...")
try:
raw_snapshot_data = api.get_crypto_snapshot(ORDER_SYMBOL)
print(f"Raw snapshot data received: {raw_snapshot_data}") # Log the raw object
if raw_snapshot_data and ORDER_SYMBOL in raw_snapshot_data:
symbol_snapshot = raw_snapshot_data[ORDER_SYMBOL]
print(f"Symbol snapshot data for {ORDER_SYMBOL}: {symbol_snapshot}") # Log the symbol-specific part
if symbol_snapshot:
if hasattr(symbol_snapshot, 'latest_quote') and \
symbol_snapshot.latest_quote and \
hasattr(symbol_snapshot.latest_quote, 'ap') and symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.ap and \
hasattr(symbol_snapshot.latest_quote, 'bp') and symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.bp:
current_price = (symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.ap + symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.bp) / 2.0
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from snapshot quote: Ask={symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.ap}, Bid={symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.bp}, Mid={current_price:.2f}")
elif hasattr(symbol_snapshot, 'latest_trade') and \
symbol_snapshot.latest_trade and \
hasattr(symbol_snapshot.latest_trade, 'p') and symbol_snapshot.latest_trade.p:
current_price = symbol_snapshot.latest_trade.p
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from snapshot latest trade: {current_price:.2f}")
elif hasattr(symbol_snapshot, 'minute_bar') and \
symbol_snapshot.minute_bar and \
hasattr(symbol_snapshot.minute_bar, 'c') and symbol_snapshot.minute_bar.c:
current_price = symbol_snapshot.minute_bar.c
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from snapshot minute bar close: {current_price:.2f}")
else:
print("INFO: Snapshot structure for symbol did not yield a usable price (quote/trade/bar).")
else:
print(f"INFO: Symbol {ORDER_SYMBOL} data is None within the raw snapshot.")
elif raw_snapshot_data:
print(f"INFO: Symbol {ORDER_SYMBOL} not found in snapshot keys. Available keys: {list(raw_snapshot_data.keys())}")
else:
print("INFO: Raw snapshot data is None.")
except Exception as snapshot_e:
print(f"EXCEPTION during snapshot fetch or processing: {snapshot_e}")
import traceback
traceback.print_exc()
# Attempt 2: Fallback to get_latest_crypto_trade if snapshot failed or didn't yield a price
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0:
print("\nAttempting get_latest_crypto_trade...")
try:
latest_trade_data = api.get_latest_crypto_trade(ORDER_SYMBOL)
print(f"Latest trade data received: {latest_trade_data}") # Log the raw object
if latest_trade_data and hasattr(latest_trade_data, 'p') and latest_trade_data.p:
current_price = latest_trade_data.p
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from get_latest_crypto_trade: {current_price:.2f}")
else:
print("INFO: get_latest_crypto_trade did not yield a usable price or data was None.")
except Exception as latest_trade_e:
print(f"EXCEPTION during get_latest_crypto_trade: {latest_trade_e}")
import traceback
traceback.print_exc()
# Ultimate fallback if current_price is still None or invalid
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0:
print("\nAttempting ultimate fallback (last bar close)...")
try:
# Ensure timeframe_to_use is defined or use tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute directly
last_bars_df = api.get_crypto_bars(ORDER_SYMBOL, tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute, limit=1).df
print(f"Last bar(s) DataFrame for fallback: \n{last_bars_df}") # Log the DataFrame
if not last_bars_df.empty and 'close' in last_bars_df.columns:
current_price = last_bars_df['close'].iloc[-1]
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from last fetched bar (ultimate fallback): {current_price:.2f}")
else:
print("INFO: Ultimate fallback failed (empty bars or no 'close' column).")
except Exception as fallback_e:
print(f"EXCEPTION in ultimate fallback price fetching: {fallback_e}")
import traceback
traceback.print_exc()
print("--- End of Price Fetching ---")
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0:
print(f"CRITICAL: Could not obtain a valid current price for {ORDER_SYMBOL} after all attempts. Resolved to: {current_price}")
return # Exit function if no valid price
print(f"Current effective price for {ORDER_SYMBOL}: ${current_price:.2f}")
# ... (rest of your position checking and trade logic) ...
# ... (Outer try/except for the whole function) ...
Cell In[16], line 96 # ... (Outer try/except for the whole function) ... ^ SyntaxError: incomplete input
import os # Already imported, but good to note for this section
import alpaca_trade_api as tradeapi # Already imported
import pandas as pd # Already imported
from datetime import datetime, timedelta, timezone # Already imported
import time # Already imported
# --- Constants for Step 6 ---
# These should be defined after your API setup and model training
# --- Constants (define these early in your script) ---
ORDER_SYMBOL = "BTC/USD" # For placing orders and getting market data
POSITION_SYMBOL = "BTCUSD" # For checking portfolio positions
# In your main script where you define SYMBOL_TO_TRADE, make sure it's the ORDER_SYMBOL
SYMBOL_TO_TRADE = ORDER_SYMBOL # This is what most of your functions will use
# ... other constants like TRADE_QTY_USD ...
TRADE_QTY_USD = 100 # Amount in USD to trade per signal. Adjust based on risk.
# TARGET_HORIZON_MINUTES is implicitly handled by the model's training
# but not directly used in this execution logic, other than fetching enough data.
# Ensure necessary globals are defined from previous steps
# For example, at the end of Step 4, you should have:
# model = your_trained_xgboost_model
# feature_cols = list_of_your_feature_column_names
# And from the beginning of your script:
# api = tradeapi.REST(...)
# create_features = your_finta_based_feature_creation_function
def get_latest_bar_features(symbol_to_fetch, timeframe_to_use, max_lookback_period=150):
"""
Fetches latest bars, calculates features for the most recent *complete* bar.
max_lookback_period: Number of bars to fetch to ensure enough data for all indicators.
e.g., if longest MA is 30, and RSI is 14, fetch at least 30+ buffer.
150 minutes should cover most common 1-min indicators.
"""
global api, create_features, feature_cols # Access global api, create_features, and feature_cols
# Calculate start time for fetching data
# We need enough bars for feature calculation, so go back further than just max_lookback_period
# to account for potential gaps or incomplete last bar from API.
# For 1-minute bars, max_lookback_period minutes. Let's add a buffer.
now_utc = datetime.now(tz=timezone.utc) # Ensure timezone awareness for Alpaca
start_fetch_dt = now_utc - timedelta(minutes=max_lookback_period + 60) # Extra 60 min buffer
print(f"Fetching latest {max_lookback_period} bars for {symbol_to_fetch} from {start_fetch_dt.isoformat()}...")
try:
latest_bars_df = api.get_crypto_bars(
symbol_to_fetch,
timeframe_to_use, # e.g., tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute
start=start_fetch_dt.isoformat(),
# end defaults to now, limit helps control amount
limit=max_lookback_period + 5 # Fetch a few extra just in case
).df
# Ensure columns are lowercase as expected by 'create_features'
latest_bars_df.columns = [col.lower() for col in latest_bars_df.columns]
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error fetching latest bars: {e}")
return None
if latest_bars_df.empty:
print("No recent bars data fetched.")
return None
# The last bar from Alpaca might be incomplete if fetched mid-minute.
# We want to make predictions based on the *last fully completed* bar.
# For 1-minute data, if we fetch at XX:XX:30, the bar for XX:XX:00 is complete.
# Let's assume the second to last bar is definitely complete, or if only one bar, it's what we have.
# More robust: filter out bars with timestamp > current_minute_start
# A simple approach: ensure enough bars for features
# Longest feature (e.g., SMA_30) needs 30 periods. RSI needs 14.
# Let's say your longest feature (like SMA_30) needs 'N' periods.
# `create_features` will drop N-1 rows.
required_bars_for_features = 35 # Example: if SMA(30) is longest, need at least 30 + buffer
if len(latest_bars_df) < required_bars_for_features:
print(f"Not enough recent bars ({len(latest_bars_df)}) to calculate all features (need ~{required_bars_for_features}).")
return None
print(f"Calculating features for {len(latest_bars_df)} bars...")
# The create_features function was defined in your earlier code (using finta)
try:
featured_bars = create_features(latest_bars_df) # .copy() is handled inside create_features
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during feature creation for latest bars: {e}")
return None
if featured_bars.empty:
print("Failed to create features (resulted in empty DataFrame).")
return None
# Return only the features for the most recent bar for which features could be calculated
# `dropna()` in `create_features` removes initial NaNs. The last row of `featured_bars` is what we need.
# The features must match `feature_cols` used during training.
try:
# Ensure all expected feature_cols are present in featured_bars before selecting
missing_cols = [col for col in feature_cols if col not in featured_bars.columns]
if missing_cols:
print(f"Error: The following feature columns are missing after calculation: {missing_cols}")
print(f"Available columns: {featured_bars.columns.tolist()}")
return None
# Select only the feature_cols and take the last row
final_features_for_prediction = featured_bars[feature_cols].iloc[-1:]
return final_features_for_prediction # Return as a DataFrame (single row)
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error selecting final features for prediction: {e}")
print(f"Feature_cols expected: {feature_cols}")
print(f"Columns in featured_bars: {featured_bars.columns.tolist()}")
return None
def check_and_place_trade():
global model, feature_cols, api, ORDER_SYMBOL, POSITION_SYMBOL, TRADE_QTY_USD # Use specific symbols
# ... (internal flag logic if you implemented it, make sure it uses POSITION_SYMBOL for checks) ...
# --- (Model prediction part as before) ---
# Initialize current_price at the function level before any price fetching attempts
current_price = None # <---------------- INITIALIZE HERE, OUTSIDE THE TRY
try:
# Fetch positions using POSITION_SYMBOL
positions = api.list_positions()
# Ensure you are comparing with POSITION_SYMBOL
btc_position = next((p for p in positions if p.symbol == POSITION_SYMBOL), None)
# --- (Price fetching logic - this uses ORDER_SYMBOL for API calls like get_crypto_snapshot) ---
# Make sure price fetching calls use ORDER_SYMBOL
# e.g., raw_snapshot_data = api.get_crypto_snapshot(ORDER_SYMBOL)
# e.g., latest_trade_data = api.get_latest_crypto_trade(ORDER_SYMBOL)
# e.g., last_bars_df = api.get_crypto_bars(ORDER_SYMBOL, ...)
# ... (your existing price fetching logic, ensuring ORDER_SYMBOL is used for data calls) ...
# Let's assume current_price is correctly fetched using ORDER_SYMBOL for data
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0: # Ensure current_price was resolved
print(f"Could not obtain a valid current price for {ORDER_SYMBOL}.")
return
print(f"Current effective price for {ORDER_SYMBOL}: ${current_price:.2f}")
if btc_position:
print(f"Current position in {POSITION_SYMBOL}: {btc_position.qty} @ avg entry ${btc_position.avg_entry_price}")
else:
print(f"No current position in {POSITION_SYMBOL}.")
# --- Trade Logic ---
if signal == 1 and proba[1] >= CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD: # Predicted UP
# Check position using btc_position which was queried with POSITION_SYMBOL
if btc_position is None or float(btc_position.qty) == 0:
qty_to_buy = TRADE_QTY_USD / current_price
qty_to_buy_rounded = round(qty_to_buy, 7)
if qty_to_buy_rounded > 0:
print(f"BUY signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL} (confidence {proba[1]:.2f}). Attempting to buy {qty_to_buy_rounded:.7f} {ORDER_SYMBOL} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
api.submit_order(
symbol=ORDER_SYMBOL, # Use ORDER_SYMBOL for order
qty=str(qty_to_buy_rounded),
side='buy',
type='market',
time_in_force='gtc'
)
print(f"BUY order for {ORDER_SYMBOL} submitted.")
# If using internal flag:
# g_is_waiting_for_position_update = True
# g_last_order_side = 'buy'
else:
print(f"Calculated buy quantity for {ORDER_SYMBOL} is too small. No order placed.")
else:
print(f"BUY signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}, but already have a position of {btc_position.qty} {POSITION_SYMBOL}. Holding.")
elif signal == 0: # Predicted NOT UP - Potential SELL
# Check position using btc_position
if btc_position and float(btc_position.qty) > 0:
qty_to_sell = float(btc_position.qty)
qty_to_sell_rounded = round(qty_to_sell, 7)
if qty_to_sell_rounded > 0:
print(f"SELL signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}. Attempting to sell {qty_to_sell_rounded:.7f} {POSITION_SYMBOL} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
api.submit_order(
symbol=ORDER_SYMBOL, # Use ORDER_SYMBOL for order
qty=str(qty_to_sell_rounded),
side='sell',
type='market',
time_in_force='gtc'
)
print(f"SELL order for {POSITION_SYMBOL} submitted.") # Log can use POSITION_SYMBOL here
# If using internal flag:
# g_is_waiting_for_position_update = True
# g_last_order_side = 'sell'
else:
print(f"Sell quantity for {POSITION_SYMBOL} is zero or negative. No order placed.")
else:
print(f"SELL signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}, but no open {POSITION_SYMBOL} position to sell. Doing nothing.")
# ... (rest of the logic for low confidence, etc.) ...
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during trade execution or API interaction: {e}")
import traceback
traceback.print_exc()
# --- Main Execution Loop (for demonstration) ---
# This should be run after your model is trained and `model` and `feature_cols` are populated.
# Example of how to make `model` and `feature_cols` global if they are defined in a function:
# This is just illustrative; in your script, they should be in the global scope after training.
# if 'model' not in globals(): model = None
# if 'feature_cols' not in globals(): feature_cols = []
if __name__ == "__main__":
# --- This block is usually at the very end of your script ---
# --- It assumes all previous steps (API init, data fetch, feature creation, model training) have run ---
# Check if the model and feature_cols are actually populated from Step 4
if 'model' not in globals() or model is None:
print("Model is not trained or not found in global scope. Exiting live trading part.")
# exit() # Or handle appropriately
elif 'feature_cols' not in globals() or not feature_cols:
print("Feature_cols not defined or empty. Exiting live trading part.")
# exit()
else:
print("\n--- Starting Live/Paper Trading Bot (Simplified Loop) ---")
print("IMPORTANT: THIS IS FOR PAPER TRADING. VERIFY ALL SETTINGS.")
print(f"Trading Symbol: {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}, USD per Trade: {TRADE_QTY_USD}")
print(f"Using Model: {type(model).__name__}, Trained Features: {len(feature_cols)}")
# You would typically use a robust scheduler like APScheduler for live trading
# to run check_and_place_trade() precisely at the start of each new bar (e.g., every minute).
# This is a very simplified loop for demonstration.
try:
# Initial check
check_and_place_trade()
# Loop for a few more checks
for i in range(5): # Run for a few iterations (e.g., 5 minutes)
# Wait for the next minute (approximately).
# This is NOT a precise way to align with market bars.
current_seconds = datetime.now().second
wait_time = 60 - current_seconds
if wait_time < 0: wait_time = 60 + wait_time # if somehow it's past the minute
print(f"Waiting for {wait_time} seconds until the next minute...")
time.sleep(wait_time)
check_and_place_trade()
except KeyboardInterrupt:
print("\nTrading loop stopped by user.")
except Exception as e:
print(f"An unhandled error occurred in the trading loop: {e}")
import traceback
traceback.print_exc()
finally:
print("Trading loop finished.")
# else:
# if 'model' not in globals() or model is None:
# print("Script not run as main, or model not yet trained. Live trading functions defined but not executed.")
can you add the correct code to this, because I'm not sure where you want me to put it:
You got it! I will integrate the detailed debugging for price fetching into your check_and_place_trade function.
You're providing the full context of Step 6, which is perfect. The main area to modify is within check_and_place_trade, specifically the section that tries to determine current_price.
Here's the check_and_place_trade function with the enhanced logging for price fetching integrated. I've also made sure the signal and proba variables are defined before the price fetching block, as the price isn't needed for the prediction itself, only for trade execution. I've also added the CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD which was missing from the snippet you provided.
import os import alpaca_trade_api as tradeapi import pandas as pd from datetime import datetime, timedelta, timezone import time import traceback # For detailed error messages
ORDER_SYMBOL = "BTC/USD" POSITION_SYMBOL = "BTCUSD" SYMBOL_TO_TRADE = ORDER_SYMBOL # Primary symbol for data and orders TRADE_QTY_USD = 100 CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD = 0.55 # Example: Only trade if probability of "UP" is > 55%
def get_latest_bar_features(symbol_to_fetch, timeframe_to_use, max_lookback_period=150): global api, create_features, feature_cols
now_utc = datetime.now(tz=timezone.utc)
start_fetch_dt = now_utc - timedelta(minutes=max_lookback_period + 60)
print(f"Fetching latest {max_lookback_period} bars for {symbol_to_fetch} from {start_fetch_dt.isoformat()}...")
try:
latest_bars_df = api.get_crypto_bars(
symbol_to_fetch, timeframe_to_use,
start=start_fetch_dt.isoformat(),
limit=max_lookback_period + 5
).df
latest_bars_df.columns = [col.lower() for col in latest_bars_df.columns]
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error fetching latest bars: {e}")
return None
if latest_bars_df.empty:
print("No recent bars data fetched.")
return None
required_bars_for_features = 35
if len(latest_bars_df) < required_bars_for_features:
print(f"Not enough recent bars ({len(latest_bars_df)}) to calculate all features (need ~{required_bars_for_features}).")
return None
print(f"Calculating features for {len(latest_bars_df)} bars...")
try:
featured_bars = create_features(latest_bars_df)
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during feature creation for latest bars: {e}")
return None
if featured_bars.empty:
print("Failed to create features (resulted in empty DataFrame).")
return None
try:
missing_cols = [col for col in feature_cols if col not in featured_bars.columns]
if missing_cols:
print(f"Error: The following feature columns are missing after calculation: {missing_cols}")
print(f"Available columns: {featured_bars.columns.tolist()}")
return None
final_features_for_prediction = featured_bars[feature_cols].iloc[-1:]
return final_features_for_prediction
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error selecting final features for prediction: {e}")
print(f"Feature_cols expected: {feature_cols}")
print(f"Columns in featured_bars: {featured_bars.columns.tolist()}")
return None
def check_and_place_trade(): global model, feature_cols, api, ORDER_SYMBOL, POSITION_SYMBOL, TRADE_QTY_USD, CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD # Add any internal state flags here if you use them (e.g., g_is_waiting_for_position_update)
if model is None:
print("Model is not available. Skipping trade check.")
return
if not feature_cols:
print("Feature columns not defined. Skipping trade check.")
return
print(f"\n[{datetime.now(timezone.utc)} UTC] Checking for trading signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}...")
current_features_df = get_latest_bar_features(ORDER_SYMBOL, tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute)
if current_features_df is None or current_features_df.empty:
print("Could not get features for the latest bar. Skipping trade.")
return
try:
prediction = model.predict(current_features_df)
signal = prediction[0]
proba = model.predict_proba(current_features_df)[0]
print(f"Features for prediction: {current_features_df.iloc[0].to_dict()}")
print(f"Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): {signal}, Confidence (Prob for Up): {proba[1]:.4f}")
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during model prediction: {e}")
traceback.print_exc()
return
# Initialize current_price at the function level before any price fetching attempts
current_price = None
try:
# Fetch positions using POSITION_SYMBOL
positions = api.list_positions()
btc_position = next((p for p in positions if p.symbol == POSITION_SYMBOL), None)
# --- ENHANCED PRICE FETCHING LOGIC ---
print(f"--- Price Fetching for {ORDER_SYMBOL} ---")
# Attempt 1: Using snapshot
print("Attempting snapshot...")
try:
raw_snapshot_data = api.get_crypto_snapshot(ORDER_SYMBOL)
print(f"Raw snapshot data received: {raw_snapshot_data}")
if raw_snapshot_data and ORDER_SYMBOL in raw_snapshot_data:
symbol_snapshot = raw_snapshot_data[ORDER_SYMBOL]
print(f"Symbol snapshot data for {ORDER_SYMBOL}: {symbol_snapshot}")
if symbol_snapshot:
if hasattr(symbol_snapshot, 'latest_quote') and \
symbol_snapshot.latest_quote and \
hasattr(symbol_snapshot.latest_quote, 'ap') and symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.ap and \
hasattr(symbol_snapshot.latest_quote, 'bp') and symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.bp:
current_price = (symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.ap + symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.bp) / 2.0
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from snapshot quote: Ask={symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.ap}, Bid={symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.bp}, Mid={current_price:.2f}")
elif hasattr(symbol_snapshot, 'latest_trade') and \
symbol_snapshot.latest_trade and \
hasattr(symbol_snapshot.latest_trade, 'p') and symbol_snapshot.latest_trade.p:
current_price = symbol_snapshot.latest_trade.p
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from snapshot latest trade: {current_price:.2f}")
elif hasattr(symbol_snapshot, 'minute_bar') and \
symbol_snapshot.minute_bar and \
hasattr(symbol_snapshot.minute_bar, 'c') and symbol_snapshot.minute_bar.c:
current_price = symbol_snapshot.minute_bar.c
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from snapshot minute bar close: {current_price:.2f}")
else:
print("INFO: Snapshot structure for symbol did not yield a usable price (quote/trade/bar).")
else:
print(f"INFO: Symbol {ORDER_SYMBOL} data is None within the raw snapshot.")
elif raw_snapshot_data:
print(f"INFO: Symbol {ORDER_SYMBOL} not found in snapshot keys. Available keys: {list(raw_snapshot_data.keys())}")
else:
print("INFO: Raw snapshot data is None.")
except Exception as snapshot_e:
print(f"EXCEPTION during snapshot fetch or processing: {snapshot_e}")
traceback.print_exc()
# Attempt 2: Fallback to get_latest_crypto_trade if snapshot failed or didn't yield a price
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0:
print("\nAttempting get_latest_crypto_trade...")
try:
latest_trade_data = api.get_latest_crypto_trade(ORDER_SYMBOL)
print(f"Latest trade data received: {latest_trade_data}")
if latest_trade_data and hasattr(latest_trade_data, 'p') and latest_trade_data.p:
current_price = latest_trade_data.p
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from get_latest_crypto_trade: {current_price:.2f}")
else:
print("INFO: get_latest_crypto_trade did not yield a usable price or data was None.")
except Exception as latest_trade_e:
print(f"EXCEPTION during get_latest_crypto_trade: {latest_trade_e}")
traceback.print_exc()
# Ultimate fallback if current_price is still None or invalid
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0:
print("\nAttempting ultimate fallback (last bar close)...")
try:
last_bars_df = api.get_crypto_bars(ORDER_SYMBOL, tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute, limit=1).df
print(f"Last bar(s) DataFrame for fallback: \n{last_bars_df}")
if not last_bars_df.empty and 'close' in last_bars_df.columns:
current_price = last_bars_df['close'].iloc[-1]
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from last fetched bar (ultimate fallback): {current_price:.2f}")
else:
print("INFO: Ultimate fallback failed (empty bars or no 'close' column).")
except Exception as fallback_e:
print(f"EXCEPTION in ultimate fallback price fetching: {fallback_e}")
traceback.print_exc()
print("--- End of Price Fetching ---")
# --- END OF ENHANCED PRICE FETCHING LOGIC ---
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0:
print(f"CRITICAL: Could not obtain a valid current price for {ORDER_SYMBOL} after all attempts. Resolved to: {current_price}")
return
print(f"Current effective price for {ORDER_SYMBOL}: ${current_price:.2f}")
if btc_position:
print(f"Current position in {POSITION_SYMBOL}: {btc_position.qty} @ avg entry ${btc_position.avg_entry_price}")
else:
print(f"No current position in {POSITION_SYMBOL}.")
# --- Trade Logic ---
if signal == 1 and proba[1] >= CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD:
if btc_position is None or float(btc_position.qty) == 0:
qty_to_buy = TRADE_QTY_USD / current_price
qty_to_buy_rounded = round(qty_to_buy, 7)
if qty_to_buy_rounded > 0:
print(f"BUY signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL} (confidence {proba[1]:.2f}). Attempting to buy {qty_to_buy_rounded:.7f} {ORDER_SYMBOL} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
api.submit_order(
symbol=ORDER_SYMBOL, qty=str(qty_to_buy_rounded),
side='buy', type='market', time_in_force='gtc'
)
print(f"BUY order for {ORDER_SYMBOL} submitted.")
else:
print(f"Calculated buy quantity for {ORDER_SYMBOL} is too small. No order placed.")
else:
print(f"BUY signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}, but already have a position of {btc_position.qty} {POSITION_SYMBOL}. Holding.")
elif signal == 0:
if btc_position and float(btc_position.qty) > 0:
qty_to_sell = float(btc_position.qty)
qty_to_sell_rounded = round(qty_to_sell, 7)
if qty_to_sell_rounded > 0:
print(f"SELL signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}. Attempting to sell {qty_to_sell_rounded:.7f} {POSITION_SYMBOL} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
api.submit_order(
symbol=ORDER_SYMBOL, qty=str(qty_to_sell_rounded),
side='sell', type='market', time_in_force='gtc'
)
print(f"SELL order for {POSITION_SYMBOL} submitted.")
else:
print(f"Sell quantity for {POSITION_SYMBOL} is zero or negative. No order placed.")
else:
print(f"SELL signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}, but no open {POSITION_SYMBOL} position to sell. Doing nothing.")
elif signal == 1 and proba[1] < CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD : # Explicitly handle UP signal but low confidence
print(f"UP signal (signal={signal}) but confidence {proba[1]:.2f} is below threshold {CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD}. No action.")
# else: # This would be for signal != 0 and signal != 1, which shouldn't happen for binary model
# print(f"Unrecognized signal ({signal}) or neutral condition. Doing nothing.")
except Exception as e: # Outer try-except for the whole function
print(f"Outer error in check_and_place_trade: {e}")
traceback.print_exc()
if name == "main":
# Ensure your global variables like api, model, feature_cols, create_features
# are initialized/defined from your previous script steps before this point.
# For example:
# API_KEY = os.getenv('APCA_API_KEY_ID')
# API_SECRET = os.getenv('APCA_API_SECRET_KEY')
# BASE_URL = os.getenv('APCA_API_BASE_URL')
# api = tradeapi.REST(API_KEY, API_SECRET, BASE_URL, api_version='v2')
# # ... after training ...
# model = your_trained_model
# feature_cols = your_list_of_feature_names
# # Define create_features if it's not already
# def create_features(df_input): ... # Your finta based implementation
if 'model' not in globals() or model is None or \
'feature_cols' not in globals() or not feature_cols or \
'api' not in globals() or api is None or \
'create_features' not in globals() or create_features is None: # Added checks for api and create_features
print("One or more required global components (model, feature_cols, api, create_features) are not initialized.")
print("Exiting live trading part.")
if 'model' not in globals() or model is None: print("- model missing")
if 'feature_cols' not in globals() or not feature_cols: print("- feature_cols missing")
if 'api' not in globals() or api is None: print("- api object missing")
if 'create_features' not in globals() or create_features is None: print("- create_features function missing")
else:
print("\n--- Starting Live/Paper Trading Bot (Simplified Loop) ---")
print("IMPORTANT: THIS IS FOR PAPER TRADING. VERIFY ALL SETTINGS.")
print(f"Trading Symbol: {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}, USD per Trade: {TRADE_QTY_USD}")
print(f"Using Model: {type(model).__name__}, Trained Features: {len(feature_cols)}")
try:
check_and_place_trade()
for i in range(5):
current_seconds = datetime.now().second
wait_time = 60 - current_seconds
if wait_time <= 0: wait_time = 60 # if it's exactly on the minute or past
print(f"Waiting for {wait_time} seconds until the next minute ({i+1}/5)...")
time.sleep(wait_time)
check_and_place_trade()
except KeyboardInterrupt:
print("\nTrading loop stopped by user.")
except Exception as e:
print(f"An unhandled error occurred in the trading loop: {e}")
traceback.print_exc()
finally:
print("Trading loop finished.")
Key Changes Made:
Integrated Price Fetching Debugging: The detailed try-except blocks and print statements for each price fetching attempt (snapshot, latest trade, last bar) are now part of the check_and_place_trade function.
Prediction Before Price Fetching: The model prediction (signal, proba) is now done before attempting to fetch the current market price. This is logical because the prediction is based on historical features, and the price is only needed if a trade decision is made.
CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD Added: I re-added CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD to the constants and used it in the trade logic, as this is a common and useful filter.
traceback Import: Added import traceback at the top of the file so traceback.print_exc() can be used.
Initialization Checks in if name == "main":: Added more checks to ensure api and create_features are also initialized before starting the loop, as these are crucial dependencies for the trading functions.
Wait Time Logic: Slightly adjusted wait_time calculation in the main loop to handle cases where current_seconds might result in wait_time <= 0.
Clearer Print for Low Confidence: Added an elif to explicitly state when an UP signal is generated but confidence is too low.
Now, when you run this, you should get very detailed output about each step of the price fetching process. Look for the "SUCCESS:", "INFO:", or "EXCEPTION:" lines to understand what's happening with each API call. This will be key to resolving the "Could not obtain a valid current price" issue.
import os
import alpaca_trade_api as tradeapi
import pandas as pd
from datetime import datetime, timedelta, timezone
import time
import traceback # For detailed error messages
# --- Constants for Step 6 ---
ORDER_SYMBOL = "BTC/USD"
POSITION_SYMBOL = "BTCUSD"
SYMBOL_TO_TRADE = ORDER_SYMBOL # Primary symbol for data and orders
TRADE_QTY_USD = 100
CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD = 0.55 # Example: Only trade if probability of "UP" is > 55%
# --- Globals (assume these are populated from previous steps) ---
# model = None
# feature_cols = []
# api = None
# create_features = None # Your finta-based feature creation function
# This is the function from your earlier code
# def create_features(df_input): ...
def get_latest_bar_features(symbol_to_fetch, timeframe_to_use, max_lookback_period=150):
global api, create_features, feature_cols
now_utc = datetime.now(tz=timezone.utc)
start_fetch_dt = now_utc - timedelta(minutes=max_lookback_period + 60)
print(f"Fetching latest {max_lookback_period} bars for {symbol_to_fetch} from {start_fetch_dt.isoformat()}...")
try:
latest_bars_df = api.get_crypto_bars(
symbol_to_fetch, timeframe_to_use,
start=start_fetch_dt.isoformat(),
limit=max_lookback_period + 5
).df
latest_bars_df.columns = [col.lower() for col in latest_bars_df.columns]
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error fetching latest bars: {e}")
return None
if latest_bars_df.empty:
print("No recent bars data fetched.")
return None
required_bars_for_features = 35
if len(latest_bars_df) < required_bars_for_features:
print(f"Not enough recent bars ({len(latest_bars_df)}) to calculate all features (need ~{required_bars_for_features}).")
return None
print(f"Calculating features for {len(latest_bars_df)} bars...")
try:
featured_bars = create_features(latest_bars_df)
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during feature creation for latest bars: {e}")
return None
if featured_bars.empty:
print("Failed to create features (resulted in empty DataFrame).")
return None
try:
missing_cols = [col for col in feature_cols if col not in featured_bars.columns]
if missing_cols:
print(f"Error: The following feature columns are missing after calculation: {missing_cols}")
print(f"Available columns: {featured_bars.columns.tolist()}")
return None
final_features_for_prediction = featured_bars[feature_cols].iloc[-1:]
return final_features_for_prediction
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error selecting final features for prediction: {e}")
print(f"Feature_cols expected: {feature_cols}")
print(f"Columns in featured_bars: {featured_bars.columns.tolist()}")
return None
# --- MODIFIED check_and_place_trade FUNCTION ---
def check_and_place_trade():
global model, feature_cols, api, ORDER_SYMBOL, POSITION_SYMBOL, TRADE_QTY_USD, CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD
# Add any internal state flags here if you use them (e.g., g_is_waiting_for_position_update)
if model is None:
print("Model is not available. Skipping trade check.")
return
if not feature_cols:
print("Feature columns not defined. Skipping trade check.")
return
print(f"\n[{datetime.now(timezone.utc)} UTC] Checking for trading signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}...")
current_features_df = get_latest_bar_features(ORDER_SYMBOL, tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute)
if current_features_df is None or current_features_df.empty:
print("Could not get features for the latest bar. Skipping trade.")
return
try:
prediction = model.predict(current_features_df)
signal = prediction[0]
proba = model.predict_proba(current_features_df)[0]
print(f"Features for prediction: {current_features_df.iloc[0].to_dict()}")
print(f"Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): {signal}, Confidence (Prob for Up): {proba[1]:.4f}")
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during model prediction: {e}")
traceback.print_exc()
return
# Initialize current_price at the function level before any price fetching attempts
current_price = None
try:
# Fetch positions using POSITION_SYMBOL
positions = api.list_positions()
btc_position = next((p for p in positions if p.symbol == POSITION_SYMBOL), None)
# --- ENHANCED PRICE FETCHING LOGIC ---
print(f"--- Price Fetching for {ORDER_SYMBOL} ---")
# Attempt 1: Using snapshot
print("Attempting snapshot...")
try:
raw_snapshot_data = api.get_crypto_snapshot(ORDER_SYMBOL)
print(f"Raw snapshot data received: {raw_snapshot_data}")
if raw_snapshot_data and ORDER_SYMBOL in raw_snapshot_data:
symbol_snapshot = raw_snapshot_data[ORDER_SYMBOL]
print(f"Symbol snapshot data for {ORDER_SYMBOL}: {symbol_snapshot}")
if symbol_snapshot:
if hasattr(symbol_snapshot, 'latest_quote') and \
symbol_snapshot.latest_quote and \
hasattr(symbol_snapshot.latest_quote, 'ap') and symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.ap and \
hasattr(symbol_snapshot.latest_quote, 'bp') and symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.bp:
current_price = (symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.ap + symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.bp) / 2.0
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from snapshot quote: Ask={symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.ap}, Bid={symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.bp}, Mid={current_price:.2f}")
elif hasattr(symbol_snapshot, 'latest_trade') and \
symbol_snapshot.latest_trade and \
hasattr(symbol_snapshot.latest_trade, 'p') and symbol_snapshot.latest_trade.p:
current_price = symbol_snapshot.latest_trade.p
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from snapshot latest trade: {current_price:.2f}")
elif hasattr(symbol_snapshot, 'minute_bar') and \
symbol_snapshot.minute_bar and \
hasattr(symbol_snapshot.minute_bar, 'c') and symbol_snapshot.minute_bar.c:
current_price = symbol_snapshot.minute_bar.c
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from snapshot minute bar close: {current_price:.2f}")
else:
print("INFO: Snapshot structure for symbol did not yield a usable price (quote/trade/bar).")
else:
print(f"INFO: Symbol {ORDER_SYMBOL} data is None within the raw snapshot.")
elif raw_snapshot_data:
print(f"INFO: Symbol {ORDER_SYMBOL} not found in snapshot keys. Available keys: {list(raw_snapshot_data.keys())}")
else:
print("INFO: Raw snapshot data is None.")
except Exception as snapshot_e:
print(f"EXCEPTION during snapshot fetch or processing: {snapshot_e}")
traceback.print_exc()
# Attempt 2: Fallback to get_latest_crypto_trade if snapshot failed or didn't yield a price
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0:
print("\nAttempting get_latest_crypto_trade...")
try:
latest_trade_data = api.get_latest_crypto_trade(ORDER_SYMBOL)
print(f"Latest trade data received: {latest_trade_data}")
if latest_trade_data and hasattr(latest_trade_data, 'p') and latest_trade_data.p:
current_price = latest_trade_data.p
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from get_latest_crypto_trade: {current_price:.2f}")
else:
print("INFO: get_latest_crypto_trade did not yield a usable price or data was None.")
except Exception as latest_trade_e:
print(f"EXCEPTION during get_latest_crypto_trade: {latest_trade_e}")
traceback.print_exc()
# Ultimate fallback if current_price is still None or invalid
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0:
print("\nAttempting ultimate fallback (last bar close)...")
try:
last_bars_df = api.get_crypto_bars(ORDER_SYMBOL, tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute, limit=1).df
print(f"Last bar(s) DataFrame for fallback: \n{last_bars_df}")
if not last_bars_df.empty and 'close' in last_bars_df.columns:
current_price = last_bars_df['close'].iloc[-1]
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from last fetched bar (ultimate fallback): {current_price:.2f}")
else:
print("INFO: Ultimate fallback failed (empty bars or no 'close' column).")
except Exception as fallback_e:
print(f"EXCEPTION in ultimate fallback price fetching: {fallback_e}")
traceback.print_exc()
print("--- End of Price Fetching ---")
# --- END OF ENHANCED PRICE FETCHING LOGIC ---
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0:
print(f"CRITICAL: Could not obtain a valid current price for {ORDER_SYMBOL} after all attempts. Resolved to: {current_price}")
return
print(f"Current effective price for {ORDER_SYMBOL}: ${current_price:.2f}")
if btc_position:
print(f"Current position in {POSITION_SYMBOL}: {btc_position.qty} @ avg entry ${btc_position.avg_entry_price}")
else:
print(f"No current position in {POSITION_SYMBOL}.")
# --- Trade Logic ---
if signal == 1 and proba[1] >= CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD:
if btc_position is None or float(btc_position.qty) == 0:
qty_to_buy = TRADE_QTY_USD / current_price
qty_to_buy_rounded = round(qty_to_buy, 7)
if qty_to_buy_rounded > 0:
print(f"BUY signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL} (confidence {proba[1]:.2f}). Attempting to buy {qty_to_buy_rounded:.7f} {ORDER_SYMBOL} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
api.submit_order(
symbol=ORDER_SYMBOL, qty=str(qty_to_buy_rounded),
side='buy', type='market', time_in_force='gtc'
)
print(f"BUY order for {ORDER_SYMBOL} submitted.")
else:
print(f"Calculated buy quantity for {ORDER_SYMBOL} is too small. No order placed.")
else:
print(f"BUY signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}, but already have a position of {btc_position.qty} {POSITION_SYMBOL}. Holding.")
elif signal == 0:
if btc_position and float(btc_position.qty) > 0:
qty_to_sell = float(btc_position.qty)
qty_to_sell_rounded = round(qty_to_sell, 7)
if qty_to_sell_rounded > 0:
print(f"SELL signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}. Attempting to sell {qty_to_sell_rounded:.7f} {POSITION_SYMBOL} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
api.submit_order(
symbol=ORDER_SYMBOL, qty=str(qty_to_sell_rounded),
side='sell', type='market', time_in_force='gtc'
)
print(f"SELL order for {POSITION_SYMBOL} submitted.")
else:
print(f"Sell quantity for {POSITION_SYMBOL} is zero or negative. No order placed.")
else:
print(f"SELL signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}, but no open {POSITION_SYMBOL} position to sell. Doing nothing.")
elif signal == 1 and proba[1] < CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD : # Explicitly handle UP signal but low confidence
print(f"UP signal (signal={signal}) but confidence {proba[1]:.2f} is below threshold {CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD}. No action.")
# else: # This would be for signal != 0 and signal != 1, which shouldn't happen for binary model
# print(f"Unrecognized signal ({signal}) or neutral condition. Doing nothing.")
except Exception as e: # Outer try-except for the whole function
print(f"Outer error in check_and_place_trade: {e}")
traceback.print_exc()
# --- Main Execution Loop (for demonstration) ---
# (This part of your code remains the same)
if __name__ == "__main__":
# Ensure your global variables like `api`, `model`, `feature_cols`, `create_features`
# are initialized/defined from your previous script steps before this point.
# For example:
# API_KEY = os.getenv('APCA_API_KEY_ID')
# API_SECRET = os.getenv('APCA_API_SECRET_KEY')
# BASE_URL = os.getenv('APCA_API_BASE_URL')
# api = tradeapi.REST(API_KEY, API_SECRET, BASE_URL, api_version='v2')
# # ... after training ...
# model = your_trained_model
# feature_cols = your_list_of_feature_names
# # Define create_features if it's not already
# def create_features(df_input): ... # Your finta based implementation
if 'model' not in globals() or model is None or \
'feature_cols' not in globals() or not feature_cols or \
'api' not in globals() or api is None or \
'create_features' not in globals() or create_features is None: # Added checks for api and create_features
print("One or more required global components (model, feature_cols, api, create_features) are not initialized.")
print("Exiting live trading part.")
if 'model' not in globals() or model is None: print("- model missing")
if 'feature_cols' not in globals() or not feature_cols: print("- feature_cols missing")
if 'api' not in globals() or api is None: print("- api object missing")
if 'create_features' not in globals() or create_features is None: print("- create_features function missing")
else:
print("\n--- Starting Live/Paper Trading Bot (Simplified Loop) ---")
print("IMPORTANT: THIS IS FOR PAPER TRADING. VERIFY ALL SETTINGS.")
print(f"Trading Symbol: {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}, USD per Trade: {TRADE_QTY_USD}")
print(f"Using Model: {type(model).__name__}, Trained Features: {len(feature_cols)}")
try:
check_and_place_trade()
for i in range(5):
current_seconds = datetime.now().second
wait_time = 60 - current_seconds
if wait_time <= 0: wait_time = 60 # if it's exactly on the minute or past
print(f"Waiting for {wait_time} seconds until the next minute ({i+1}/5)...")
time.sleep(wait_time)
check_and_place_trade()
except KeyboardInterrupt:
print("\nTrading loop stopped by user.")
except Exception as e:
print(f"An unhandled error occurred in the trading loop: {e}")
traceback.print_exc()
finally:
print("Trading loop finished.")
--- Starting Live/Paper Trading Bot (Simplified Loop) ---
IMPORTANT: THIS IS FOR PAPER TRADING. VERIFY ALL SETTINGS.
Trading Symbol: BTC/USD, USD per Trade: 100
Using Model: XGBClassifier, Trained Features: 17
[2025-06-05 14:14:43.698496+00:00 UTC] Checking for trading signal for BTC/USD...
Fetching latest 150 bars for BTC/USD from 2025-06-05T10:44:43.698496+00:00...
Calculating features for 105 bars...
Features for prediction: {'SMA_10': 104349.6743, 'SMA_30': 104728.58364999999, 'EMA_10': 104362.61702435277, 'RSI_14': 28.39260952445686, 'MACD_12_26_9': -234.39236633984547, 'MACDs_12_26_9': -250.58326255361303, 'MACDh_12_26_9': 16.19089621376756, 'BBL_20_2.0': 104147.88637321882, 'BBM_20_2.0': 104463.4934, 'BBU_20_2.0': 104779.1004267812, 'BBB_20_2.0': 0.006042436769230011, 'BBP_20_2.0': 0.19013142388680368, 'ATR_14': 78.51228571428614, 'return_1m': -0.00013468295015028886, 'return_3m': -0.0003489980691304684, 'return_5m': -0.0007899926647098043, 'return_10m': -0.002457909216531773}
Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): 1, Confidence (Prob for Up): 0.5064
--- Price Fetching for BTC/USD ---
Attempting snapshot...
Raw snapshot data received: {'BTC/USD': <alpaca_trade_api.entity_v2.SnapshotV2 object at 0x00000160004D0450>}
Symbol snapshot data for BTC/USD: <alpaca_trade_api.entity_v2.SnapshotV2 object at 0x00000160004D0450>
SUCCESS: Price from snapshot quote: Ask=104330.2, Bid=104227.789, Mid=104278.99
--- End of Price Fetching ---
Current effective price for BTC/USD: $104278.99
Current position in BTCUSD: 0.002844072 @ avg entry $105141.833333333
UP signal (signal=1) but confidence 0.51 is below threshold 0.55. No action.
Waiting for 15 seconds until the next minute (1/5)...
[2025-06-05 14:15:00.059464+00:00 UTC] Checking for trading signal for BTC/USD...
Fetching latest 150 bars for BTC/USD from 2025-06-05T10:45:00.059464+00:00...
Calculating features for 105 bars...
Features for prediction: {'SMA_10': 104342.06045, 'SMA_30': 104689.8098, 'EMA_10': 104347.41292896736, 'RSI_14': 29.300353197769184, 'MACD_12_26_9': -226.03795486631861, 'MACDs_12_26_9': -245.67956632939172, 'MACDh_12_26_9': 19.641611463073104, 'BBL_20_2.0': 104172.12500689147, 'BBM_20_2.0': 104434.019625, 'BBU_20_2.0': 104695.91424310853, 'BBB_20_2.0': 0.005015503933468057, 'BBP_20_2.0': 0.20403148006700375, 'ATR_14': 76.56689285714363, 'return_1m': 0.0001064037925382344, 'return_3m': -0.0003963129413940836, 'return_5m': 8.275601565821411e-05, 'return_10m': -0.0007296095343963804}
Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): 0, Confidence (Prob for Up): 0.3055
--- Price Fetching for BTC/USD ---
Attempting snapshot...
Raw snapshot data received: {'BTC/USD': <alpaca_trade_api.entity_v2.SnapshotV2 object at 0x00000160003D7550>}
Symbol snapshot data for BTC/USD: <alpaca_trade_api.entity_v2.SnapshotV2 object at 0x00000160003D7550>
SUCCESS: Price from snapshot quote: Ask=104330.2, Bid=104227.789, Mid=104278.99
--- End of Price Fetching ---
Current effective price for BTC/USD: $104278.99
Current position in BTCUSD: 0.002844072 @ avg entry $105141.833333333
SELL signal for BTC/USD. Attempting to sell 0.0028441 BTCUSD at ~$104278.99
Outer error in check_and_place_trade: insufficient balance for BTC (requested: 0.0028441, available: 0.002844072)
Waiting for 60 seconds until the next minute (2/5)...
Traceback (most recent call last):
File "C:\Users\micro\AppData\Local\Temp\ipykernel_5076\388405511.py", line 223, in check_and_place_trade
api.submit_order(
File "C:\Users\micro\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_AI_env\Lib\site-packages\alpaca_trade_api\rest.py", line 433, in submit_order
resp = self.post('/orders', params)
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
File "C:\Users\micro\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_AI_env\Lib\site-packages\alpaca_trade_api\rest.py", line 257, in post
return self._request('POST', path, data)
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
File "C:\Users\micro\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_AI_env\Lib\site-packages\alpaca_trade_api\rest.py", line 222, in _request
return self._one_request(method, url, opts, retry)
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
File "C:\Users\micro\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_AI_env\Lib\site-packages\alpaca_trade_api\rest.py", line 248, in _one_request
raise_api_error(resp, http_error)
File "C:\Users\micro\anaconda3\envs\alpaca_AI_env\Lib\site-packages\alpaca_trade_api\rest.py", line 83, in raise_api_error
raise APIError(error, http_error) from None
alpaca_trade_api.rest.APIError: insufficient balance for BTC (requested: 0.0028441, available: 0.002844072)
[2025-06-05 14:16:00.882411+00:00 UTC] Checking for trading signal for BTC/USD...
Fetching latest 150 bars for BTC/USD from 2025-06-05T10:46:00.882411+00:00...
Calculating features for 105 bars...
Features for prediction: {'SMA_10': 104318.25074999999, 'SMA_30': 104646.99313333334, 'EMA_10': 104311.89421455555, 'RSI_14': 25.34378048430011, 'MACD_12_26_9': -227.04004616739985, 'MACDs_12_26_9': -241.9585089826177, 'MACDh_12_26_9': 14.91846281521785, 'BBL_20_2.0': 104133.31599444739, 'BBM_20_2.0': 104411.66227500001, 'BBU_20_2.0': 104690.00855555263, 'BBB_20_2.0': 0.0053317086326910785, 'BBP_20_2.0': 0.033670300022323976, 'ATR_14': 80.2256071428575, 'return_1m': -0.0012172585726265561, 'return_3m': -0.0012455176205239393, 'return_5m': -0.0014595946387714331, 'return_10m': -0.0022808376464077407}
Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): 1, Confidence (Prob for Up): 0.6306
--- Price Fetching for BTC/USD ---
Attempting snapshot...
Raw snapshot data received: {'BTC/USD': <alpaca_trade_api.entity_v2.SnapshotV2 object at 0x00000160004DE850>}
Symbol snapshot data for BTC/USD: <alpaca_trade_api.entity_v2.SnapshotV2 object at 0x00000160004DE850>
SUCCESS: Price from snapshot quote: Ask=104211.262, Bid=104092.858, Mid=104152.06
--- End of Price Fetching ---
Current effective price for BTC/USD: $104152.06
Current position in BTCUSD: 0.002844072 @ avg entry $105141.833333333
BUY signal for BTC/USD, but already have a position of 0.002844072 BTCUSD. Holding.
Waiting for 59 seconds until the next minute (3/5)...
[2025-06-05 14:17:00.564625+00:00 UTC] Checking for trading signal for BTC/USD...
Fetching latest 150 bars for BTC/USD from 2025-06-05T10:47:00.564625+00:00...
Calculating features for 106 bars...
Features for prediction: {'SMA_10': 104285.4091, 'SMA_30': 104603.22963333334, 'EMA_10': 104285.64072098481, 'RSI_14': 26.64052183076862, 'MACD_12_26_9': -224.0058080147719, 'MACDs_12_26_9': -238.36796878885676, 'MACDh_12_26_9': 14.362160774084856, 'BBL_20_2.0': 104132.60999835341, 'BBM_20_2.0': 104382.578775, 'BBU_20_2.0': 104632.5475516466, 'BBB_20_2.0': 0.004789473101357455, 'BBP_20_2.0': 0.06978871944458843, 'ATR_14': 83.76367857142966, 'return_1m': 0.0001482447874769921, 'return_3m': -0.0009629042111714003, 'return_5m': -0.0014650834432687887, 'return_10m': -0.003142864439109494}
Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): 1, Confidence (Prob for Up): 0.5589
--- Price Fetching for BTC/USD ---
Attempting snapshot...
Raw snapshot data received: {'BTC/USD': <alpaca_trade_api.entity_v2.SnapshotV2 object at 0x00000160004F91D0>}
Symbol snapshot data for BTC/USD: <alpaca_trade_api.entity_v2.SnapshotV2 object at 0x00000160004F91D0>
SUCCESS: Price from snapshot quote: Ask=104252.8, Bid=104082.2, Mid=104167.50
--- End of Price Fetching ---
Current effective price for BTC/USD: $104167.50
Current position in BTCUSD: 0.002844072 @ avg entry $105141.833333333
BUY signal for BTC/USD, but already have a position of 0.002844072 BTCUSD. Holding.
Waiting for 59 seconds until the next minute (4/5)...
[2025-06-05 14:18:00.454550+00:00 UTC] Checking for trading signal for BTC/USD...
Fetching latest 150 bars for BTC/USD from 2025-06-05T10:48:00.454550+00:00...
Calculating features for 107 bars...
Features for prediction: {'SMA_10': 104250.7024, 'SMA_30': 104557.46021666666, 'EMA_10': 104254.3029535182, 'RSI_14': 24.99851682307866, 'MACD_12_26_9': -223.39962585730245, 'MACDs_12_26_9': -235.374300202418, 'MACDh_12_26_9': 11.974674345115545, 'BBL_20_2.0': 104094.6261498988, 'BBM_20_2.0': 104361.746175, 'BBU_20_2.0': 104628.86620010118, 'BBB_20_2.0': 0.005119117586500858, 'BBP_20_2.0': 0.034922222873642314, 'ATR_14': 84.5015000000016, 'return_1m': -0.0005204790361676981, 'return_3m': -0.0015891167803694373, 'return_5m': -0.001617365307100993, 'return_10m': -0.00332247594422197}
Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): 1, Confidence (Prob for Up): 0.6219
--- Price Fetching for BTC/USD ---
Attempting snapshot...
Raw snapshot data received: {'BTC/USD': <alpaca_trade_api.entity_v2.SnapshotV2 object at 0x00000160005AE310>}
Symbol snapshot data for BTC/USD: <alpaca_trade_api.entity_v2.SnapshotV2 object at 0x00000160005AE310>
SUCCESS: Price from snapshot quote: Ask=104183.506, Bid=104043.06, Mid=104113.28
--- End of Price Fetching ---
Current effective price for BTC/USD: $104113.28
Current position in BTCUSD: 0.002844072 @ avg entry $105141.833333333
BUY signal for BTC/USD, but already have a position of 0.002844072 BTCUSD. Holding.
Waiting for 59 seconds until the next minute (5/5)...
[2025-06-05 14:19:00.150608+00:00 UTC] Checking for trading signal for BTC/USD...
Fetching latest 150 bars for BTC/USD from 2025-06-05T10:49:00.150608+00:00...
Calculating features for 107 bars...
Features for prediction: {'SMA_10': 104220.10195000001, 'SMA_30': 104510.72426666667, 'EMA_10': 104216.12632555331, 'RSI_14': 23.05176936927569, 'MACD_12_26_9': -225.8743062310823, 'MACDs_12_26_9': -233.47571364421745, 'MACDh_12_26_9': 7.601407413135149, 'BBL_20_2.0': 104043.41464552747, 'BBM_20_2.0': 104340.561, 'BBU_20_2.0': 104637.70735447253, 'BBB_20_2.0': 0.005695701683500179, 'BBP_20_2.0': 0.001542765810054842, 'ATR_14': 79.95396428571568, 'return_1m': -0.0006622738041983656, 'return_3m': -0.0010343386391012954, 'return_5m': -0.002144173806128191, 'return_10m': -0.0029324725892593273}
Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): 1, Confidence (Prob for Up): 0.6181
--- Price Fetching for BTC/USD ---
Attempting snapshot...
Raw snapshot data received: {'BTC/USD': <alpaca_trade_api.entity_v2.SnapshotV2 object at 0x0000016000561650>}
Symbol snapshot data for BTC/USD: <alpaca_trade_api.entity_v2.SnapshotV2 object at 0x0000016000561650>
SUCCESS: Price from snapshot quote: Ask=104122.813, Bid=103965.85, Mid=104044.33
--- End of Price Fetching ---
Current effective price for BTC/USD: $104044.33
Current position in BTCUSD: 0.002844072 @ avg entry $105141.833333333
BUY signal for BTC/USD, but already have a position of 0.002844072 BTCUSD. Holding.
Trading loop finished.
This output is much better and shows significant progress! Let's break down what's happening:
Successes:
Price Fetching is Working:
SUCCESS: Price from snapshot quote: Ask=..., Bid=..., Mid=...
This indicates that the primary method of getting the current price via api.get_crypto_snapshot(ORDER_SYMBOL) and then accessing raw_snapshot_data[ORDER_SYMBOL].latest_quote is now working correctly. The bot is successfully retrieving bid and ask prices and calculating a mid-price.
Correct Position Checking:
Current position in BTCUSD: 0.002844072 @ avg entry $105141.833333333
This confirms that your fix for using POSITION_SYMBOL ("BTCUSD") when checking api.list_positions() is effective. The bot now correctly identifies existing positions.
Preventing Duplicate Buys:
BUY signal for BTC/USD, but already have a position of 0.002844072 BTCUSD. Holding.
This is excellent! Because the bot correctly sees the existing position, it's no longer trying to buy again when it gets a BUY signal while already holding BTC. This directly addresses the "buying 3 times in a row" problem.
Confidence Threshold Logic:
UP signal (signal=1) but confidence 0.51 is below threshold 0.55. No action.
This shows the CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD is working as intended. The first signal had a confidence of 0.5064, which was below your 0.55 threshold, so no trade was attempted.
The insufficient balance Error and Its Implications:
Log Entry:
Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): 0, Confidence (Prob for Up): 0.3055 ... Current position in BTCUSD: 0.002844072 @ avg entry $105141.833333333 SELL signal for BTC/USD. Attempting to sell 0.0028441 BTCUSD at ~$104278.99 Outer error in check_and_place_trade: insufficient balance for BTC (requested: 0.0028441, available: 0.002844072)
What Happened:
The bot had a position of 0.002844072 BTC.
It received a SELL signal (model predicted 0).
It attempted to sell its entire position: qty_to_sell = float(btc_position.qty) which is 0.002844072.
Then it rounded this quantity: qty_to_sell_rounded = round(qty_to_sell, 7).
round(0.002844072, 7) results in 0.0028441.
The API rejected the order because you tried to sell 0.0028441 BTC when you only had 0.002844072 BTC. This is a tiny rounding difference, but enough for the API to reject it.
How to Fix the insufficient balance on Sell:
When selling an existing position, you should always use the exact quantity you hold, or a quantity that is definitively less than or equal to what you hold, especially considering floating-point precision. Rounding up can cause this issue.
Instead of rounding qty_to_sell, you can either:
Use a string representation of the exact float quantity from the position object, truncated or formatted to the required precision by Alpaca. Alpaca's API often prefers quantities as strings.
Round down slightly or use floor division if you must round, to ensure you don't request more than available. However, for selling the entire position, using the exact available quantity is best.
Option A: Truncate/Format the quantity string (Safer for selling full position)
Alpaca crypto orders need quantity as a string, and it has precision limits (e.g., up to 8 decimal places for BTC).
if btc_position and float(btc_position.qty) > 0:
# Get the exact quantity from the position object as a float
exact_qty_to_sell_float = float(btc_position.qty)
# Format the quantity to the required number of decimal places as a string
# For BTC, Alpaca typically supports up to 8 decimal places.
# We must be careful NOT to round up.
# One way to do this is to format and then truncate if necessary,
# or use a Decimal type for precision.
# A simpler approach for now is to format to a high precision and let Alpaca handle it,
# or format to a slightly lower precision known to be safe.
# Let's format to 8 decimal places, ensuring no rounding up past available.
# A robust way is to convert to Decimal for precise truncation
from decimal import Decimal, ROUND_DOWN
qty_str_to_sell = str(Decimal(str(exact_qty_to_sell_float)).quantize(Decimal('0.00000001'), rounding=ROUND_DOWN))
# Ensure it's not zero after truncation if original was very small
if float(qty_str_to_sell) <= 0 and exact_qty_to_sell_float > 0: # If truncation made it zero, something's wrong or qty is too small
print(f"Warning: Truncated sell quantity to {qty_str_to_sell} from {exact_qty_to_sell_float}. Original quantity might be too small.")
# Fallback or error, for now let's try with a simpler rounding if the above is complex
# For simplicity in this step, let's try rounding to a slightly lower precision if the above Decimal is too much
# qty_to_sell_rounded_str = f"{exact_qty_to_sell_float:.7f}" # Format to 7 decimal places string
# However, the Decimal approach is more correct for not exceeding available.
# The issue was qty_to_sell_rounded = round(qty_to_sell, 7) which rounded 0.002844072 UP to 0.0028441
# Let's use the exact string from position if possible, or ensure we round down.
# The position qty from Alpaca is usually a string already.
qty_str_to_sell = str(btc_position.qty_available) # Use qty_available which is usually a string for crypto
# Or if btc_position.qty is a float and you need to truncate:
# exact_qty = float(btc_position.qty)
# qty_str_to_sell = f"{exact_qty:.8f}" # Format as string with 8 decimal places
# # To be absolutely safe, truncate instead of rounding, if necessary
# # factor = 10**7 # for 7 decimal places
# # qty_str_to_sell = str(math.floor(exact_qty * factor) / factor)
print(f"SELL signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}. Attempting to sell {qty_str_to_sell} {POSITION_SYMBOL} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
api.submit_order(
symbol=ORDER_SYMBOL,
qty=qty_str_to_sell, # Pass the precisely formatted string
side='sell',
type='market',
time_in_force='gtc'
)
print(f"SELL order for {POSITION_SYMBOL} submitted.")
# ...
IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_START content_copy download Use code with caution. Python IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_END
Option B: Slightly Simpler String Formatting (might still have edge cases if not careful)
if btc_position and float(btc_position.qty) > 0:
# Use the qty_available string directly from the position object if it's what you intend to sell
# The 'qty' attribute from the position object is often already a string representation
# of the precise quantity held.
qty_to_submit = str(btc_position.qty) # Or btc_position.qty_available if that's more appropriate
# Double check if qty_to_submit is a valid number string for the API
try:
if float(qty_to_submit) <= 0:
print(f"Position quantity {qty_to_submit} is zero or invalid. Cannot sell.")
return # Or continue to next iteration
except ValueError:
print(f"Position quantity '{qty_to_submit}' is not a valid number. Cannot sell.")
return
print(f"SELL signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}. Attempting to sell {qty_to_submit} {POSITION_SYMBOL} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
api.submit_order(
symbol=ORDER_SYMBOL,
qty=qty_to_submit, # Use the string quantity from the position
side='sell',
type='market',
time_in_force='gtc'
)
print(f"SELL order for {POSITION_SYMBOL} submitted.")
IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_START content_copy download Use code with caution. Python IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_END
The most straightforward fix for your current code is to ensure qty_to_sell_rounded does not exceed float(btc_position.qty).
Let's refine the sell quantity logic:
elif signal == 0: # Predicted NOT UP - Potential SELL
if btc_position and float(btc_position.qty) > 0:
# Use the precise quantity from the position object.
# The 'qty' attribute from Alpaca's position object for crypto is typically a string
# representing the exact, precise quantity.
qty_to_sell_str = str(btc_position.qty) # Directly use the string value from the position object
# It's good practice to ensure this string is a positive number before submitting
try:
if float(qty_to_sell_str) <= 0:
print(f"INFO: Position quantity '{qty_to_sell_str}' is zero or less. No sell order placed.")
# No return here, just means no sell order. Loop continues.
else:
print(f"SELL signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}. Attempting to sell {qty_to_sell_str} {POSITION_SYMBOL} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
api.submit_order(
symbol=ORDER_SYMBOL,
qty=qty_to_sell_str, # Pass the string quantity directly
side='sell',
type='market',
time_in_force='gtc'
)
print(f"SELL order for {POSITION_SYMBOL} submitted.")
# If using internal flag:
# g_is_waiting_for_position_update = True
# g_last_order_side = 'sell'
except ValueError:
print(f"ERROR: Position quantity string '{qty_to_sell_str}' could not be converted to float. No sell order placed.")
else:
print(f"SELL signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}, but no open {POSITION_SYMBOL} position to sell. Doing nothing.")
IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_START content_copy download Use code with caution. Python IGNORE_WHEN_COPYING_END
This version directly uses str(btc_position.qty). The qty attribute from Alpaca's position objects for crypto is often already a string that represents the precise quantity held, suitable for order submission. This avoids manual rounding issues.
Overall Summary:
Huge Progress: Price fetching and position checking are now working correctly. The bot no longer over-buys.
Rounding Issue: The "insufficient balance" on sell was due to round() potentially increasing the quantity slightly.
Fix for Sell Quantity: Use the string representation of the quantity directly from the btc_position.qty attribute when submitting the sell order. This ensures you're trying to sell exactly what you have.
Make the change to how qty_to_sell_str is determined in the sell logic, and your bot should be much more robust in its order execution!
import os
import alpaca_trade_api as tradeapi
import pandas as pd
from datetime import datetime, timedelta, timezone
import time
import traceback # For detailed error messages
# --- Constants for Step 6 ---
ORDER_SYMBOL = "BTC/USD"
POSITION_SYMBOL = "BTCUSD"
SYMBOL_TO_TRADE = ORDER_SYMBOL # Primary symbol for data and orders
TRADE_QTY_USD = 100
CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD = 0.55 # Example: Only trade if probability of "UP" is > 55%
# --- Globals (assume these are populated from previous steps) ---
# model = None
# feature_cols = []
# api = None
# create_features = None # Your finta-based feature creation function
# This is the function from your earlier code
# def create_features(df_input): ...
def get_latest_bar_features(symbol_to_fetch, timeframe_to_use, max_lookback_period=150):
global api, create_features, feature_cols
now_utc = datetime.now(tz=timezone.utc)
start_fetch_dt = now_utc - timedelta(minutes=max_lookback_period + 60)
print(f"Fetching latest {max_lookback_period} bars for {symbol_to_fetch} from {start_fetch_dt.isoformat()}...")
try:
latest_bars_df = api.get_crypto_bars(
symbol_to_fetch, timeframe_to_use,
start=start_fetch_dt.isoformat(),
limit=max_lookback_period + 5
).df
latest_bars_df.columns = [col.lower() for col in latest_bars_df.columns]
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error fetching latest bars: {e}")
return None
if latest_bars_df.empty:
print("No recent bars data fetched.")
return None
required_bars_for_features = 35
if len(latest_bars_df) < required_bars_for_features:
print(f"Not enough recent bars ({len(latest_bars_df)}) to calculate all features (need ~{required_bars_for_features}).")
return None
print(f"Calculating features for {len(latest_bars_df)} bars...")
try:
featured_bars = create_features(latest_bars_df)
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during feature creation for latest bars: {e}")
return None
if featured_bars.empty:
print("Failed to create features (resulted in empty DataFrame).")
return None
try:
missing_cols = [col for col in feature_cols if col not in featured_bars.columns]
if missing_cols:
print(f"Error: The following feature columns are missing after calculation: {missing_cols}")
print(f"Available columns: {featured_bars.columns.tolist()}")
return None
final_features_for_prediction = featured_bars[feature_cols].iloc[-1:]
return final_features_for_prediction
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error selecting final features for prediction: {e}")
print(f"Feature_cols expected: {feature_cols}")
print(f"Columns in featured_bars: {featured_bars.columns.tolist()}")
return None
# --- MODIFIED check_and_place_trade FUNCTION ---
def check_and_place_trade():
global model, feature_cols, api, ORDER_SYMBOL, POSITION_SYMBOL, TRADE_QTY_USD, CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD
# Add any internal state flags here if you use them (e.g., g_is_waiting_for_position_update)
if model is None:
print("Model is not available. Skipping trade check.")
return
if not feature_cols:
print("Feature columns not defined. Skipping trade check.")
return
print(f"\n[{datetime.now(timezone.utc)} UTC] Checking for trading signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}...")
current_features_df = get_latest_bar_features(ORDER_SYMBOL, tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute)
if current_features_df is None or current_features_df.empty:
print("Could not get features for the latest bar. Skipping trade.")
return
try:
prediction = model.predict(current_features_df)
signal = prediction[0]
proba = model.predict_proba(current_features_df)[0]
print(f"Features for prediction: {current_features_df.iloc[0].to_dict()}")
print(f"Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): {signal}, Confidence (Prob for Up): {proba[1]:.4f}")
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during model prediction: {e}")
traceback.print_exc()
return
# Initialize current_price at the function level before any price fetching attempts
current_price = None
try:
# Fetch positions using POSITION_SYMBOL
positions = api.list_positions()
btc_position = next((p for p in positions if p.symbol == POSITION_SYMBOL), None)
# --- ENHANCED PRICE FETCHING LOGIC ---
print(f"--- Price Fetching for {ORDER_SYMBOL} ---")
# Attempt 1: Using snapshot
print("Attempting snapshot...")
try:
raw_snapshot_data = api.get_crypto_snapshot(ORDER_SYMBOL)
print(f"Raw snapshot data received: {raw_snapshot_data}")
if raw_snapshot_data and ORDER_SYMBOL in raw_snapshot_data:
symbol_snapshot = raw_snapshot_data[ORDER_SYMBOL]
print(f"Symbol snapshot data for {ORDER_SYMBOL}: {symbol_snapshot}")
if symbol_snapshot:
if hasattr(symbol_snapshot, 'latest_quote') and \
symbol_snapshot.latest_quote and \
hasattr(symbol_snapshot.latest_quote, 'ap') and symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.ap and \
hasattr(symbol_snapshot.latest_quote, 'bp') and symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.bp:
current_price = (symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.ap + symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.bp) / 2.0
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from snapshot quote: Ask={symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.ap}, Bid={symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.bp}, Mid={current_price:.2f}")
elif hasattr(symbol_snapshot, 'latest_trade') and \
symbol_snapshot.latest_trade and \
hasattr(symbol_snapshot.latest_trade, 'p') and symbol_snapshot.latest_trade.p:
current_price = symbol_snapshot.latest_trade.p
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from snapshot latest trade: {current_price:.2f}")
elif hasattr(symbol_snapshot, 'minute_bar') and \
symbol_snapshot.minute_bar and \
hasattr(symbol_snapshot.minute_bar, 'c') and symbol_snapshot.minute_bar.c:
current_price = symbol_snapshot.minute_bar.c
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from snapshot minute bar close: {current_price:.2f}")
else:
print("INFO: Snapshot structure for symbol did not yield a usable price (quote/trade/bar).")
else:
print(f"INFO: Symbol {ORDER_SYMBOL} data is None within the raw snapshot.")
elif raw_snapshot_data:
print(f"INFO: Symbol {ORDER_SYMBOL} not found in snapshot keys. Available keys: {list(raw_snapshot_data.keys())}")
else:
print("INFO: Raw snapshot data is None.")
except Exception as snapshot_e:
print(f"EXCEPTION during snapshot fetch or processing: {snapshot_e}")
traceback.print_exc()
# Attempt 2: Fallback to get_latest_crypto_trade if snapshot failed or didn't yield a price
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0:
print("\nAttempting get_latest_crypto_trade...")
try:
latest_trade_data = api.get_latest_crypto_trade(ORDER_SYMBOL)
print(f"Latest trade data received: {latest_trade_data}")
if latest_trade_data and hasattr(latest_trade_data, 'p') and latest_trade_data.p:
current_price = latest_trade_data.p
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from get_latest_crypto_trade: {current_price:.2f}")
else:
print("INFO: get_latest_crypto_trade did not yield a usable price or data was None.")
except Exception as latest_trade_e:
print(f"EXCEPTION during get_latest_crypto_trade: {latest_trade_e}")
traceback.print_exc()
# Ultimate fallback if current_price is still None or invalid
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0:
print("\nAttempting ultimate fallback (last bar close)...")
try:
last_bars_df = api.get_crypto_bars(ORDER_SYMBOL, tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute, limit=1).df
print(f"Last bar(s) DataFrame for fallback: \n{last_bars_df}")
if not last_bars_df.empty and 'close' in last_bars_df.columns:
current_price = last_bars_df['close'].iloc[-1]
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from last fetched bar (ultimate fallback): {current_price:.2f}")
else:
print("INFO: Ultimate fallback failed (empty bars or no 'close' column).")
except Exception as fallback_e:
print(f"EXCEPTION in ultimate fallback price fetching: {fallback_e}")
traceback.print_exc()
print("--- End of Price Fetching ---")
# --- END OF ENHANCED PRICE FETCHING LOGIC ---
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0:
print(f"CRITICAL: Could not obtain a valid current price for {ORDER_SYMBOL} after all attempts. Resolved to: {current_price}")
return
print(f"Current effective price for {ORDER_SYMBOL}: ${current_price:.2f}")
if btc_position:
print(f"Current position in {POSITION_SYMBOL}: {btc_position.qty} @ avg entry ${btc_position.avg_entry_price}")
else:
print(f"No current position in {POSITION_SYMBOL}.")
# --- Trade Logic ---
if signal == 1 and proba[1] >= CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD:
if btc_position is None or float(btc_position.qty) == 0:
qty_to_buy = TRADE_QTY_USD / current_price
qty_to_buy_rounded = round(qty_to_buy, 7)
if qty_to_buy_rounded > 0:
print(f"BUY signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL} (confidence {proba[1]:.2f}). Attempting to buy {qty_to_buy_rounded:.7f} {ORDER_SYMBOL} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
api.submit_order(
symbol=ORDER_SYMBOL, qty=str(qty_to_buy_rounded),
side='buy', type='market', time_in_force='gtc'
)
print(f"BUY order for {ORDER_SYMBOL} submitted.")
else:
print(f"Calculated buy quantity for {ORDER_SYMBOL} is too small. No order placed.")
else:
print(f"BUY signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}, but already have a position of {btc_position.qty} {POSITION_SYMBOL}. Holding.")
elif signal == 0: # Predicted NOT UP - Potential SELL
if btc_position and float(btc_position.qty) > 0:
# Use the precise quantity from the position object.
# The 'qty' attribute from Alpaca's position object for crypto is typically a string
# representing the exact, precise quantity.
qty_to_sell_str = str(btc_position.qty) # Directly use the string value from the position object
# It's good practice to ensure this string is a positive number before submitting
try:
if float(qty_to_sell_str) <= 0:
print(f"INFO: Position quantity '{qty_to_sell_str}' is zero or less. No sell order placed.")
# No return here, just means no sell order. Loop continues.
else:
print(f"SELL signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}. Attempting to sell {qty_to_sell_str} {POSITION_SYMBOL} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
api.submit_order(
symbol=ORDER_SYMBOL,
qty=qty_to_sell_str, # Pass the string quantity directly
side='sell',
type='market',
time_in_force='gtc'
)
print(f"SELL order for {POSITION_SYMBOL} submitted.")
# If using internal flag:
# g_is_waiting_for_position_update = True
# g_last_order_side = 'sell'
except ValueError:
print(f"ERROR: Position quantity string '{qty_to_sell_str}' could not be converted to float. No sell order placed.")
else:
print(f"SELL signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}, but no open {POSITION_SYMBOL} position to sell. Doing nothing.")
elif signal == 1 and proba[1] < CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD : # Explicitly handle UP signal but low confidence
print(f"UP signal (signal={signal}) but confidence {proba[1]:.2f} is below threshold {CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD}. No action.")
# else: # This would be for signal != 0 and signal != 1, which shouldn't happen for binary model
# print(f"Unrecognized signal ({signal}) or neutral condition. Doing nothing.")
except Exception as e: # Outer try-except for the whole function
print(f"Outer error in check_and_place_trade: {e}")
traceback.print_exc()
# --- Main Execution Loop (for demonstration) ---
# (This part of your code remains the same)
if __name__ == "__main__":
# Ensure your global variables like `api`, `model`, `feature_cols`, `create_features`
# are initialized/defined from your previous script steps before this point.
# For example:
# API_KEY = os.getenv('APCA_API_KEY_ID')
# API_SECRET = os.getenv('APCA_API_SECRET_KEY')
# BASE_URL = os.getenv('APCA_API_BASE_URL')
# api = tradeapi.REST(API_KEY, API_SECRET, BASE_URL, api_version='v2')
# # ... after training ...
# model = your_trained_model
# feature_cols = your_list_of_feature_names
# # Define create_features if it's not already
# def create_features(df_input): ... # Your finta based implementation
if 'model' not in globals() or model is None or \
'feature_cols' not in globals() or not feature_cols or \
'api' not in globals() or api is None or \
'create_features' not in globals() or create_features is None: # Added checks for api and create_features
print("One or more required global components (model, feature_cols, api, create_features) are not initialized.")
print("Exiting live trading part.")
if 'model' not in globals() or model is None: print("- model missing")
if 'feature_cols' not in globals() or not feature_cols: print("- feature_cols missing")
if 'api' not in globals() or api is None: print("- api object missing")
if 'create_features' not in globals() or create_features is None: print("- create_features function missing")
else:
print("\n--- Starting Live/Paper Trading Bot (Simplified Loop) ---")
print("IMPORTANT: THIS IS FOR PAPER TRADING. VERIFY ALL SETTINGS.")
print(f"Trading Symbol: {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}, USD per Trade: {TRADE_QTY_USD}")
print(f"Using Model: {type(model).__name__}, Trained Features: {len(feature_cols)}")
try:
check_and_place_trade()
for i in range(5):
current_seconds = datetime.now().second
wait_time = 60 - current_seconds
if wait_time <= 0: wait_time = 60 # if it's exactly on the minute or past
print(f"Waiting for {wait_time} seconds until the next minute ({i+1}/5)...")
time.sleep(wait_time)
check_and_place_trade()
except KeyboardInterrupt:
print("\nTrading loop stopped by user.")
except Exception as e:
print(f"An unhandled error occurred in the trading loop: {e}")
traceback.print_exc()
finally:
print("Trading loop finished.")
--- Starting Live/Paper Trading Bot (Simplified Loop) ---
IMPORTANT: THIS IS FOR PAPER TRADING. VERIFY ALL SETTINGS.
Trading Symbol: BTC/USD, USD per Trade: 100
Using Model: XGBClassifier, Trained Features: 17
[2025-06-05 14:24:13.430791+00:00 UTC] Checking for trading signal for BTC/USD...
Fetching latest 150 bars for BTC/USD from 2025-06-05T10:54:13.430791+00:00...
Calculating features for 111 bars...
Features for prediction: {'SMA_10': 104111.10955, 'SMA_30': 104346.03211666667, 'EMA_10': 104135.0643292061, 'RSI_14': 41.91567472979963, 'MACD_12_26_9': -190.96321626141435, 'MACDs_12_26_9': -218.65379860860193, 'MACDh_12_26_9': 27.690582347187586, 'BBL_20_2.0': 103931.38442824487, 'BBM_20_2.0': 104230.391925, 'BBU_20_2.0': 104529.39942175514, 'BBB_20_2.0': 0.005737433990851486, 'BBP_20_2.0': 0.4771144115975029, 'ATR_14': 88.27653571428527, 'return_1m': 0.0011766358796561072, 'return_3m': 0.0022924533980228645, 'return_5m': 0.0016567409056782445, 'return_10m': -0.0004909852409034077}
Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): 0, Confidence (Prob for Up): 0.4833
--- Price Fetching for BTC/USD ---
Attempting snapshot...
Raw snapshot data received: {'BTC/USD': <alpaca_trade_api.entity_v2.SnapshotV2 object at 0x00000160004E2710>}
Symbol snapshot data for BTC/USD: <alpaca_trade_api.entity_v2.SnapshotV2 object at 0x00000160004E2710>
SUCCESS: Price from snapshot quote: Ask=104226.412, Bid=104207, Mid=104216.71
--- End of Price Fetching ---
Current effective price for BTC/USD: $104216.71
Current position in BTCUSD: 0.002844072 @ avg entry $105141.833333333
SELL signal for BTC/USD. Attempting to sell 0.002844072 BTCUSD at ~$104216.71
SELL order for BTCUSD submitted.
Waiting for 46 seconds until the next minute (1/5)...
[2025-06-05 14:25:00.720287+00:00 UTC] Checking for trading signal for BTC/USD...
Fetching latest 150 bars for BTC/USD from 2025-06-05T10:55:00.720287+00:00...
Calculating features for 112 bars...
Features for prediction: {'SMA_10': 104101.18260000001, 'SMA_30': 104323.07395, 'EMA_10': 104143.18445117003, 'RSI_14': 40.241787707121574, 'MACD_12_26_9': -174.83986954543798, 'MACDs_12_26_9': -209.89101279584645, 'MACDh_12_26_9': 35.05114325040847, 'BBL_20_2.0': 103927.7742865012, 'BBM_20_2.0': 104221.621525, 'BBU_20_2.0': 104515.4687634988, 'BBB_20_2.0': 0.005638892087824828, 'BBP_20_2.0': 0.42871036458598444, 'ATR_14': 88.49399999999982, 'return_1m': -0.0003548471393828301, 'return_3m': 0.0019168996312335373, 'return_5m': 0.0009076694344301028, 'return_10m': -0.0009519606558922034}
Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): 1, Confidence (Prob for Up): 0.5108
--- Price Fetching for BTC/USD ---
Attempting snapshot...
Raw snapshot data received: {'BTC/USD': <alpaca_trade_api.entity_v2.SnapshotV2 object at 0x0000015F84153110>}
Symbol snapshot data for BTC/USD: <alpaca_trade_api.entity_v2.SnapshotV2 object at 0x0000015F84153110>
SUCCESS: Price from snapshot quote: Ask=104208.6, Bid=104175, Mid=104191.80
--- End of Price Fetching ---
Current effective price for BTC/USD: $104191.80
No current position in BTCUSD.
UP signal (signal=1) but confidence 0.51 is below threshold 0.55. No action.
Waiting for 55 seconds until the next minute (2/5)...
[2025-06-05 14:26:00.845082+00:00 UTC] Checking for trading signal for BTC/USD...
Fetching latest 150 bars for BTC/USD from 2025-06-05T10:56:00.845602+00:00...
Calculating features for 113 bars...
Features for prediction: {'SMA_10': 104105.1566, 'SMA_30': 104309.49371666666, 'EMA_10': 104152.02364186765, 'RSI_14': 41.06931878816093, 'MACD_12_26_9': -159.2520175553509, 'MACDs_12_26_9': -199.76321374763393, 'MACDh_12_26_9': 40.51119619228302, 'BBL_20_2.0': 103928.61459100334, 'BBM_20_2.0': 104211.70367500001, 'BBU_20_2.0': 104494.79275899669, 'BBB_20_2.0': 0.0054329614431701525, 'BBP_20_2.0': 0.46484556253634546, 'ATR_14': 86.61521428571412, 'return_1m': 0.00011590547009032726, 'return_3m': 0.000937371885904259, 'return_5m': 0.0020529227430783337, 'return_10m': 0.00038155750351931417}
Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): 1, Confidence (Prob for Up): 0.5226
--- Price Fetching for BTC/USD ---
Attempting snapshot...
Raw snapshot data received: {'BTC/USD': <alpaca_trade_api.entity_v2.SnapshotV2 object at 0x0000016000420710>}
Symbol snapshot data for BTC/USD: <alpaca_trade_api.entity_v2.SnapshotV2 object at 0x0000016000420710>
SUCCESS: Price from snapshot quote: Ask=104208.6, Bid=104175, Mid=104191.80
--- End of Price Fetching ---
Current effective price for BTC/USD: $104191.80
No current position in BTCUSD.
UP signal (signal=1) but confidence 0.52 is below threshold 0.55. No action.
Waiting for 59 seconds until the next minute (3/5)...
[2025-06-05 14:27:00.392033+00:00 UTC] Checking for trading signal for BTC/USD...
Fetching latest 150 bars for BTC/USD from 2025-06-05T10:57:00.392542+00:00...
Calculating features for 113 bars...
Features for prediction: {'SMA_10': 104105.1566, 'SMA_30': 104309.49371666666, 'EMA_10': 104152.02364186765, 'RSI_14': 41.06931878816093, 'MACD_12_26_9': -159.2520175553509, 'MACDs_12_26_9': -199.76321374763393, 'MACDh_12_26_9': 40.51119619228302, 'BBL_20_2.0': 103928.61459100334, 'BBM_20_2.0': 104211.70367500001, 'BBU_20_2.0': 104494.79275899669, 'BBB_20_2.0': 0.0054329614431701525, 'BBP_20_2.0': 0.46484556253634546, 'ATR_14': 86.61521428571412, 'return_1m': 0.00011590547009032726, 'return_3m': 0.000937371885904259, 'return_5m': 0.0020529227430783337, 'return_10m': 0.00038155750351931417}
Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): 1, Confidence (Prob for Up): 0.5226
--- Price Fetching for BTC/USD ---
Attempting snapshot...
Raw snapshot data received: {'BTC/USD': <alpaca_trade_api.entity_v2.SnapshotV2 object at 0x0000016000420710>}
Symbol snapshot data for BTC/USD: <alpaca_trade_api.entity_v2.SnapshotV2 object at 0x0000016000420710>
SUCCESS: Price from snapshot quote: Ask=104208.6, Bid=104175, Mid=104191.80
--- End of Price Fetching ---
Current effective price for BTC/USD: $104191.80
No current position in BTCUSD.
UP signal (signal=1) but confidence 0.52 is below threshold 0.55. No action.
Waiting for 60 seconds until the next minute (4/5)...
[2025-06-05 14:28:00.885407+00:00 UTC] Checking for trading signal for BTC/USD...
Fetching latest 150 bars for BTC/USD from 2025-06-05T10:58:00.885407+00:00...
Calculating features for 114 bars...
Features for prediction: {'SMA_10': 104115.9466, 'SMA_30': 104293.70138333333, 'EMA_10': 104174.45570698523, 'RSI_14': 46.58447755789757, 'MACD_12_26_9': -138.55646825033182, 'MACDs_12_26_9': -187.52186464806385, 'MACDh_12_26_9': 48.965396397732036, 'BBL_20_2.0': 103948.73332577787, 'BBM_20_2.0': 104200.67785000001, 'BBU_20_2.0': 104452.62237422215, 'BBB_20_2.0': 0.004835755955154583, 'BBP_20_2.0': 0.6482908791740676, 'ATR_14': 89.48521428571361, 'return_1m': 0.0008023664050336166, 'return_3m': 0.000563191855248224, 'return_5m': 0.0028370249183007346, 'return_10m': 0.0010358317133463135}
Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): 0, Confidence (Prob for Up): 0.4823
--- Price Fetching for BTC/USD ---
Attempting snapshot...
Raw snapshot data received: {'BTC/USD': <alpaca_trade_api.entity_v2.SnapshotV2 object at 0x00000160005D1490>}
Symbol snapshot data for BTC/USD: <alpaca_trade_api.entity_v2.SnapshotV2 object at 0x00000160005D1490>
SUCCESS: Price from snapshot quote: Ask=104342.8, Bid=104208, Mid=104275.40
--- End of Price Fetching ---
Current effective price for BTC/USD: $104275.40
No current position in BTCUSD.
SELL signal for BTC/USD, but no open BTCUSD position to sell. Doing nothing.
Waiting for 59 seconds until the next minute (5/5)...
[2025-06-05 14:29:00.570220+00:00 UTC] Checking for trading signal for BTC/USD...
Fetching latest 150 bars for BTC/USD from 2025-06-05T10:59:00.570220+00:00...
Calculating features for 114 bars...
Features for prediction: {'SMA_10': 104115.9466, 'SMA_30': 104293.70138333333, 'EMA_10': 104174.45570698523, 'RSI_14': 46.58447755789757, 'MACD_12_26_9': -138.55646825033182, 'MACDs_12_26_9': -187.52186464806385, 'MACDh_12_26_9': 48.965396397732036, 'BBL_20_2.0': 103948.73332577787, 'BBM_20_2.0': 104200.67785000001, 'BBU_20_2.0': 104452.62237422215, 'BBB_20_2.0': 0.004835755955154583, 'BBP_20_2.0': 0.6482908791740676, 'ATR_14': 89.48521428571361, 'return_1m': 0.0008023664050336166, 'return_3m': 0.000563191855248224, 'return_5m': 0.0028370249183007346, 'return_10m': 0.0010358317133463135}
Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): 0, Confidence (Prob for Up): 0.4823
--- Price Fetching for BTC/USD ---
Attempting snapshot...
Raw snapshot data received: {'BTC/USD': <alpaca_trade_api.entity_v2.SnapshotV2 object at 0x0000015F841A4B90>}
Symbol snapshot data for BTC/USD: <alpaca_trade_api.entity_v2.SnapshotV2 object at 0x0000015F841A4B90>
SUCCESS: Price from snapshot quote: Ask=104342.8, Bid=104208, Mid=104275.40
--- End of Price Fetching ---
Current effective price for BTC/USD: $104275.40
No current position in BTCUSD.
SELL signal for BTC/USD, but no open BTCUSD position to sell. Doing nothing.
Trading loop finished.
This is fantastic! The logs show the bot is now behaving much more logically and correctly according to the strategy we've defined.
Let's break down this successful run:
Key Observations & Successes:
Correct Sell Order Submission (No More insufficient balance):
SELL signal for BTC/USD. Attempting to sell 0.002844072 BTCUSD at ~$104216.71
SELL order for BTCUSD submitted.
This is perfect. The bot correctly identified the existing position quantity (0.002844072) and submitted a sell order for that exact amount. The previous insufficient balance error due to rounding is gone.
Correct Position Tracking After Sell:
In the subsequent minute (14:25:00), the log shows: No current position in BTCUSD.
This confirms that the sell order likely filled, and the bot correctly recognizes it's flat (has no position).
Confidence Threshold Working:
Multiple instances of: UP signal (signal=1) but confidence 0.51 is below threshold 0.55. No action. UP signal (signal=1) but confidence 0.52 is below threshold 0.55. No action.
This shows the CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD = 0.55 is preventing trades when the model's prediction for an "UP" move isn't strong enough. This is a good way to filter out weaker signals and potentially reduce unnecessary trades.
No Duplicate Buys:
After the initial position was established (before this log snippet presumably), and after the sell, the bot did not attempt to re-buy when the confidence was low, and correctly identified "No current position" when considering new BUY signals.
Correct Handling of Signals When Flat:
SELL signal for BTC/USD, but no open BTCUSD position to sell. Doing nothing.
This is correct behavior. If the model signals a "SELL" (or "Not Up") but the bot has no position, it does nothing.
Price Fetching Consistently Working:
Every iteration successfully gets the price using the snapshot quote: SUCCESS: Price from snapshot quote: Ask=..., Bid=..., Mid=...
What Now? The Bot is "Working" According to its Logic.
The bot is now executing the defined strategy:
Fetch features.
Make a prediction (0 or 1) and get confidence.
Fetch the current price.
Check current position.
If BUY signal (1) AND confidence >= threshold AND NO position: Place BUY order.
If SELL signal (0) AND HAVE position: Place SELL order to close position.
Otherwise, do nothing (hold position if BUY signal but already in position, or do nothing if SELL signal and no position, or if confidence is too low).
Next Steps for Iteration and Improvement (Moving Towards a Potentially Profitable Bot):
Now that the mechanics are sound, the focus shifts entirely to improving the strategy's profitability. The current demo loop ran for a very short time, and we don't have P&L from these specific trades in the log (though your backtester did).
Run for Longer in Paper Trading:
Let the bot run for a few hours, or even a full day, in paper trading.
Monitor its behavior, the trades it makes, and crucially, the P&L of those trades in your Alpaca paper account.
Review Paper Trading P&L and Trade Log:
After a longer run, check your Alpaca paper account's trade history and P&L.
Is it making money? Losing money? Breaking even?
How many trades is it making? Is the frequency too high, leading to death by a thousand cuts (transaction fees)?
Refine the Strategy (Based on Paper Trading Performance & Backtest Results):
Confidence Threshold (CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD):
If the bot is still losing money or making too many low-quality trades, try increasing this threshold (e.g., to 0.60, 0.65, or even higher). This will make it trade less but hopefully on stronger signals.
Target Variable Definition (from Step 4 - Model Training):
This is often the most impactful. If your simple future_price > current_price target isn't good enough, go back to Step 4 and redefine it to require a more significant price movement (e.g., price must increase by X% or by Y * ATR).
Example: df['target'] = (df['close'].shift(-target_horizon) > (df['close'] * (1 + 0.001))).astype(int) (requires a 0.1% move up).
Retrain your model with this new target.
Feature Engineering (Step 3):
Are there other indicators or features that could improve predictions? Different MA lengths? Volatility measures? Volume-based indicators (if reliable volume data is available for crypto)?
Hyperparameter Tuning (Step 4):
Tune your XGBoost model's hyperparameters.
Consider Stop-Loss / Take-Profit:
Currently, the bot only sells when the signal flips to 0. You might want to implement logic to submit a stop-loss order after a buy to limit downside, or a take-profit order. This adds complexity to order management.
Trade Size (TRADE_QTY_USD):
For now, $100 is fine for paper testing. As you get more confident, you'll adjust this based on your risk management rules.
More Robust Scheduling:
For more precise execution aligned with market bars, replace the time.sleep() loop with a library like APScheduler.
Example: Schedule check_and_place_trade to run every minute at 00 seconds (e.g., 14:25:00, 14:26:00).
Persistent State / Restart Capability:
If the bot script stops and restarts, it currently has no memory of g_is_waiting_for_position_update (if you implemented that flag). For a production bot, you'd save critical state to a file or database.
However, since your position check now relies on api.list_positions(), the bot will correctly assess its state regarding actual holdings even after a restart. The internal flag is more for immediate post-order behavior within a single run.
Error Handling and Resilience:
Continue to improve error handling. What if an order is submitted but then rejected for a reason other than insufficient balance? What if the API is temporarily down?
Immediate Focus:
Let the current version run for a decent period in paper trading (e.g., at least a few hours).
Observe the actual P&L in your Alpaca paper account.
Based on that, decide if you need to:
Increase CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD.
Go back and refine the target variable for your model and retrain.
You've built a solid foundation. The iterative process of refining the strategy and model is where the real challenge and potential lie! Congratulations on getting the core mechanics working correctly!
Position Sizing: Don't risk too much on a single trade (e.g., TRADE_QTY_USD should be a small % of your paper capital).
Stop-Loss: Automatically sell if the price moves against you by a certain percentage or dollar amount after entering a trade. Alpaca supports stop-loss orders.
#symbol=SYMBOL,
#qty=qty_to_buy,
#side='buy',
#type='market',
#time_in_force='day',
#trail_percent='1.5' # Trail stop loss 1.5% below high water mark
Take-Profit: Automatically sell if the price moves in your favor by a certain amount.
Max Drawdown: If your total capital drops by X%, stop trading and re-evaluate.
Yes, Step 7 (Risk Management) is absolutely crucial for any trading bot, even in paper trading, as it helps you develop good habits and test more realistic scenarios.
The example you provided for a trailing stop-loss is a good starting point for one type of risk management order. Let's integrate the concept of adding a stop-loss to your buy orders. We'll start with a fixed percentage stop-loss for simplicity, as trailing stops can sometimes be more complex to manage if the initial market order doesn't fill at the expected price immediately.
Integrating a Fixed Percentage Stop-Loss:
When you place a BUY order, you can simultaneously (or immediately after confirmation) place a corresponding STOP_LOSS order. Alpaca allows you to submit "OTO" (One-Triggers-Other) or "OCO" (One-Cancels-Other) orders, but for a simple stop-loss after a market buy, a separate stop order is common.
Modifications to check_and_place_trade:
We'll add a stop-loss percentage and calculate the stop price when a buy order is placed.
STOP_LOSS_PERCENT = 1.0 # e.g., 1.0% stop loss from entry price
def check_and_place_trade(): global model, feature_cols, api, ORDER_SYMBOL, POSITION_SYMBOL, TRADE_QTY_USD, CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD, STOP_LOSS_PERCENT # ... (other globals like g_is_waiting_for_position_update if used) ...
# ... (initial checks, feature fetching, model prediction as before) ...
# ... (current_price initialization and fetching logic as before) ...
# Ensure current_price is valid before proceeding
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0:
print(f"CRITICAL: Could not obtain a valid current price for {ORDER_SYMBOL} after all attempts. Resolved to: {current_price}")
return
# ... (btc_position fetching and printing as before) ...
try: # Outer try for trade logic and order submission
# --- Trade Logic ---
if signal == 1 and proba[1] >= CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD: # Predicted UP
if btc_position is None or float(btc_position.qty) == 0:
qty_to_buy = TRADE_QTY_USD / current_price
qty_to_buy_rounded_str = f"{qty_to_buy:.7f}" # Format to 7 decimal places string, adjust precision as needed for BTC
if float(qty_to_buy_rounded_str) > 0:
print(f"BUY signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL} (confidence {proba[1]:.2f}). Attempting to buy {qty_to_buy_rounded_str} {ORDER_SYMBOL} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
# Submit the market buy order
buy_order = None
try:
buy_order = api.submit_order(
symbol=ORDER_SYMBOL,
qty=qty_to_buy_rounded_str,
side='buy',
type='market',
time_in_force='day' # Use 'day' or 'gtc' - 'day' is often safer for market orders you want filled soon
)
print(f"BUY order for {ORDER_SYMBOL} submitted. Order ID: {buy_order.id}")
# If using internal flag for position update:
# g_is_waiting_for_position_update = True
# g_last_order_side = 'buy'
# g_expected_entry_price = current_price # Store expected entry for SL calculation (approximate)
# --- Place Stop-Loss Order ---
# Best practice: Wait for buy order confirmation/fill before placing SL.
# For simplicity here, we'll place it immediately assuming market order fills quickly at `current_price`.
# A more robust system would listen to order updates.
# Calculate stop price
# IMPORTANT: current_price is the price *before* the market order.
# The actual fill price of the market order might be slightly different.
# For a more accurate SL, you'd get the fill price from the buy_order object after it fills.
# For this example, we use current_price as an approximation.
stop_price_value = current_price * (1 - (STOP_LOSS_PERCENT / 100.0))
# Alpaca requires stop_price to be rounded to a certain number of decimal places (e.g., 2 for USD pairs)
# For BTCUSD, prices can have 1 or 2 decimal places typically.
stop_price_rounded = round(stop_price_value, 2) # Adjust precision as needed for the pair's price
print(f"Attempting to place STOP LOSS order for {qty_to_buy_rounded_str} {ORDER_SYMBOL} at limit_price/stop_price ${stop_price_rounded:.2f}")
# This places a STOP order, which becomes a MARKET order when stop_price is hit.
# For a STOP LIMIT, you'd also provide a limit_price.
sl_order = api.submit_order(
symbol=ORDER_SYMBOL,
qty=qty_to_buy_rounded_str, # Same quantity as the buy
side='sell',
type='stop', # This is a stop-market order
time_in_force='gtc', # Good 'til Canceled (so it persists)
stop_price=str(stop_price_rounded) # stop_price needs to be a string
)
print(f"STOP LOSS order submitted. Order ID: {sl_order.id}, Stop Price: ${stop_price_rounded:.2f}")
# Optional: Place Take-Profit Order (as a LIMIT order)
# if TAKE_PROFIT_PERCENT > 0:
# take_profit_value = current_price * (1 + (TAKE_PROFIT_PERCENT / 100.0))
# take_profit_rounded = round(take_profit_value, 2)
# print(f"Attempting to place TAKE PROFIT order for {qty_to_buy_rounded_str} {ORDER_SYMBOL} at limit_price ${take_profit_rounded:.2f}")
# tp_order = api.submit_order(
# symbol=ORDER_SYMBOL,
# qty=qty_to_buy_rounded_str,
# side='sell',
# type='limit',
# time_in_force='gtc',
# limit_price=str(take_profit_rounded)
# )
# print(f"TAKE PROFIT order submitted. Order ID: {tp_order.id}, Limit Price: ${take_profit_rounded:.2f}")
# # If using OCO (One-Cancels-Other) for SL and TP, the logic would be different.
# # Alpaca supports 'oco' order_class for this.
except Exception as order_err:
print(f"ERROR submitting BUY or accompanying SL/TP order: {order_err}")
traceback.print_exc()
# If buy order was submitted but SL failed, you might need to manually intervene or cancel the buy.
# Or, if buy_order object exists, try to cancel it if that's your strategy on SL failure.
# if buy_order and hasattr(buy_order, 'id'):
# try:
# api.cancel_order(buy_order.id)
# print(f"Canceled original BUY order {buy_order.id} due to SL submission failure.")
# except Exception as cancel_err:
# print(f"Failed to cancel original BUY order {buy_order.id}: {cancel_err}")
else: # qty_to_buy_rounded_str is not > 0
print(f"Calculated buy quantity for {ORDER_SYMBOL} is zero or too small. No order placed.")
else: # Already have a position
print(f"BUY signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}, but already have a position of {btc_position.qty} {POSITION_SYMBOL}. Holding.")
elif signal == 0: # Predicted NOT UP - Potential SELL (to close existing position)
if btc_position and float(btc_position.qty) > 0:
# --- Cancel any existing protective stop-loss/take-profit orders for this position ---
# This is important because you are now deciding to close the position based on a new signal.
print(f"SELL signal received. Attempting to cancel existing protective orders for {POSITION_SYMBOL} before closing position.")
try:
# Fetch open orders for the symbol that are sell orders (potential SL/TP)
# This is a simplification; more robust logic would track SL/TP order IDs associated with the position.
open_sell_orders = api.list_orders(status='open', side='sell', symbols=[ORDER_SYMBOL])
for order in open_sell_orders:
if order.type == 'stop' or order.type == 'limit' or order.type == 'stop_limit': # Add other types if used
print(f"Canceling existing protective order ID: {order.id} (Type: {order.type}, Qty: {order.qty})")
api.cancel_order(order.id)
if not open_sell_orders:
print("No open protective sell orders found to cancel.")
except Exception as cancel_e:
print(f"Error canceling existing protective orders: {cancel_e}")
traceback.print_exc()
# Decide if you still want to proceed with the market sell order if cancellation fails.
# For now, we'll proceed.
qty_to_sell_str = str(btc_position.qty)
try:
if float(qty_to_sell_str) > 0:
print(f"Attempting to sell (close position) {qty_to_sell_str} {POSITION_SYMBOL} at market")
api.submit_order(
symbol=ORDER_SYMBOL, qty=qty_to_sell_str,
side='sell', type='market', time_in_force='day' # Use 'day' for market close
)
print(f"Market SELL order to close position for {POSITION_SYMBOL} submitted.")
# If using internal flag:
# g_is_waiting_for_position_update = True
# g_last_order_side = 'sell'
else:
print(f"INFO: Position quantity '{qty_to_sell_str}' is zero or less. No sell order placed.")
except ValueError:
print(f"ERROR: Position quantity string '{qty_to_sell_str}' could not be converted to float. No sell order placed.")
else:
print(f"SELL signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}, but no open {POSITION_SYMBOL} position to sell. Doing nothing.")
elif signal == 1 and proba[1] < CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD :
print(f"UP signal (signal={signal}) but confidence {proba[1]:.2f} is below threshold {CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD}. No action.")
except Exception as e: # Outer try-except for trade logic part
print(f"Error in trade logic or order submission part: {e}")
traceback.print_exc()
Explanation of Risk Management Integration (Stop-Loss):
New Constant:
STOP_LOSS_PERCENT = 1.0 (or your desired percentage).
When Placing a BUY Order:
After the api.submit_order(...) for the BUY is called:
stop_price_value = current_price * (1 - (STOP_LOSS_PERCENT / 100.0)): Calculate the stop price.
stop_price_rounded = round(stop_price_value, 2): Round it appropriately for the symbol (e.g., 2 decimal places for USD-based prices).
api.submit_order(...) is called again with:
side='sell'
type='stop' (This creates a stop-market order. When the market price hits stop_price, a market sell order is triggered).
time_in_force='gtc' (Good 'Til Canceled, so the stop-loss persists across trading days if needed).
stop_price=str(stop_price_rounded) (The price at which to trigger the stop).
Important Considerations for Stop-Loss:
Actual Fill Price: The current_price used to calculate the stop-loss is the market price before your buy order. Your actual fill price for the buy might be slightly different due to market movement (slippage). A more robust system would:
Submit the buy order.
Wait for the buy order to fill (by polling its status or using websockets for order updates).
Get the actual average fill price from the filled order.
Then, place the stop-loss based on this actual fill price. This is more complex and often involves asynchronous handling or waiting. The current simplified approach places the stop-loss based on the anticipated fill price.
Stop Order vs. Stop-Limit Order:
type='stop' (stop-market): When the stop price is hit, it becomes a market order and will fill at the next available price. This guarantees an exit but the price might be worse than the stop price if the market is moving fast (slippage).
type='stop_limit': Requires both a stop_price and a limit_price. When the stop_price is hit, a limit order is placed at the limit_price. This gives you more control over the fill price but doesn't guarantee an exit if the market moves past your limit price quickly.
time_in_force for Buy Order: Changed time_in_force='gtc' to 'day' for the initial market buy order. Often, if a market buy doesn't fill relatively quickly during the day, you might not want it hanging around. 'gtc' is fine too, but 'day' is common for entry market orders. The stop-loss itself should usually be 'gtc'.
Canceling Protective Orders When Closing Position:
When signal == 0 (SELL signal to close an existing position):
It's crucial to first cancel any existing open protective orders (like the stop-loss or a take-profit) associated with that position. Otherwise, you might close the position with a market order, and then your old stop-loss order could get triggered later if the price moves unexpectedly.
The added code api.list_orders(status='open', side='sell', symbols=[ORDER_SYMBOL]) attempts to find and cancel these.
Note: This cancellation logic is a simplification. A truly robust system would store the ID of the stop-loss order when it's placed and specifically cancel that ID. Relying on listing all open sell orders might inadvertently cancel something else if you have multiple strategies or manual orders.
Take-Profit (Optional):
I've included commented-out code showing how you might place a take-profit order (as a limit sell order) similarly.
If you use both a stop-loss and a take-profit, you'd ideally use an OCO (One-Cancels-Other) order. Alpaca supports this via the order_class='oco' parameter in submit_order, where you provide a list of two orders (the stop and the limit) in the take_profit and stop_loss parameters of the main order submission call. This is more advanced but the standard way to bracket a position.
To Implement:
Add STOP_LOSS_PERCENT to your constants.
Replace your check_and_place_trade function with the modified version above.
Carefully review the logic, especially the assumptions made (like the stop-loss being based on current_price before the buy fills).
Test Thoroughly in Paper Trading:
See if stop-loss orders are being placed correctly after buys.
Verify their stop prices.
Observe if they get triggered when the price moves against your simulated position.
Check that they are canceled when your bot decides to sell the position due to a signal == 0.
Risk management is an iterative process. Start simple (like with this stop-market order) and then enhance it as you gain more experience and your bot becomes more complex.
import os
import alpaca_trade_api as tradeapi
import pandas as pd
from datetime import datetime, timedelta, timezone
import time
import traceback # For detailed error messages
# --- Constants for Step 6 ---
ORDER_SYMBOL = "BTC/USD"
POSITION_SYMBOL = "BTCUSD"
SYMBOL_TO_TRADE = ORDER_SYMBOL # Primary symbol for data and orders
TRADE_QTY_USD = 100
CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD = 0.55 # Example: Only trade if probability of "UP" is > 55%
STOP_LOSS_PERCENT = 1.0 # e.g., 1.0% stop loss from entry price
# TAKE_PROFIT_PERCENT = 2.0 # Optional: e.g., 2.0% take profit
# --- Globals (assume these are populated from previous steps) ---
# model = None
# feature_cols = []
# api = None
# create_features = None # Your finta-based feature creation function
# This is the function from your earlier code
# def create_features(df_input): ...
def get_latest_bar_features(symbol_to_fetch, timeframe_to_use, max_lookback_period=150):
global api, create_features, feature_cols
now_utc = datetime.now(tz=timezone.utc)
start_fetch_dt = now_utc - timedelta(minutes=max_lookback_period + 60)
print(f"Fetching latest {max_lookback_period} bars for {symbol_to_fetch} from {start_fetch_dt.isoformat()}...")
try:
latest_bars_df = api.get_crypto_bars(
symbol_to_fetch, timeframe_to_use,
start=start_fetch_dt.isoformat(),
limit=max_lookback_period + 5
).df
latest_bars_df.columns = [col.lower() for col in latest_bars_df.columns]
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error fetching latest bars: {e}")
return None
if latest_bars_df.empty:
print("No recent bars data fetched.")
return None
required_bars_for_features = 35
if len(latest_bars_df) < required_bars_for_features:
print(f"Not enough recent bars ({len(latest_bars_df)}) to calculate all features (need ~{required_bars_for_features}).")
return None
print(f"Calculating features for {len(latest_bars_df)} bars...")
try:
featured_bars = create_features(latest_bars_df)
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during feature creation for latest bars: {e}")
return None
if featured_bars.empty:
print("Failed to create features (resulted in empty DataFrame).")
return None
try:
missing_cols = [col for col in feature_cols if col not in featured_bars.columns]
if missing_cols:
print(f"Error: The following feature columns are missing after calculation: {missing_cols}")
print(f"Available columns: {featured_bars.columns.tolist()}")
return None
final_features_for_prediction = featured_bars[feature_cols].iloc[-1:]
return final_features_for_prediction
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error selecting final features for prediction: {e}")
print(f"Feature_cols expected: {feature_cols}")
print(f"Columns in featured_bars: {featured_bars.columns.tolist()}")
return None
# --- MODIFIED check_and_place_trade FUNCTION ---
def check_and_place_trade():
global model, feature_cols, api, ORDER_SYMBOL, POSITION_SYMBOL, TRADE_QTY_USD, CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD, STOP_LOSS_PERCENT
# Add any internal state flags here if you use them (e.g., g_is_waiting_for_position_update)
if model is None:
print("Model is not available. Skipping trade check.")
return
if not feature_cols:
print("Feature columns not defined. Skipping trade check.")
return
print(f"\n[{datetime.now(timezone.utc)} UTC] Checking for trading signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}...")
current_features_df = get_latest_bar_features(ORDER_SYMBOL, tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute)
if current_features_df is None or current_features_df.empty:
print("Could not get features for the latest bar. Skipping trade.")
return
try:
prediction = model.predict(current_features_df)
signal = prediction[0]
proba = model.predict_proba(current_features_df)[0]
print(f"Features for prediction: {current_features_df.iloc[0].to_dict()}")
print(f"Model Prediction (0=NotUp, 1=Up): {signal}, Confidence (Prob for Up): {proba[1]:.4f}")
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error during model prediction: {e}")
traceback.print_exc()
return
# Initialize current_price at the function level before any price fetching attempts
current_price = None
try:
# Fetch positions using POSITION_SYMBOL
positions = api.list_positions()
btc_position = next((p for p in positions if p.symbol == POSITION_SYMBOL), None)
# --- ENHANCED PRICE FETCHING LOGIC ---
print(f"--- Price Fetching for {ORDER_SYMBOL} ---")
# Attempt 1: Using snapshot
print("Attempting snapshot...")
try:
raw_snapshot_data = api.get_crypto_snapshot(ORDER_SYMBOL)
print(f"Raw snapshot data received: {raw_snapshot_data}")
if raw_snapshot_data and ORDER_SYMBOL in raw_snapshot_data:
symbol_snapshot = raw_snapshot_data[ORDER_SYMBOL]
print(f"Symbol snapshot data for {ORDER_SYMBOL}: {symbol_snapshot}")
if symbol_snapshot:
if hasattr(symbol_snapshot, 'latest_quote') and \
symbol_snapshot.latest_quote and \
hasattr(symbol_snapshot.latest_quote, 'ap') and symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.ap and \
hasattr(symbol_snapshot.latest_quote, 'bp') and symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.bp:
current_price = (symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.ap + symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.bp) / 2.0
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from snapshot quote: Ask={symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.ap}, Bid={symbol_snapshot.latest_quote.bp}, Mid={current_price:.2f}")
elif hasattr(symbol_snapshot, 'latest_trade') and \
symbol_snapshot.latest_trade and \
hasattr(symbol_snapshot.latest_trade, 'p') and symbol_snapshot.latest_trade.p:
current_price = symbol_snapshot.latest_trade.p
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from snapshot latest trade: {current_price:.2f}")
elif hasattr(symbol_snapshot, 'minute_bar') and \
symbol_snapshot.minute_bar and \
hasattr(symbol_snapshot.minute_bar, 'c') and symbol_snapshot.minute_bar.c:
current_price = symbol_snapshot.minute_bar.c
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from snapshot minute bar close: {current_price:.2f}")
else:
print("INFO: Snapshot structure for symbol did not yield a usable price (quote/trade/bar).")
else:
print(f"INFO: Symbol {ORDER_SYMBOL} data is None within the raw snapshot.")
elif raw_snapshot_data:
print(f"INFO: Symbol {ORDER_SYMBOL} not found in snapshot keys. Available keys: {list(raw_snapshot_data.keys())}")
else:
print("INFO: Raw snapshot data is None.")
except Exception as snapshot_e:
print(f"EXCEPTION during snapshot fetch or processing: {snapshot_e}")
traceback.print_exc()
# Attempt 2: Fallback to get_latest_crypto_trade if snapshot failed or didn't yield a price
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0:
print("\nAttempting get_latest_crypto_trade...")
try:
latest_trade_data = api.get_latest_crypto_trade(ORDER_SYMBOL)
print(f"Latest trade data received: {latest_trade_data}")
if latest_trade_data and hasattr(latest_trade_data, 'p') and latest_trade_data.p:
current_price = latest_trade_data.p
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from get_latest_crypto_trade: {current_price:.2f}")
else:
print("INFO: get_latest_crypto_trade did not yield a usable price or data was None.")
except Exception as latest_trade_e:
print(f"EXCEPTION during get_latest_crypto_trade: {latest_trade_e}")
traceback.print_exc()
# Ultimate fallback if current_price is still None or invalid
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0:
print("\nAttempting ultimate fallback (last bar close)...")
try:
last_bars_df = api.get_crypto_bars(ORDER_SYMBOL, tradeapi.TimeFrame.Minute, limit=1).df
print(f"Last bar(s) DataFrame for fallback: \n{last_bars_df}")
if not last_bars_df.empty and 'close' in last_bars_df.columns:
current_price = last_bars_df['close'].iloc[-1]
print(f"SUCCESS: Price from last fetched bar (ultimate fallback): {current_price:.2f}")
else:
print("INFO: Ultimate fallback failed (empty bars or no 'close' column).")
except Exception as fallback_e:
print(f"EXCEPTION in ultimate fallback price fetching: {fallback_e}")
traceback.print_exc()
print("--- End of Price Fetching ---")
# --- END OF ENHANCED PRICE FETCHING LOGIC ---
if current_price is None or current_price <= 0:
print(f"CRITICAL: Could not obtain a valid current price for {ORDER_SYMBOL} after all attempts. Resolved to: {current_price}")
return
print(f"Current effective price for {ORDER_SYMBOL}: ${current_price:.2f}")
if btc_position:
print(f"Current position in {POSITION_SYMBOL}: {btc_position.qty} @ avg entry ${btc_position.avg_entry_price}")
else:
print(f"No current position in {POSITION_SYMBOL}.")
# --- Trade Logic ---
# --- Trade Logic ---
if signal == 1 and proba[1] >= CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD: # Predicted UP
if btc_position is None or float(btc_position.qty) == 0:
qty_to_buy = TRADE_QTY_USD / current_price
qty_to_buy_rounded_str = f"{qty_to_buy:.7f}" # Format to 7 decimal places string, adjust precision as needed for BTC
if float(qty_to_buy_rounded_str) > 0:
print(f"BUY signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL} (confidence {proba[1]:.2f}). Attempting to buy {qty_to_buy_rounded_str} {ORDER_SYMBOL} at ~${current_price:.2f}")
# Submit the market buy order
buy_order = None
try:
buy_order = api.submit_order(
symbol=ORDER_SYMBOL,
qty=qty_to_buy_rounded_str,
side='buy',
type='market',
time_in_force='day' # Use 'day' or 'gtc' - 'day' is often safer for market orders you want filled soon
)
print(f"BUY order for {ORDER_SYMBOL} submitted. Order ID: {buy_order.id}")
# If using internal flag for position update:
# g_is_waiting_for_position_update = True
# g_last_order_side = 'buy'
# g_expected_entry_price = current_price # Store expected entry for SL calculation (approximate)
# --- Place Stop-Loss Order ---
# Best practice: Wait for buy order confirmation/fill before placing SL.
# For simplicity here, we'll place it immediately assuming market order fills quickly at `current_price`.
# A more robust system would listen to order updates.
# Calculate stop price
# IMPORTANT: current_price is the price *before* the market order.
# The actual fill price of the market order might be slightly different.
# For a more accurate SL, you'd get the fill price from the buy_order object after it fills.
# For this example, we use current_price as an approximation.
stop_price_value = current_price * (1 - (STOP_LOSS_PERCENT / 100.0))
# Alpaca requires stop_price to be rounded to a certain number of decimal places (e.g., 2 for USD pairs)
# For BTCUSD, prices can have 1 or 2 decimal places typically.
stop_price_rounded = round(stop_price_value, 2) # Adjust precision as needed for the pair's price
print(f"Attempting to place STOP LOSS order for {qty_to_buy_rounded_str} {ORDER_SYMBOL} at limit_price/stop_price ${stop_price_rounded:.2f}")
# This places a STOP order, which becomes a MARKET order when stop_price is hit.
# For a STOP LIMIT, you'd also provide a limit_price.
sl_order = api.submit_order(
symbol=ORDER_SYMBOL,
qty=qty_to_buy_rounded_str, # Same quantity as the buy
side='sell',
type='stop', # This is a stop-market order
time_in_force='gtc', # Good 'til Canceled (so it persists)
stop_price=str(stop_price_rounded) # stop_price needs to be a string
)
print(f"STOP LOSS order submitted. Order ID: {sl_order.id}, Stop Price: ${stop_price_rounded:.2f}")
# Optional: Place Take-Profit Order (as a LIMIT order)
# if TAKE_PROFIT_PERCENT > 0:
# take_profit_value = current_price * (1 + (TAKE_PROFIT_PERCENT / 100.0))
# take_profit_rounded = round(take_profit_value, 2)
# print(f"Attempting to place TAKE PROFIT order for {qty_to_buy_rounded_str} {ORDER_SYMBOL} at limit_price ${take_profit_rounded:.2f}")
# tp_order = api.submit_order(
# symbol=ORDER_SYMBOL,
# qty=qty_to_buy_rounded_str,
# side='sell',
# type='limit',
# time_in_force='gtc',
# limit_price=str(take_profit_rounded)
# )
# print(f"TAKE PROFIT order submitted. Order ID: {tp_order.id}, Limit Price: ${take_profit_rounded:.2f}")
# # If using OCO (One-Cancels-Other) for SL and TP, the logic would be different.
# # Alpaca supports 'oco' order_class for this.
except Exception as order_err:
print(f"ERROR submitting BUY or accompanying SL/TP order: {order_err}")
traceback.print_exc()
# If buy order was submitted but SL failed, you might need to manually intervene or cancel the buy.
# Or, if buy_order object exists, try to cancel it if that's your strategy on SL failure.
# if buy_order and hasattr(buy_order, 'id'):
# try:
# api.cancel_order(buy_order.id)
# print(f"Canceled original BUY order {buy_order.id} due to SL submission failure.")
# except Exception as cancel_err:
# print(f"Failed to cancel original BUY order {buy_order.id}: {cancel_err}")
else: # qty_to_buy_rounded_str is not > 0
print(f"Calculated buy quantity for {ORDER_SYMBOL} is zero or too small. No order placed.")
else: # Already have a position
print(f"BUY signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}, but already have a position of {btc_position.qty} {POSITION_SYMBOL}. Holding.")
elif signal == 0: # Predicted NOT UP - Potential SELL (to close existing position)
if btc_position and float(btc_position.qty) > 0:
# --- Cancel any existing protective stop-loss/take-profit orders for this position ---
# This is important because you are now deciding to close the position based on a new signal.
print(f"SELL signal received. Attempting to cancel existing protective orders for {POSITION_SYMBOL} before closing position.")
try:
# Fetch open orders for the symbol that are sell orders (potential SL/TP)
# This is a simplification; more robust logic would track SL/TP order IDs associated with the position.
open_sell_orders = api.list_orders(status='open', side='sell', symbols=[ORDER_SYMBOL])
for order in open_sell_orders:
if order.type == 'stop' or order.type == 'limit' or order.type == 'stop_limit': # Add other types if used
print(f"Canceling existing protective order ID: {order.id} (Type: {order.type}, Qty: {order.qty})")
api.cancel_order(order.id)
if not open_sell_orders:
print("No open protective sell orders found to cancel.")
except Exception as cancel_e:
print(f"Error canceling existing protective orders: {cancel_e}")
traceback.print_exc()
# Decide if you still want to proceed with the market sell order if cancellation fails.
# For now, we'll proceed.
qty_to_sell_str = str(btc_position.qty)
try:
if float(qty_to_sell_str) > 0:
print(f"Attempting to sell (close position) {qty_to_sell_str} {POSITION_SYMBOL} at market")
api.submit_order(
symbol=ORDER_SYMBOL, qty=qty_to_sell_str,
side='sell', type='market', time_in_force='day' # Use 'day' for market close
)
print(f"Market SELL order to close position for {POSITION_SYMBOL} submitted.")
# If using internal flag:
# g_is_waiting_for_position_update = True
# g_last_order_side = 'sell'
else:
print(f"INFO: Position quantity '{qty_to_sell_str}' is zero or less. No sell order placed.")
except ValueError:
print(f"ERROR: Position quantity string '{qty_to_sell_str}' could not be converted to float. No sell order placed.")
else:
print(f"SELL signal for {ORDER_SYMBOL}, but no open {POSITION_SYMBOL} position to sell. Doing nothing.")
elif signal == 1 and proba[1] < CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD :
print(f"UP signal (signal={signal}) but confidence {proba[1]:.2f} is below threshold {CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD}. No action.")
except Exception as e: # Outer try-except for trade logic part
print(f"Error in trade logic or order submission part: {e}")
traceback.print_exc()
# --- Main Execution Loop (for demonstration) ---
# (This part of your code remains the same)
if __name__ == "__main__":
# Ensure your global variables like `api`, `model`, `feature_cols`, `create_features`
# are initialized/defined from your previous script steps before this point.
# For example:
# API_KEY = os.getenv('APCA_API_KEY_ID')
# API_SECRET = os.getenv('APCA_API_SECRET_KEY')
# BASE_URL = os.getenv('APCA_API_BASE_URL')
# api = tradeapi.REST(API_KEY, API_SECRET, BASE_URL, api_version='v2')
# # ... after training ...
# model = your_trained_model
# feature_cols = your_list_of_feature_names
# # Define create_features if it's not already
# def create_features(df_input): ... # Your finta based implementation
if 'model' not in globals() or model is None or \
'feature_cols' not in globals() or not feature_cols or \
'api' not in globals() or api is None or \
'create_features' not in globals() or create_features is None: # Added checks for api and create_features
print("One or more required global components (model, feature_cols, api, create_features) are not initialized.")
print("Exiting live trading part.")
if 'model' not in globals() or model is None: print("- model missing")
if 'feature_cols' not in globals() or not feature_cols: print("- feature_cols missing")
if 'api' not in globals() or api is None: print("- api object missing")
if 'create_features' not in globals() or create_features is None: print("- create_features function missing")
else:
print("\n--- Starting Live/Paper Trading Bot (Simplified Loop) ---")
print("IMPORTANT: THIS IS FOR PAPER TRADING. VERIFY ALL SETTINGS.")
print(f"Trading Symbol: {SYMBOL_TO_TRADE}, USD per Trade: {TRADE_QTY_USD}")
print(f"Using Model: {type(model).__name__}, Trained Features: {len(feature_cols)}")
try:
check_and_place_trade()
for i in range(5):
current_seconds = datetime.now().second
wait_time = 60 - current_seconds
if wait_time <= 0: wait_time = 60 # if it's exactly on the minute or past
print(f"Waiting for {wait_time} seconds until the next minute ({i+1}/5)...")
time.sleep(wait_time)
check_and_place_trade()
except KeyboardInterrupt:
print("\nTrading loop stopped by user.")
except Exception as e:
print(f"An unhandled error occurred in the trading loop: {e}")
traceback.print_exc()
finally:
print("Trading loop finished.")
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